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LIVE UPDATE The UFC returns to Brazil tonight. The UFC is back in Brazil for the first time since January 2023 and one the country's champions headlines,,,
Alexandre Pantoja, who is the UFC flyweight champion, will make a second defence of his title against Australia's Steve Erceg and Pantoja will be eager to put on a show in front of a home crowd.
UFC 301 also features the return of MMA legend Jose Aldo as he competes in the last fight of his contract against Jonathan Martinez. Two Brits are in action on the card as Paul Craig faces Caio Borralho whilst Jack Shore is set for a big test against Joanderson Brito. So here's all you need to know about the fights...
What time is Alexandre Pantoja vs Steve Erceg in the UK tonight?
UFC 301 will be shown exclusively live on TNT Sports with the preliminary card beginning at 1am UK time on Sunday morning whilst the main card will get underway at 3am. The early preliminary card, which is only available to watch on UFC Fight Pass, starts at 11pm on Saturday night.
How to watch Alexandre Pantoja vs Steve Erceg on TV and via live stream
UK viewers with a subscription to TNT Sports will not need to pay an additional pay-per-view fee to watch the event. You can watch the fights via the Discovery+ app, which is available to download on mobile, tablet, select streaming devices.
Full UFC 301 fight card
Alexandre Pantoja vs Steve Erceg - for Pantoja's UFC flyweight title
Jonathan Martinez vs Jose Aldo
Anthony Smith vs Vitor Petrino
Michel Pereira vs Ihor Potieria
Paul Craig vs Caio Borralho
Preliminary card
Jean Silva vs William Gomis
Elves Brener vs Myktybek Orolbai
Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Iasmin Lucindo
Jack Shore vs Joanderson Brito
Early preliminary card
Alessandro Costa vs Kevin Borjas
Ismael Bonfim vs Vinc Pichel
Dione Barbosa vs Ernesta Kareckaite
Mauricio Ruffy vs Jamie Mullarkey
Joaquim Silva vs Drakkar Klose
Odds
Pantoja 1/2
Erceg 13/8
Quotes corner
Pantoja: "It's a good name, I asked the UFC to fight in Brazil and that was my wish after defending my belt in my last fight. I'm now back in Rio De Janeiro on top of the world as a champion, that's so cool for me and people around me. I'm super excited for this and I've already beat all of the guys in the front line.
Erceg: "I know that I wasn't on the top of everybody's kind when it came to a title shot but the way the division was, Pantoja has already beaten a lot of the top challengers. People are injured and the only other guy that was in line was [Muhammad] Mokaev. I'm here to be the best guy in the world and whoever is best will come out on top."
How to catch the promotion’s latest feast of MMA action this weekend.
Reigning UFC Flyweight Champion Alexandre Pantoja will put his crown on the line when he mounts his second title defense against Steve Erceg in the headline bout at UFC 301 this May, set to be held on home turf for the former with the action all due to unfold from Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Pantoja is a -190 favorite (risk $190 to win $100), while Erceg is priced at +160 in the latest UFC 301 odds. In the co-main event, Jonathan Martinez (-160) takes on former champion Jose Aldo (+125) in a bantamweight showdown. Before locking in any UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg picks, make sure you see the MMA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine expert Daniel Vithlani.
From breaking down film and following fighters and their camps closely, to tracking sharp action and betting market signals, Vithlani covers the breadth of the MMA betting landscape top to bottom. He also trains amateur boxers and speaks regularly with MMA fighters to understand the sport's nuances.
Vithlani made his SportsLine debut in January 2023 and swept the main card for UFC 283 with a 5-0 record and has been a consistent winner ever since. Over the past 10 UFC pay-per-view events, Vithlani has gone 7-3 on main-event picks and his main-card selections in that span have netted his followers a profit of more than $1,200.
His highlights include calling an upset for Sean O'Malley (+210) against Aljamain Sterling (-250) at UFC 292 as part of a 4-1 main card and his UFC 299 winners included underdog selections on Dustin Poirier (+190) against Benoit Saint Denis (-230) and Michael Page (+110) against Kevin Holland (-130). Anyone who has followed him has seen massive returns.
Now, with UFC 301 on deck, Vithlani has studied the card from top to bottom and released his top picks. You can only see his picks and analysis at SportsLine.
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg preview
Pantoja (27-5) is arguably the most decorated fighter on the UFC roster to have never headlined an event for the promotion until now. For comparison's sake, light heavyweight journeyman Anthony Smith, a one-time title challenger who is also on the UFC 301 main card despite going 1-3 in his past four outings, has appeared in eight UFC main events.
Pantoja is 11-3 in 14 UFC appearances since his January 2017 debut. Moreover, he is 5-0 combined against top-ranked contender Brandon Royval and No. 2-ranked Brandon Moreno, who is perhaps the most popular flyweight in the history of the division.
The 34-year-old Brazilian's struggle for recognition can be chalked up to a low-key demeanor that is nearly absent of any self-promotion, and an effective but workmanlike style that has led to few highlight-reel finishes that fans prefer. What's more, the flyweight division has long been the least popular among UFC observers.
However, an impressive win in a title defense before an adoring hometown crowd could provide Pantoja with some long overdue recognition. But he'll have to get past an inspired prospect who is looking to make the most of a fortunate opportunity.
Although Erceg (12-1) has just three UFC fights under his belt and is ranked No. 10, he benefits from the lack of depth at flyweight and the promotion's recent trend of fast-tracking dynamic prospects into title shots, especially those who have shown their wares in other promotions.
Seeing as the top two flyweight contenders are already 0-5 combined against Pantoja and no other fighters in the top 10 have a title-shot-worthy resume, the promotion turned to Erceg, a power puncher who is also a former champion in the Eternal MMA promotion.
The 28-year-old Australian has earned performance bonuses in two of his three outings and is coming off a second-round knockout of battle-tested journeyman Matt Schnell. You can see more UFC 301 picks at SportsLine.
UFC 301 predictions
We'll share one of Vithlani's UFC 301 selections here: He is siding with Vitor Petrino (-520) to earn a victory over Anthony Smith (+390) in a light heavyweight showdown on the main card.
Petrino (11-0) is an explosive power puncher who is widely seen as one of the most promising prospects in a depth-lacking division that needs an infusion of new talent. The 26-year-old Brazilian slugger has won his first four UFC fights, with two of those coming by stoppage. He is coming off a decision victory over veteran Tyson Pedro in March.
Smith (37-19) is an eight-year UFC veteran and one-time title challenger who has managed to maintain a top-15 ranking despite losses in three of his past four fights, with the one victory coming by a controversial split decision over Ryan Spann. The 35-year-old Nebraskan has become better known for his self-aggrandizing hot takes on podcasts and in media appearances than his work in the cage, but has expressed confidence that he is capable of derailing the undefeated prospect.
"Smith has a solid overall MMA game but will be a step too slow for the explosive young contender. Smith is coming off a brutal KO loss just four months ago, and he is up against another formidable matchup," Vithlani told SportsLine. You can see more UFC 301 picks at SportsLine.
How to make UFC 301 picks
Vithlani has strong picks for Pantoja vs. Erceg and other bouts on the UFC 301 card. He's also backing a fighter who "is younger and more dangerous" to emerge with a dominant victory.
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