Couple things regarding the Israeli strike on the Iranian embassy in Syria:
a) Israel’s move was not borne out of desperation. It was actually quite brilliant. They had nothing left to lose, with their reputation already been in tatters. What did they gain? They killed the 3 most important Iranian military officers for coordinating the region against the US and Israel: The coordinators with Syria, Lebanon/Palestine and with Yemen. They were there in an unprecedented meeting to plan their next moves. Israel got whiff of it and immediately bombed them. Iran made a tremendous mistake by placing them all in the same room within missile range of Israel.
b) Iran has basically lost its tactical/diplomatic leadership in the area with the deaths of these 3 officers. Retaliating militarily right now would be a mistake and it’s exactly what Israel wants. Iran would be unable to coordinate effectively with its allies. Meanwhile, the US would feel obliged to intervene on behalf of Israel, which would lead to direct war between US and Iran, a war that Iran might win, but Yemen and Palestine would certainly lose. Such a war would also remove the public eye from Palestine, allowing Israel (and its Arab collaborators like Jordan and Egypt) to finally evacuate Gaza.
Iran (and Lebanon) should avoid retaliating at this moment. The best thing they can do right now is to maintain the moral high ground, and continue working diplomatically to isolate Israel politically, while letting Hamas do its own thing and let Netanyahu grow truly desperate.
On the other hand, if Israel attempts to invade Lebanon, in an effort to distract its people from Palestine and save Netanyahu’s reputation, then neither the US, nor anyone else will be willing to join in with Israel. And Hezzbolah, with the help of Iran, will utterly destroy Israel, possibly liberating all of the Syrian and Lebanese lands up to Galilee.
For these reasons, as well as the other things going on mentioned in the article, Iran should retaliate politically and not militarily.
Iran should definitely retaliate militarily, the international community has proven to be useless so far. Bombing an embassy and killing Iranian leadership is an act of war and Iran has every right to retaliate militarily, failing to do so expresses that Israel can do whatever they want and face no consequences.
Its laughable to even talk about “retaliate politically” when all the international institutions have done absolutely nothing to stop Israel from engaging on crimes against humanity. Iran already endured the murder of their general, and the international community did jackshit.
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