Critical Periods For Language: Much More Than You Wanted To Know (astralcodexten.substack.com)
Mantic Monday 7/31/23: Room Temperature Superforecaster, CFTC, X, and UFOs (astralcodexten.substack.com)
We're Not Platonists, We've Just Learned The Bitter Lesson (astralcodexten.substack.com)
Intelligence explosion arguments don’t require Platonism. They just require intelligence to exist in the normal fuzzy way that all concepts exist.
We're Not Platonists, We've Just Learned The Bitter Lesson (astralcodexten.substack.com)
Highlights From The Comments On British Economic Decline (astralcodexten.substack.com)
The article talks about the downturn in the British economy that began in the early 2000s....
The Extinction Tournament (astralcodexten.substack.com)
The plan was: get domain experts (eg climatologists, nuclear policy experts) and superforecasters (people with a proven track record of making very good predictions) in the same room. Have them talk to each other. Use team-based competition with monetary prizes to incentivize accurate answers. Between the domain experts’...