EllieK, (edited )

Can anyone who understands statistics with regards to covid infection rates understand why the rating, which used to be from 1-10 in severity is now calculated at 1-20?

What does that mean when I see a rate 'high' - 5.3/20 in Nova Scotia? Would that have been 10.6/10 before? And therefore severe? Or 2.6/10 which would have only been elevated.
I'm no good at these things!
The original post from is here:
https://bird.makeup/users/moriartylab/statuses/1774454074454224952
@DenisCOVIDinfoguy
@auscandoc

CuriosityCat,
@CuriosityCat@mastodon.sandwich.net avatar

@EllieK @DenisCOVIDinfoguy @auscandoc

I have never understood any of this. 😖

It's especially frustrating because she is one of the best sources of information - but I have never seen the information clearly explained for lay people, I cannot read the charts, & there is no alt-text.

All that research effort, & utterly useless to me.

In the old days of consistent 'NS - 1 in 19 infected', 'NB - 1 in 23 infected', 'Canada - 1 in 21' infected', etc., that made some kind of sense to me.

EllieK,

@CuriosityCat
It's not easy.
I think it does, on one of her original posts (maybe in French) say 1 in 139 infected.
@DenisCOVIDinfoguy @auscandoc

auscandoc,
@auscandoc@med-mastodon.com avatar

@CuriosityCat @EllieK @DenisCOVIDinfoguy I did see those particular numbers in the thread. E.g. “Canadian COVID Forecast Mar 30-Apr 12, 2024

CANADA

MODERATE (no change)

About 1 in every 139 people infected”

Might be worth signing up for one of their COVID round table zoom meetings?

Then you could explain the process to me 🙃 (I’ve never delved too deep into it tbh).

EllieK,

@auscandoc
I would, but it's just too late in the day for me. It doesn't start before 9 pm our time. My devices are turned off at 9, so that I can settle down for the evening and actually sleep as I'm such a hyper person. Ha ha.
@CuriosityCat @DenisCOVIDinfoguy

CuriosityCat,
@CuriosityCat@mastodon.sandwich.net avatar

@auscandoc @EllieK @DenisCOVIDinfoguy

I did see that - there wasn't room to explain, but it's what I meant by 'consistent' reporting in the old days - there was a breakdown by province & then Canada as a whole. It gave a good sense what was happening where you were, plus in the adjacent provinces in case there was a lot of cross-province traffic to think about.

Especially helpful when there was an outbreak somewhere; NS might be okay, but Quebec off the charts & skewing the national average.

CuriosityCat,
@CuriosityCat@mastodon.sandwich.net avatar

@auscandoc @EllieK @DenisCOVIDinfoguy

I'd like to try for a roundtable, but (among other reasons) I often don't have consistent internet access.

I should try harder. 😕

EllieK,

@CuriosityCat
If you manage, please let us know how it goes and encourage Ms Moriarty if possible to post on here. I know she's busy, so I understand, but she has a profile set up but just doesn't post to it. @MoriartyLab
@auscandoc @DenisCOVIDinfoguy

CuriosityCat,
@CuriosityCat@mastodon.sandwich.net avatar

@EllieK @MoriartyLab @auscandoc @DenisCOVIDinfoguy

I know 😔 ... and I will.

But she does cross-post from Twitter here!

@moriartylab

EllieK,

@CuriosityCat
It's automated and she wouldn't see responses, nor can we see what she's responding to on there (unless you have an x account, which I no longer have), which can be frustrating.
Bill Comeau is the same. Grr
@MoriartyLab @auscandoc @DenisCOVIDinfoguy @moriartylab

auscandoc,
@auscandoc@med-mastodon.com avatar

@CuriosityCat @EllieK @MoriartyLab @DenisCOVIDinfoguy @moriartylab That’s simply an auto cross post by one of the several auto post bots.

The user themselves dies not do the cross post. (Took me a long time to figure that out and I can’t say I fully understand it).

EllieK,

@auscandoc
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