@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

ragnarbjartur

@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai

Political scientist & economist obsessed with data and on a mission to turn it into actionable information. Been mostly active on Twitter, where I've reported on the war in 🇺🇦.

This profile is from a federated server and may be incomplete. Browse more on the original instance.

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - MAY 31, 2024

■ Combat engagements above average; 8th highest casualties so far
■ Equipment losses well above average; good drone & missile interception
■ Strike ratio improves yet again due to increased 🇺🇦 strikes
■ Janovsky: 58 🇷🇺 19 🇺🇦 added; 30-day ratio at 2.5x
■ Poternet: 279 🇷🇺 KIA added

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/pvRiZyU5g0o

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - MAY 30, 2024

■ Combat engagements below 7-day average but casualties stay well above 1k
■ Special equipment, drones, vehicles & artillery losses above average
■ Increased 🇺🇦 strikes, improved strike ratio
■ Poternet: +350 🇷🇺 KIA added

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/niqOYKfwLlI

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - MAY 29, 2024

■ Casualties & combat engagements both above 7-day average
■ Massive equipment losses including record high special equipment losses
■ Less shelling but increased 🇷🇺 strikes while only 3 🇺🇦 strikes reported
■ Poternet: +567 🇷🇺 KIA added

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/ktiY2inNY3Q

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - MAY 28, 2024

■ 4th highest daily casualties, engagements slightly below 7-day average
■ Massive equipment losses; artillery, tanks & APVs far above average
■ More strikes on both sides; improved strike ratio

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/i7YZPd6aiME

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - MAY 27, 2024

■ Daily casualties stay above 1k, engagements slightly below average
■ 12 missiles intercepted, drones & special equipment also above average
■ Good increase in 🇺🇦 strikes & improved strike ratio
■ Janovsky: 85 🇷🇺 17 🇺🇦; 30-day ratio now at 2.4x

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/iQ4oqM1Vaj8

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - MAY 26, 2024

■ Combat engagements well above 7-day average, casualties stay above 1k
■ Sukhoi Su-25 shot down in Donetsk (3rd plane in a week)
■ Increased 🇷🇺 strikes, relatively few 🇺🇦 strikes reported
■ Poternet: +244 🇷🇺 names added as KIA

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/sDE-FMXYtnI

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - MAY 25, 2024

■ 1k+ casualties; milestone of 500,000 reached
■ Tank losses above average & 7-day MLRS at 2024 record level
■ 🇷🇺 strikes go down while 🇺🇦 ones go up, leading to an improved strike ratio
■ KIU: +40 officers; 5.2 per day in last four batches (+0.17)

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/tIkVKQTUK_4

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - MAY 24, 2024

■ Combat engagements & casualties below 7-day average; only 1.1k needed to reach 500k
■ 7-day artillery losses at record level & 3rd plane in last 7 days
■ Less 🇷🇺 shelling but increased MLRS strikes, 12 🇺🇦 strikes reported
■ Poternet: +372 🇷🇺 names added to KIA database

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/mo9DX-od-R4

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - MAY 23, 2024

■ Casualties slightly above 7-day average; milestone of 500k may be reached on Saturday
■ Equipment losses slightly below average; most 7-day drone & artillery losses to date
■ 🇷🇺 strikes intensify; 12 🇺🇦 strikes reported
■ Poternet: +256 🇷🇺 names added to KIA database

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/kJ7Igyo-MUE

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - MAY 22, 2024

■ Casualties slightly below 7-day average; milestone of 500k expected before end of week
■ Equipment losses below average but most 7-day vehicle & drone losses since the invasion started
■ Shelling & drone attacks far above average but other strike indicators below
■ Poternet: +214 🇷🇺 names added to database; confirmed KIA surpass 76k

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/m8hcz4S--O4

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - MAY 21, 2024

■ Casualties stay at a high level; expected to reach 500k by the end of this week
■ Massive equipment losses continue; record 7-day losses of vehicles including fuel tanks
■ Heavy 🇷🇺 strikes; all indicators except air strikes above 7-day average
■ Poternet: +274 🇷🇺 names added to database; confirmed KIA now close to 76k

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/v7Kg-GiDirc

ragnarbjartur,
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

@VikingChieftain I'm still hoping for something unexpected happening in Russia. If Putin lost power, the war would stop - any successor would grab the opportunity to withdraw and blame Putin for the invasion.

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - MAY 20, 2024

■ 5th highest casualties since start of invasion; expected to reach 500k at the end of this week
■ Massive equipment losses continue; biggest drone losses so far this year
■ Loss of minesweeper Project 266M "Kovrovets" confirmed
■ Heavy 🇷🇺 strikes; >1k drone attacks in a single day

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/sKbgo5cghgM

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - MAY 19, 2024

■ Combat engagements & casualties stay below 7-day average
■ Massive equipment losses continue; less armor but more artillery & vehicles
■ Heavy 🇷🇺 strikes; >400 drone attacks had already taken place so I assume 4 was missing from the reported 58 figure
■ A. Perpetua's losses for yesterday above 🇷🇺/🇺🇦 ratio but 30-day ratio stays unchanged

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/rtwQ9rym6V0

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - MAY 18, 2024

■ Combat engagements & casualties below 7-day average
■ Massive equipment losses, including 5th plane in last 7 days
■ Increased 🇷🇺 strikes (waiting on data on yesterday's 🇺🇦 strikes)
■ 🇷🇺/🇺🇦 ratios for visually confirmed losses continue to narrow

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/mn72FfHq5Y8

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - MAY 17, 2024

■ 🇷🇺 making gains but they are costly: 4th highest daily casualties, record 7-day ones
■ Equipment losses include 2x jets & a helicopter (haven't seen further info on them)
■ Increased 🇷🇺 strikes, 🇺🇦 strikes down between days
■ Poternet: +570 🇷🇺 names added to database

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/hTICz8IC44I

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - MAY 16, 2024

■ Casualties up between days, 7-day figure at a record level, combat engagements stay high
■ Equipment losses above average as well; probably vehicle record (the formal record is from the first days of the invasion when they were catching up on the data)
■ Unchanged 🇷🇺 shelling but fewer drone, air & missile attacks
■ 39 🇺🇦 strikes reported yesterday; most this year so far

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/u6YxQGTU000

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - MAY 15, 2024

■ 2nd highest casualties to date, record 7-day casualties, high level of combat engagements
■ Equipment up between days; APVs, tanks & special equipment above 7-day average
■ Changed strike reporting; shelling has replaced number of MLRS strikes
■ 🇺🇦 strikes now combined and reported at a different time in the day

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/hs1Enlhzxp0

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - MAY 13, 2024

■ Record casualties (old record of 1,380 set on Oct 20, 2023)
■ Equipment losses above 7-day average; biggest tank losses of 2024 so far
■ Greatly improved strike ratio; big drop in 🇷🇺 strikes
■ Poternet: +368 🇷🇺 names added as KIA

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/n-ZErcCvy6s

ragnarbjartur,
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ RECORD CASUALTIES - MAY 13, 2024

■ Old record of 1,380 set on Oct 20, 2023
■ Based on current 7-day average, 500,000 would be reached on May 26

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/jzEymVt8wNc

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - MAY 12, 2024

■ Most combat engagements this year so far, 3rd highest since start of reporting
■ High casualties but equipment losses below 7-day average
■ Unfavorable strike ratio development; more 🇷🇺 strikes, fewer 🇺🇦 ones
■ Oryx: 39 🇷🇺 30 🇺🇦 added to records (net addition); 30-day ratio down to 2.5x

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/r6zK3WtxevQ

ragnarbjartur,
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

@osz @Paladin @VikingChieftain First rule of golf: Always make sure your buggy is armored before setting off.

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - MAY 11, 2024

■ Combat engagements up between days; highest casualties of 2024 matched
■ Massive equipment losses including 55 artillery units
■ Increased 🇷🇺 strikes; combined strike ratio at 7-day average
■ Visually confirmed ratio in last 30 days: Oryx 2.7x, Perpetua 2.8x

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/ja0OyQPSTns

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - MAY 10, 2024

■ Fewer combat engagements; daily casualties dip below 1,000
■ Equipment losses well above average; notable MLRS losses
■ Air & artillery strike ratio combined due to GSUA reporting; improved ratio between days
■ Poternet: +199 🇷🇺 names added to database

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/joWoxLmL-pc

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - MAY 8, 2024

■ Fewer combat engagements & casualties; 7-day average still above 1,000 though
■ Daily equipment losses below average but record 7-days of artillery losses
■ Fewer strikes on both sides; 🇺🇦 strikes combined by GSUA in today's report
■ Poternet: +453 🇷🇺 names added to database

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/gmTdcMhN8vQ

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