Warning of a forthcoming collapse of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation - Nature Communications

red_october, 10 months ago

If the records shattered this year tell us anything, it is that these models are too optimistic. Undoubtedly, this will occur during our lives.

guriinii, 10 months ago

Yeah, I know it’s a bit of a meme within the community. But surely scientists should start modelling in ‘faster than expected’ to get more accurate results.

brainfreeze, 10 months ago

That's a pretty good spread of years, though. Is that something that they can reduce with more data or technological advances?

chuckleslord, 10 months ago

Tl;dr, AMOC collapse extremely likely (95% confidence) from 2025-2095. So, within many people’s lifetimes.

eleitl, 9 months ago

It doesn’t stop overnight. In fact it has noticeably slowed down already. Of course the process becomes quicker when Greenland freshwater runoff becomes massive.