Don’t let the upvotes fool you. Lots of bandwagon jumpers. Hell, on reddit people downvoted great comments just because it had a emoji or some dumb shit 🤪🤪🤪
According to Social Security’s Actuarial Life Tables, Joe Biden has a life expectancy of 7 years, and there’s about a 1/3 chance he will die before he is 86.
Trump currently has a life expectancy of 9 years, and there’s about a 1/4 chance he will die before he is 82.
So, as it’s looking now, regardless of the election results it’s about a 29% chance that the next president dies in office. At that level of risk you basically have to plan for it - or it would be foolish not to.
Thats not factoring in the absolutely top class medical care that the president gets. I would wager that significantly skews the stats in bidens favor, as current president… especially considering how we’ve heard the white house doc under Trump basically threw pills around at like 100x the acceptable rate.
and, again, the general population has, comparatively, shit for healthcare access and no where near the level of care that the president does. Which does absolutely skew things in that individual instance.
Actuarial tables are a magnificent tool for when you’re betting en Masse and terrible if you’re betting once. My money is on the slightly older individual who takes care of himself and has shown only slight age based decline as opposed to the man who is two years younger, obese, lives off fast food, doesn’t exercise, and seems to be at a further stage of decline to my 90 year old grandpa.
I too would bet on Biden. I was just trying to stick to the facts. The facts are that they’re both old as shit. Biden is the same age as my grandmother. She has her wits about her. But nobody lives forever. I think a 5% annual chance of death is a fair assessment for anybody who’s 80. That’s still a 95% of survival.
He’s also never going to be president. I wish he was, but I won’t be voting for him in the 2028 primaries. I’ll probably vote for AOC or whoever else takes his place.
Honestly, clearly age is just a number. Jimmy Carter should have run for a second term… 99, 81 what’s the difference really? As long as they surround themselves with the right people.
I think that since you have to be 35 to run. We should have a max age… ~70 or with in 20 years of the average age of vote eligible adults, which ever is lower.
OK, but what’s the cut off? What if we say it’s 70. But someone would turn 70 on the last year that they are president. And let’s say it’s the second term for example. So then what? they’re completely not allowed to run Because the last month that they are 69 years old, they would turn 70 and his term would be slightly longer than that. Or the reverse, someone is running at 34 but would turn 35 Just prior to becoming president, assuming he would win. Also, some people at age 70 are doing fantastic, and some have a lot of health problems. Some with those health problems are still mentally sharp, and some without health problems can be mental declined due to say dementia. So I think that is a little more complicated than just setting arbitrary limits. Last comment, our life spans are getting longer and longer… So then what? If it eventually needs to be extended, that also would become a huge debate.
Because no single advisor can ever be well-rounded enough. Part of being a leader, and maybe the biggest part, is identifying people you should listen to, amalgamating all the input, adding your own take and moving forward.
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