If both teams end up on 4 points after this game I think they'll be more than happy.
Paul Carr is a Football guy who used to work for ESPN and his prediction is a Double Chance of Italy & the draw, i.e. it'll probably end in a draw but, as his opinion of the Swedes is they're past their peak, then if anyone's going to win it it's the Italians.
Paul is very good at this stuff- so I've blindly followed his advice.