So just to be clear - are you predicting that this new Switch will release in the window just before xmas 2024, as announcing a new console now and not releasing it for a while is tantamount to shooting their christmas sales for the original console in the foot?
If so I guess it depends - will the new console be backwards compatible? If so, people will likely continue to buy games now in the knowledge that they can upgrade later on. And there have been rumours of a new Switch for a while. I suspect most people who wanted an OLED Switch by now would’ve got one. I feel like they could announce the console now and release it after a year or two, without hurting themselves too badly.