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ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - MAY 21, 2024

■ Casualties stay at a high level; expected to reach 500k by the end of this week
■ Massive equipment losses continue; record 7-day losses of vehicles including fuel tanks
■ Heavy 🇷🇺 strikes; all indicators except air strikes above 7-day average
■ Poternet: +274 🇷🇺 names added to database; confirmed KIA now close to 76k

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/v7Kg-GiDirc

ragnarbjartur,
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

@VikingChieftain I'm still hoping for something unexpected happening in Russia. If Putin lost power, the war would stop - any successor would grab the opportunity to withdraw and blame Putin for the invasion.

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - MAY 22, 2024

■ Casualties slightly below 7-day average; milestone of 500k expected before end of week
■ Equipment losses below average but most 7-day vehicle & drone losses since the invasion started
■ Shelling & drone attacks far above average but other strike indicators below
■ Poternet: +214 🇷🇺 names added to database; confirmed KIA surpass 76k

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/m8hcz4S--O4

ragnarbjartur,
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

@Paladin even if we only consider the 76k KIA reported by Poternet, that's well above the 58k the Americans lost in 20 YEARS in Vietnam.

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - MAY 12, 2024

■ Most combat engagements this year so far, 3rd highest since start of reporting
■ High casualties but equipment losses below 7-day average
■ Unfavorable strike ratio development; more 🇷🇺 strikes, fewer 🇺🇦 ones
■ Oryx: 39 🇷🇺 30 🇺🇦 added to records (net addition); 30-day ratio down to 2.5x

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/r6zK3WtxevQ

ragnarbjartur,
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

@osz @Paladin @VikingChieftain First rule of golf: Always make sure your buggy is armored before setting off.

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - MAY 13, 2024

■ Record casualties (old record of 1,380 set on Oct 20, 2023)
■ Equipment losses above 7-day average; biggest tank losses of 2024 so far
■ Greatly improved strike ratio; big drop in 🇷🇺 strikes
■ Poternet: +368 🇷🇺 names added as KIA

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/n-ZErcCvy6s

ragnarbjartur,
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ RECORD CASUALTIES - MAY 13, 2024

■ Old record of 1,380 set on Oct 20, 2023
■ Based on current 7-day average, 500,000 would be reached on May 26

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/jzEymVt8wNc

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - MAY 2, 2024

■ Engagements & casualties stay high; six consecutive days of >1,000 casualties
■ Considerable equipment losses; Armor (Tanks + APVs) well above 7-day average
■ Distribution between 🇺🇦 air & artillery strikes estimated (was reported as a combined figure)
■ Oryx: totals up by 60 🇷🇺 21 🇺🇦; 30-day ratio rises to 3.0x

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/gd4r72H_Zu0

ragnarbjartur,
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

@VikingChieftain you should just see today's report then! Highest 7-day casualties to date, excellent equipment losses and increase in Ukrainian strikes (finally).

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - APR 29, 2024

■ Most engagements & casualties this year so far; 3rd highest casualties recorded
■ Equipment losses slightly above average; include two air defence systems
■ Increase in 🇷🇺 strikes affects strike ratios

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/ljtzKsvKN_I

ragnarbjartur,
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

@VikingChieftain six days in a row with 1k+ casualties

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN #UKRAINE - APR 24, 2024

■ Combat engagements & casualties rise above 7-day average
■ Equipment losses above average as well; significant artillery losses
■ Increased 🇺🇦 strikes; best strike ratios in a while

See dashboard for further data

#UkraineWar #UkraineRussiaWar

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/hQ2en41USPI

ragnarbjartur,
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

@VikingChieftain 13 tank losses reported today at least but has been pretty low lately indeed

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - APR 21, 2024

■ Combat engagements stay at a high level with casualties well above 7-day average
■ Massive equipment losses with notable air defence, special equipment & tank losses
■ Improved strike ratios; 6 🇺🇦 artillery strikes reported
■ Oryx: Corrections & removal of duplicates brings 30-day ratio down to 2.6x
■ US Senate expected to pass aid bill on Tuesday after passing the House

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/lM2gibi9LMw

ragnarbjartur,
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

@VikingChieftain today's report is a little less gree but Ukrainian airforce was busy - most airstrikes in a while!

ragnarbjartur,
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

@VikingChieftain was just publishing today's report - looking good!

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - JAN 24, 2024

■ Casualties slightly above 7-day average, massive landbased equipment losses including record high artillery losses
■ Strikes far above average & include 🇷🇺 missile strikes, many settlements under artillery fire but fewer engagements
■ Oryx: 85 🇷🇺 14 🇺🇦 added to records (66:12 after removal of duplicates/corrections), 30-day ratio rises to 2.5x

See dashboard for further data

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/jSncmgQqBCc

ragnarbjartur,
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ RECORD ARTILLERY LOSSES

Development of Russian artillery losses in the last 250 days

Earlier record of 58 was set on November 15, 2023

See dashboard for further information

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/je7iq48VBhE

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - NOV 16

■ 🇺🇦 strikes stay above 7-day average, 🇷🇺 strikes & combat engagements below
■ 2nd highest daily troop losses, 7-day losses reach new heights
■ Equipment losses well above 7-day average as well

See dashboard for further analysis

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/vB7ofGoeCtc

ragnarbjartur,
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - NOV 16

Development of troop & landbased equipment losses in 2023

There have been 16 days so far this year with losses of 1 000 troops or higher

See dashboard for further analysis

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/sRPsxB07YEk

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - NOV 11

■ Strikes on both sides & combat engagements at a high level
■ Record high 7-day troop losses, 3rd highest daily losses
■ Equipment losses well above average as well, including 2 boats
■ KIU: +37 officers (5.3 per day in last 4 batches)

See dashboard for further analysis

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/ob-sq61cH-Y

ragnarbjartur,
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

@elCelio Jakub Janovsky still updates the Oryx data. His most recent tweet:

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - NOV 7

■ Relatively few strikes on both sides reported
■ Combat engagements up between days though
■ Troop losses remain high with record high 30-day losses
■ Equipment losses below 7-day average

See dashboard for further analysis

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/uX8-xzUNAFU

ragnarbjartur,
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

@elCelio I'll be adding even more Warspotting data in the next few weeks.

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - OCT 20

■ Record troop, APV & tank losses, biggest equipment losses of 2023
■ Result of successful 🇺🇦 strikes & mindless 🇷🇺 attacks
■ KIU: +42 officers bring total to 3,000
■ Poternet: +9,102 🇷🇺 KIA identified bring total over 70k

See dashboard for further analysis

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/vs68IqRPKxo

ragnarbjartur,
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

@elCelio the Oryx data on the war in Ukraine is updated by Jakub Janovsky, who is also working with Warspotting now.

ragnarbjartur, to Ukraine
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

⚡️ WAR IN - OCT 11

■ Massive strikes & most combat engagements since Mar 22
■ Biggest single-day troop losses in over two months
■ Most land-based equipment, APV & tank losses of 2023
■ 2nd jet of the month

See dashboard for further analysis

📈 https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/pxTKPl46jVM

ragnarbjartur,
@ragnarbjartur@masto.ai avatar

@elCelio interesting to see. Thank you.

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