@barney@fmhilton@heidilifeldman I think 'near-certainty is just overstating in the other direction. Trump has a decent chance of winning, but also a decent chance of losing. For him to win he needs to do much better in 2020, which requires that a whole bunch of people who thought Biden was better then have to decide that in spite of all the indictments and Trump's steady stream of nonsense that he is now better than Biden. That could happen, but it's not certain at all.