isosphere

@isosphere@beehaw.org

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isosphere,

500 internal errors in console, video doesn’t play

isosphere,

i’d settle for more sidewalks in my town

on some streets they just paint a line down the road and call it a sidewalk - one of these is on a road touching an elementary school

isosphere,

I’d probably do this for a hobby project

but financial software? no way in heck!

isosphere,

A borderline racial slur about making things look good without substance behind the appearance: e.g.: “riced-up Honda civic”

isosphere,

It’s “rice” because it’s asian; it’s a derogatory term used towards people and their cars. When I was younger, this term was used against asian drivers and their asian cars - and it was not a compliment.

Looking at Urban Dictionary I see no mention of this anti-asian side of it, but it was there when I was growing up. Maybe others can chime in with their experience, I imagine it wasn’t the same everywhere.

Not implying the people using it here are being racist, I don’t think they are aware of what I’m recalling here.

isosphere,

I agree, but it should still be retired regardless of intended usage - history matters; we don’t have to mistakenly other people to show off cool screenshots

isosphere,

I’ve read the thread; Rust-folk I recognize seem to accept that this was done to reduce compile time without suspecting bad-faith, but I can’t independently verify that.

There’s a post in there where sometime tries to manually compile the same binary to verify that it matches the shipped binary and they were not able to do it, but there could be a good reason for that. Reproducible builds are hard.

isosphere,

Office is weird about it because of their OneDrive product

isosphere,

Their entire worldview is an anxiety buffet; they’ve got something for everyone, all they need to bring is unmanaged fear

isosphere,

This is not answering your question (I can’t argue for my current SWR, it’s the trinity study minus a random fudge factor), but I’ve implemented an idea that I think others would benefit from.

I’ve been tracking my current withdrawal rate through time, based on my periodic calculation of baseline expenses. I suppose I could use actual expenses, but that’s remarkably volatile, so instead I take the 6 month average of recurring costs.

The benefit is a nice time series graph I can watch. I can plot a horizontal line for my current expected return on capital, and another for my safe withdrawal rate.

The net result is a lot of information condensed nicely. You can see at a glance if you’re trending towards safety, or away from it.

https://beehaw.org/pictrs/image/c956a19f-5e27-4815-b780-db5ff6550517.webp

isosphere,

most of the people buying these are buying a costume, not a work vehicle, if my neighbors are any indication

it’s a status symbol

isosphere,

I’m not saying there isn’t a backdoor, but I can comfortably say that the user who posted that is nuts.

isosphere,

That’ll cost about a million dollars in savings to sustain long term, assuming you’re invested in the stock market and you withdraw 4% a year (“safe withdrawal rate”)

Good luck everybody 😕

Canada's inflation rate slows to 3.4%, lowest level in almost 2 years (www.cbc.ca)

Canada’s inflation rate decelerated to 3.4 per cent in the year up to May, Statistics Canada said Tuesday, led by sharply lower gasoline prices. But beneath the headline slowdown in consumer prices, many facets of the cost of living are still increasing at an eye-watering pace. Grocery prices went up at an almost nine per cent...

isosphere,

I'm not going to get excited about any "deceleration"; this is still an increase. And due to "base effects",^1^ we're comparing against high values. Until it's steeply negative it's nothing to get excited about.

^1^ year over year measures compare now versus a year ago. if a year ago was unusually high, you'd expect this comparison to revert to the mean over time as the window shifts forward; it could have more to do with what you're comparing to (a year ago) than what's happening today

isosphere,

it crashed the first time I tried to reply to this post

isosphere, (edited )

I spent a lot of time learning from traders, and learning statistics. Most folks in trading use misleading profit and loss metrics to see if something is worth trading. I used the same kind of backtests, but I layered Bayesian inferencing on top of it.

I studied machine learning with Andrew Ng's courses, studied deep learning with Ian Goodfellow's book. Most importantly I took a course run by university professor and researcher in anthropology, Richard McElreath. I did my best to faithfully apply what I learned, though I am sure I strayed from academic standards.

At that point I had been doing this for years, for countless hours. It was my only hobby, and I dive hard into hobbies.

I tried my damnedest to be predictive every which way. I kept meticulous records to avoid fooling myself. Sometimes my models fooled me, and sometimes they combined with luck for my records to fool me. Long term, it's pretty clear. No evidence of any edge, ever, for any approach taken.

At the end of all of this toil and labour, I have the skills I learned along the way: statistical skepticism, a hands-on understanding of fat tails, an appreciation for the experience of randomness and the highs and lows of gambling. I think that's worth a lot - but I also think you can learn that a lot easier some other way.

I have done very well with buy and hold, it's fantastic. There's some bullshit in how you assign your portfolio - what proportions of what exposures - but its very profitable and exceptionally low stress compared to trading. It definitely has a better Sharpe/sortino/ulcer metric.

isosphere,

Hard agree; I think academics and programmers are especially susceptible to this. It's an addiction that hooks in intellectual hubris, a condition I have some experience with.

isosphere,

My Nova Scotia home was built by the government in 1990! This entire street was. There's also a little cul-de-sac of co-op rentals. Doesn't that sound like a great idea today?

isosphere,

I love it in principal, but I found it reliable for long term operation. I was trying to use it as part of a home automation setup. Kept it updated, just had to be restarted all the time.

Your experience suggests maybe this isn't true anymore; are you aware of a time when stability was bad and now it's fixed?

isosphere,

I think it might have its place, but that place might be part of calligraphy in an art class.

Multiplayer Co-op games

My friends and I have been exhausting our current library of games and are looking for suggestions. It tends to be pretty hard for us to all meet at the same time. Usually we prefer to do stuff that we can finish in one session on the weekends because one person might have to leave as another person joins. Don't mind if its new...

isosphere,

I just got this game and I’m having a blast, this is the style of game I’ve been hungry for for a long time.

isosphere,

I’m too early in the game to know this well, but I feel the lack of mod support. This feels like a game that would really thrive with community support, but they have no plans on supporting mods or open sourcing it. They are currently working on a new project that they haven’t elaborated on yet.

Still, I got this game for $14 and if I can find some people to play with I’m absolutely going to get my money’s worth - this kind of game just doesn’t exist with this level of depth. I love the technical detail of how the ship works on and how the systems interact with each other.

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