janrosenow,
@janrosenow@mastodon.energy avatar

Two things we keep getting consistently wrong:

1⃣ Vastly overestimating future coal demand

2⃣ Massively underestimating future generation of solar PV

Love these graphics from @rethink_x

peterdrake,
@peterdrake@qoto.org avatar

@janrosenow @rethink_x Alt text: two graphs, one of solar PV energy production and one for coal demand. Each of them shows predictions year after year. Each prediction is more optimistic than the last (higher PV, lower coal) and the actual curve suggests even the most recent prediction may be pessimistic.

petergleick,

@janrosenow @rethink_x By "we" you mean the traditional energy agencies the IEA and EIA!

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