I am concerned that with the messes in both Ukraine and Gaza, a civil war here could potentially attract enough intervention to link all three conflicts together: Turtle Island, Europe, and the Middle East.
Here's the scenario:
Putin has intervened here for Trump before and no doubt already is again. Now the stakes are higher: Trump in the White House or a high level civil war here both cut off US aid to Ukraine. Europe will have a difficult time replacing that, encouraging all of Europe also to intervene here. The possibility of a wider war in Europe cannot be ruled out, especially if Putin blames a nearby NATO state for Ukraine surviving a US aid cutoff. Long shot, but not impossible.
There is also the role of the US in Gaza. Fighting here could put an end to US involvement there, but most likely enough of the rich would control enough of the arms industry to keep that flowing. You can bet it's a higher priority than Ukraine to them. This encourages Israel to intervene here to protect the US side of their arms industry. Again, this may already be taking place. Also again, the rest of the Middle East will have to find ways to counter that. Like the war in Europe, the war in Gaza has potential to spread to much more of the Middle East. Hopefully will not, but it could.
The result is that the war on Turtle Island in a worst case scenario could become linked both to a broader war in the Middle East and to a broader war in Europe.
That is a world war by definition, even though it would be a multipolar and non-nuclear one.
@KawaTora Glad you were able to get out. Since last Spring, there has been a reported LGBTQ migration here out of states such as Florida and Texas, but we'll never be able to get everyone out. It seems to have slowed after the end of the 2023 legislative season, but I expect chaos once first the 2024 legislative season, then the election really get going.
I am committed to fighting on the front as long as I am physically capable of doing to and have a community left to defend.
@LukefromDC
I had a friend named Rick in high school. Rick was in the closet until he was 25.
Rick left our hometown after he came out. He moved to a small town in Indiana where he began to identify and dress as a female. She called herself Rose. One day in 2011 Rose was beaten into a coma by three white Christians (Rose / Rick was a Latino / Latina) for the crime of crossdressing. She died in the hospital after regaining consciousness and finding she was paralyzed from the waist down. I found out what happened a few years later when I found his/her father on Facebook. I had also left my hometown because it's filled with the types that would later support MAGA and there were no jobs. I wish I could go back in time and tell Rose to move to California and not rural Indiana. #LGBTQRights#lynching#Christian
@KawaTora
Justice would have been all three of those Christian extremists getting shot in the spine as they launched their attack. LOTS of people and especially trans folks have armed in response to the rivers of hate in this country.
@LukefromDC
Australia used to have gun laws like the USA, until they didn't. Changing the law is enough to get most people to turn in their guns or at least never take them outside again. The few who keep their guns in violation of the law get punished with a decade in prison when they get caught with a gun in public or it gets found at their house on a search warrant. If getting caught with a gun would get you an automatic 10 year sentence, you would either not carry it or you would turn it in. Japan has strict gun laws and I feel safer here than I ever did in the US.
@KawaTora Guns buried underground or hidden in homes will come out fast in a civil war. Culture is different here, if enough people refuse to comply no law can be enforced.
This killed the 55 mph speed limit, made the 21 drinking age useless, and deterred Reagan from bringing back the draft after so many (myself included) refused to register in the 1980's.
The drug laws, and existing urban gun laws in the US also come to mind here. DC long had a near ban on guns-combined with some of the highest rates of shootings during the Crack Wars of the 1980's/
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