Alon,
@Alon@mastodon.social avatar
bdsint,

@Alon

Hamas seems terrified of an Israeli invasion of Rafah.
They were counting on Biden and other world leaders as well as UN and NGO officials to continue to protect them in Rafah, but Israel's threat to invade might just have convinced them to agree to a ceasefire-hostage deal.

Alon,
@Alon@mastodon.social avatar

@bdsint It's not just this. The deal is better for them than the previous round (much more favorable prisoner release ratio); the Rafah invasion threat is weaker now than it was in January, when the IDF was more mobilized for it. Rather, the US is pressuring Qatar much more forcefully to pressure Hamas.

BenRossTransit,
@BenRossTransit@mastodon.social avatar

@Alon @bdsint They may also have had illusions about what the campus demonstrations were going to accomplish, which have now been exploded.
And who knows what threats or promises have been made by Egypt.

Alon,
@Alon@mastodon.social avatar

@BenRossTransit @bdsint I sincerely doubt Hamas pays much attention to campus protests? Palestinian activism in Palestine in general doesn't dialogue much with the global Palestine movement - for example, BDS is obscure in Palestine (the one person who attempted to launch a boycott, focusing on settlement products, is Salam Fayyad, the guy Thomas Friedman likes), and there's no support for one binational state.

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