@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

BM_Visser

@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy

Professor Energy Transition & Networks Hanze University Groningen, The Netherlands.
Manager Strategy Gasunie
Fellow Clingendael International Energy Programme (CIEP).
Blogs (in Dutch) on www.Energiepodium.nl.
Facts matter!

This profile is from a federated server and may be incomplete. Browse more on the original instance.

BM_Visser, (edited ) to random Dutch
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

The contribution of solar, onshore and offshore wind to Dutch power demand in March 2024.
Negative values are to be compensated by exports (up to about 7 GW) or by curtailment.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

Although Germany, Belgium and the Netherlands have had different climate policies since 1990, their greenhouse gas emissions follow more or less the same path.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

In 2024, many European countries experience 2-3% hours with negative power prices.
Only Spain and Portugal experience about 20% hours with power prices close to zero (in 2024). Partly this is due to abundant hydro this year at the Iberian peninsula
(1 €/MWh = 0,1 €ct/kWh)

BM_Visser, (edited ) to random Dutch
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

In 2024, until now, the Netherlands has about 3% of all hours negative day ahead power prices. In 2023, this was 2%.
Negative prices can be seen as an anomaly of the power system, but appear for 2-3% of the time, almost everywhere in Europe in 2024.
I expect (and have predicted that years ago) that this phenomenon will become a common feature in Europe from 2025 onwards.

BM_Visser,
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

Nee. Gas kan gemakkelijk en goedkoop in grote hoeveelheden worden opgeslagen, dus zal niet snel een negatieve waarde krijgen.

Negatieve stroomprijzen betreft overaanbod uit wind en zon. De spaarzame gascentrales die dan nog draaien maken sec verlies op verkochte elektriciteit, maar verdienen hun geld met dienstverlening aan TenneT of anderen die flex nodig hebben en/of worden 'warm gehouden' met het oog op de avondpiek wanneer wel (zeer) winstgevend kan worden geproduceerd.

BM_Visser,
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

@mfierst

Ze zijn gekoppeld op (nog) heel veel uren dat er onvoldoende zon en wind (en kernenergie) is om in de stroomvraag te voorzien, inclusief effect import/export, waardoor gascentrales de marginale MWh produceren.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

In just 7 years, EU27 coal-fired power generation has been halved.
This resulted in 2/5 of the 33% reduction of CO2-emissions by the EU27-power sector since 2017. (assuming gas-fired power generation as reference)

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

The rapid growth of Dutch solar: from dwarf to world champion in just 10 years.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

My new blog on www.energiepodium.nl: with more than 9000 business waiting for grid capacity in the Netherlands, we have to act.
Therefore: Hurrah for Hybrid!
https://www.energiepodium.nl/artikel/hoera-voor-hybride

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

In January 2024, EU27 electricity demand was 4% larger than a year before, but still 4% lower than the (pre-crisis) average of January 2017-2021.
A sign of (partial) recovery of the EU economy, caused by almost 50% lower energy prices y-o-y?

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

Interesting distribution of power prices in NW-Europe, tomorrow afternoon, April 11th.

In Germany, there is significant sunshine and consequently, day-ahead electricity is almost free (€0,57/MWh).
In the Netherlands, it is cloudy and some drizzle is expected and consequently, the day-ahead electricity price is rather high (85,05/MWh).

BM_Visser,
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

@guusdk
We also did not see hardly any price elasticity for electricity. So, I don't expect a significant effect.

BM_Visser, to random
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

The Dutch could have produced 24 GW from solar and wind this afternoon. However, with a national demand of about 13 GW and 6 GW export, significant solar and wind had to be curtailed.
This curtailment is not (yet) included in the app www.energieopwek.nl

BM_Visser,
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

@rwwh
Yes, offshore wind are measured quantities (ENTSO-E), and thus including curtailment.
Onshore wind and solarPV are, by lack of measured data, modeled quantities, which does not take curtailment into account

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

In 2023, the EU power industry emitted 24% less CO2 compared to 2022.
In the press, including the press statement by EU, this was mainly attributed to the increase of solar and wind in 2023.
However, this explains only a quarter of the decrease y-o-y.

Increase of hydro because 2022 was a very dry year.

Decrease of coal mainly because of the relative low natural gas prices and high CO2-prices, which made running coal-fired power stations more expensive than gas-fired.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

Tomorrow afternoon, April 6th 2024, we will have seven consecutive hours of negative electricity prices in NW-Europe.

This 'anomaly', valuable electricity is priced like waste, is caused by a combination of the market model and subsidies & regulations in the various NW-European countries, that do not give sufficient incentives to producers to stop production when negative prices occur.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

For onshore wind, expressed in MWh/km2, the Netherlands is top in Europe.
For solar PV, one country harvests more energy per km2 than the Netherlands.
Do you know which?

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

In the IEA net-zero scenario, global coal demand decreases until 2030 by 45% while global demand for oil and natural gas decreases by 20%.
Other 'Paris-proof' scenario's achieve similar conclusions.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

In 2023, the Netherlands harvested more than 400 MWh of (onshore) wind energy per km2 of land (lakes included).

This was more than any other country in Europe; and probably as well in the world.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

Dutch weather was not spectacular this week; not much wind and cloudy.
Nevertheless, 59% of all electricity used in the Netherlands came from renewable sources.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

In 2023, the percentage of renewable electricity in the Netherlands has become higher than in the UK.

BM_Visser,
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

@DrJay In 2013, the allDutch stakeholders ('polder') agreed on a concrete plan ('Energieakkoord'). After a few years of preparations, including subsidy schemes, a massive roll out of, in particular, solar and wind (onshore and offshore) occurred. Is is a form a central planning, with the execution by market participants.

Similarly, in 2019, a new plan was adopted ('Klimaatakkoord') which deals in particular with the periode 2023-2030.
See: https://www.klimaatakkoord.nl/klimaatakkoord

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

In 2023, despite the high gas prices, the percentage of gas-fired power generation in the EU was above the average of 2017-2021.

It can be concluded that the effect of the closure of coal-fired and nuclear power stations outpaced the combined effect of increasing amounts of solar and wind generation and a lower power consumption in the EU.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

Yesterday was a top day for Dutch solar PV production: almost 100.000 MWh was produced, sufficient for about 30% of total Dutch power demand that day.

Around 1 PM, solar generation was sufficient for 100% ofDutch power demand. This was technically possible because at that time, the Netherlands exported a significant amount of power.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

The fraction of electricity generation from wind in the electricity mix of the EU27 countries in 2023.

For your information, I have added solar, hydro and nuclear.

  • All
  • Subscribed
  • Moderated
  • Favorites
  • •
  • JUstTest
  • tacticalgear
  • thenastyranch
  • ngwrru68w68
  • magazineikmin
  • khanakhh
  • rosin
  • mdbf
  • Youngstown
  • slotface
  • everett
  • cisconetworking
  • kavyap
  • DreamBathrooms
  • anitta
  • InstantRegret
  • Durango
  • osvaldo12
  • ethstaker
  • modclub
  • GTA5RPClips
  • Leos
  • cubers
  • tester
  • normalnudes
  • megavids
  • provamag3
  • lostlight
  • All magazines
    •