@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy
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BM_Visser

@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy

Professor Energy Transition & Networks Hanze University Groningen, The Netherlands.
Manager Strategy Gasunie
Fellow Clingendael International Energy Programme (CIEP).
Blogs (in Dutch) on www.Energiepodium.nl.
Facts matter!

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BM_Visser, to random Dutch
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The rising share of renewables in the Dutch gross final energy consumption. EU-definition.
It is planned that this share will be about 30% in 2030, mainly due to an increase in offshore wind.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
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The decreasing CO2 footprint of power generation in Germany, Belgium and The Netherlands.

Due to the closure of nuclear power stations in Belgium and Germany the CO2 footprint of the power generation in these countries decreased hardly in recent years. Without the 5% reduction in power demand last year, due to the energy crsisis, this effect would have been even more pronounced.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
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Last week, the Netherlands 'scored' 53% of its entire electricity demand from renewable sources.
Official international definition.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
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Normalized Dutch power prices: annual averages per hour of the day.
The effect of growing solar PV is clearly visible.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
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Renewable energy production in the Netherlands by heat pumps (for heating) and solar panels.
Combining both techniques at large scale causes significant stress to the electricity system.

BM_Visser,
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@mfierst
yes, it is the net energy delivery (usually taken from the ambient air).

BM_Visser,
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@andrewalker

At your service!

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
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The (calculated) average daily CO2-emission because of electricity generation in the Netherlands. Since 2015, the amount has decreaed by 50%.

Probably, around 2030 it will be, on average, 50% less than currently. Mainly because of significant increase in solar and wind (offshore !) production.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
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Yesterday, wind turbines provided a record of 222 GWh renewable electricity to the Dutch grid. Equal to 65% of the total power demand that Monday.

Note that the 10 days top wind energy production in the Netherlands have occrurred this winter. Due to the fact that both onshore and offshore wind capacity has significantly increased in the last 12 months.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
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My new blog on www.Energiepodium.nl.
"If you aim for a rapid reduction of CO2 emissions, use blue hydrogen as an intermediate solution.
In Dutch.
https://energiepodium.nl/artikel/wie-haast-heeft-kiest-blauw

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
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Daily percentage of renewable energy in the Netherlands.
In January 2014, the percentage was on average 15,5%.
Daily variations occur due to variability of solar and wind and due to variations in the daily energy consumption amongst other caused by the weekend/weekday pattern & ambient temperatures.
Energy = electricity + industrial and domestic heating + transport fuels

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
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Despite the high natural gas prices, gas-fired power is less costly than power from coal and lignite.
Consequently, with low wind availability, the gas-fired power stations in the Netherlands are not only used for the Dutch power market, but, for a significant fraction, as well to supply neighbouring countries.

Yes, the closure of nuclear in BE/DE plays a significant role here.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
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The 'carrot' graph for the Netherlands: the contribution of solar and wind to Dutch power demand in January 2024.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
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The growth of solar energy in the Netherlands continues.
In mid-winter January 2024, the Netherlands produced the same amount of solar energy as in mid-summer July 2019.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
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In January 2024, Dutch* average day-ahead power prices were 40%** lower than in January 2023, but still much higher than before the energy crisis.

*also: NW-European power prices
**natural gas prices were also 40% lower than previous January.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
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The state of Dutch manufacturing industry, expressed in their gas demand.

While gas demand from Dutch food industry was stable, gas demand from Dutch chemical industry (synthetic materials) has decreased. In my view, this is due to the fact that the chemical industry competes globally, while the Dutch food industry has been able to transfer the high energy prices into higher product prices. Agree?

I expect a similar pattern for electricity demand but these data are not available yet.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
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Last week, 54% of the total electricity demand of the Netherlands came from renewable sources.

Consequently, power generation by the Dutch coal-fired power stations was hardly required.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
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In 2023, despite the high natural gas prices, the market share of LNG in bunkering in Rotterdam increased to more than 5%. Due to its environmental advantages compared to heavy fuel oil.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
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In the three weeks between 20 December and 9 January, 50% of the tota Dutch electricity consumption cam from wind turbines.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
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The roller coaster of the European spot gas prices in recent years. Yesterday's closure was at 27 €/MWh. Still about 10 €/MWh more than in 2017-2020.

Note that the gas crisis started already in summer 2021* after Russia decreased their spot supplies to Europe.

*half a year before the war started.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
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Last week, natural gas prices in Europe continued their decline since November 2023. Not only the months ahead for this winter, but also for the years 2025-2028.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
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Most EU countries have reached the promised 15% decrease of their natural gas consumption. A nice example of solidarity.

Europe has a unified natural gas market and hence, the total decrease in gas consumption by all countries combined counts.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
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In 2023, the EU27 consumed, on average, 0,9 BCM* of natural gas per day. This was 18% less than its average over 2017-2021 and 8% less than in 2022.

In the second half of 2023 the decline of EU gas consumption stopped: EU natural gas consumption in H2 2023 was equal to H2 2022.

  • billion cubic metres, @38 MJ/m3
BM_Visser, to random Dutch
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

Comparison between the growth in renewable energy between The Netherlands and Denmark. Although Denmark is well known for its wind energy, the majority comes from biomass.

In 2030, the Netherlands wants to reach the current percentage of Denmark, albeit almost without biomass.

BM_Visser,
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@notsoloud
Yes. According to the official EU-rules ('renewable directive') on renewable energy the heat that is taken from the environment by heat pumps is registered as renewable heat.
So, for a heat pump with COP = 3, two-thirds of the delivered heat is renewable.

BM_Visser,
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@notsoloud

This refers to the "gross final energy usage", as exactly defined in the 'renewable energy directive'. It includes, among others, international aviation, but excludes international shipping and feedstock.
Sorry, I can't make it easier :).

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