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Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

For your consideration: 11 congressional candidates

Simon Rosenberg has identified these 11 races to flip.

Andrei Cherny, AZ-01

Kirsten Engel, AZ-06

Adam Gray, CA-13

Rudy Salas, CA-22

George Whitesides, CA-27

Will Rollins, CA-41

Sue Altman, NJ-07

Laura Gillen, NY-04

Mondaire Jones, NY-17

Josh Riley, NY-19

New to the list: Janelle Bynum, OR-5

Rosenberg has set up an ActBlue donation page that will divide any donation evenly between these 11 campaigns. The goal is $250K, and it has already surpassed $85K.

https://secure.actblue.com/donate/hopiumwinsthehouse

Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

Election results:

As soon as I find some...

Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

Lara Trump: He called Biden's bluff.

No way Trump is showing up.

nemesio,
@nemesio@masto.bhsnw.com avatar

@Hey_Beth It’s always a good time when we watch the Trump family and their sycophants panic and throw everything at the wall to find the narrative they need after Trump himself gets them into a mess of his own making.

Hey_Beth,
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

@nemesio

Yes, and this is a mess of his own making.

Ingraham was trying to make the best of it saying that he'll be fine. Hannity lost it. He clearly thinks Trump accepting the offer was the wrong thing to do.

Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

There is no way that Trump is going to step foot on the debate stage. Sean Hannity lost his mind tonight.

Ingraham was saying that Trump could handle Biden. Trump just needs to remain calm and let Biden ramble. I think Hannity understands that unless Biden completely screws up, one of their last remaining narratives is gone.

Trump also needs chaos to prevent any discussion about policy.

Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

And now Laura Ingraham is providing her insight into the debate schedule:

All Donald Trump needs to do is stay calm. Stay calm through the entire debate, and let...

Stop right there, Laura. 😂 😂 😂

Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

😂😂😂

According to Nate Silver, the Biden WH may have moved up the Senate to June so if Biden screws up, he can step down and pull the Ezra Klein emergency plan of nominating someone else.

mastodonmigration,
@mastodonmigration@mastodon.online avatar

@Hey_Beth

🤦‍♂️

Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

Nate Silver is now NYTing.

"The White House pulled off a great bluff. But they hold a bad hand, and today's debate gambit reveals it."

Why Biden's winning strategy is bad for Biden.

darren,
@darren@c.im avatar

@Hey_Beth Nate Silver is still a thing?

Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

Nate Silver needs to fuck off.

billyjoebowers,
@billyjoebowers@mastodon.online avatar

@Hey_Beth

Nate Silver has lost his fucking mind. He's close to doing a podcast with Scott Adams.

billyjoebowers,
@billyjoebowers@mastodon.online avatar

@Hey_Beth

I know there's lots of theories and reasons, but honestly, when I see people start publicly freaking out about bad news for Trump and Republicans I just think "Nate Silver has pedophile blackmail material too?"

Hey_Beth, to HashtagGames
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar
Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

And things have started...

In WV: No surprise that Trump and Biden immediately were the projected winners.

In Wyoming County, Haley is only pulling 4.9%. What is with Wyomings?

MD: Too early to call. But I'm going to go out on a limb and say Trump and Biden. 😂

NE: Haley is already pulling over 25% with 17% of the vote counted.

Hey_Beth,
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

@Lizette603_23

They seem to be very different in WV. 😂

Hey_Beth,
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

WV: Over 90% of the votes are in, and Haley has just 9.5%.

In the 2020 GOP primary, Joe Walsh and Bill Weld have 1.81% and 1.77%, respectively.

Right now, Trump has 88.3%, and in 2020, he had 94.39%.

Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

Ruben Gallego is a great candidate, and Kari Lake is not.

"In Washington, Republicans say there are more appealing Senate races on which to focus their limited resources. And in Arizona, they are increasingly warning that Lake’s divisive persona and instinct for provocation could sabotage them yet again."

When the GOP moves out of a state to focus efforts elsewhere, Trump's numbers will take a hit.

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/05/10/gop-kari-lake-questions-00157290

Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

Yesterday, I was told by my son's teacher that he got upset when another child answered the classroom door as he was the door monitor. My son said that he hated the fucking school and disrupted the class.

He not only got in trouble for this at home, but he had to sit in the office and miss two recesses today.

The story didn't end here, however. I went to school to pick him up today, and I saw several kids walking around with tiny pots with marigolds. I immediately realized these were Mother's Day gifts. We don't celebrate Mother's Day. Too hard on my son. He was adopted from foster care, and he is working through a lot with his biological mother.

The teacher handed me the citation from the day before. No big deal.

Then I saw one of my son's classmates with a potted marigold. And I realized what happened. I asked the classmate when they made the gift, and he said yesterday.

So, I went to talk to his teacher and aide. Yep, the outburst happened after they made Mother's Day gifts, and...

Hey_Beth,
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

And my son refused to make one.

No one put two and two together.

Hey_Beth,
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

@HistoPol

I'll be putting up the links so you all can watch me.

We'll have a bingo card. Board Meeting Bingo or What Will Beth Do Tonight?

Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

The Democratic Party is hiring!

And it is interesting to see in which states this hiring is occurring.

Florida has eight jobs listed, and Ohio has 14.

Virginia and Oklahoma are next with each having four job openings.

https://democrats.org/who-we-are/state-parties/jobs/

Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

Another day adrift and unanchored.

But I see that another bearded iris has bloomed.

Hey_Beth, to random
@Hey_Beth@sfba.social avatar

Just overheard a pundit say that talking about the Parasite that Ate His Brain is nothing that should be discussed as it is only a distraction.

No. If we are talking about Biden's age, we need to talk about RFK Jr.'s brain parasite.

He had a parasite that ate his brain OR he thought he had a parasite that ate his brain OR he lied in a deposition to get out of owing money in his divorce proceeding.

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