SARS2PA,
@SARS2PA@zeroes.ca avatar

Update for 4/1/2024!

Good April Morning SARS2PAians!

I hope your spring is healthy. 💐💐💐


VOCs

JN.1 and JN.1.4 stil dominate the leaderboard, but scientists are especially watching a groiup of new mutations including JN.1.18, JN.1.13, KP.2, JN.1.16, and KQ.1.: https://ibb.co/6RvHcZR

Some of these are moving FAST despite the already-very-fast mutations on the landscape.


Wastewater

We've reached a level of SARS2 material in wastewater low enough to match previous years (2020, 2021.): https://ibb.co/DMyG0k4


CDC

Quite a lot of counties with new hospital admits, especially the Western half of the State. The Southwest corner by Greene Co and from Centre on over to Erie Co and Jefferson are HIGH on the newest chart.: https://ibb.co/m6KYR0Z

The Inpatient Beds chart looks good except for some increases in Lawrence and around Cameron Cos.: https://ibb.co/SPm1wJt

The ICU bed chart looks very good! Most counties are having decreases! However some increases up by Pike Co and significant increases in Franklin and Fulton Cos.:https://ibb.co/sKdK54P


Research

Tuberculosis after recovering from COVID-19 is becoming more common.: https://ibb.co/ZxZ7kHY

Reactivation of underlying pathogens is NOT NEW. We know this factually from the chicken pox/shingles pathogen.

Also, measles is known to reset the ENTIRE immune system and bring protection from everything down to zero, potentially leaving reactivation of underlying pathogens, which is by levels of magnitude more complex than the physical disability it can cause and makes it imperative that you VACCINATE YOUR KIDS.: https://ibb.co/cbFXrRw

Again: NONE of this is brand new, and COVID19 along with other known pathogens, seems to potentially weaken the immune system enough to reactivate underlying pathogens.


Non-SARS2 Pathogens

COVID and RSV thankfully have been downgraded on WastewaterSCAN to "Medium" and "low" respectively.: https://ibb.co/k2SpgLR

However, quite a number of pathogens are still ranking in the HIGH level: FluA, FluB, Human Metapneumovirus (HMPV) and the gastro pathogens Norovirus and Rotavirus are still out there.

HMPV often presents with a rash and is related to RSV:

https://www.cdc.gov/ncird/human-metapneumovirus.html
https://my.clevelandclinic.org/health/diseases/22443-human-metapneumovirus-hmpv

The prevention for all these respiratory diseses is the same!

Be conscious of crowds.

Wear a mask in places with low air filtration.

Keep the air clean!

Stay home if you are sick!

For norovirus and rotavirus, it's important to wash hands with soap and warm water for 20sec.

:ms_arrow_right: DO NOT depend on gloves and hand sanitizer to control Norovirus, the particles are very resistant to alcohol.


H5N1

Nothing above here has scientists sitting up at attention right now except one thing: H5N1 bird flu.

H5N1 has jumped to dairy cattle (after infecting numerous other species such as seals, fox, deer, etc.), has been found in cattle in TX, KS, MI, NM, and now Idaho.: https://ibb.co/1JgGY2v

Before now, almost all transmission was bird-to-other-species. "Cow-to-cow transmission cannot be ruled out" and will be a disaster for the food supply if not controlled.: https://ibb.co/mDKVZ7R

There is resistance amongst dairy farmers in the US and in Europe to get their cattle tested.

The absolute worst case scenario is if it "makes the leap" to pigs. That means, if genetically it mutates (like COVID-19 is doing) to be able to:

---Infect pigs.

---Gain capability of pig-to-pig transmission.

The genetic "leap" from bird to mammals was very large, and will also be the "leap" from cattle to pig.....but the "leap" from pigs and ferrets to humans after that will be really, really small.

This would be the same route the Spanish Flu took 106 years ago: Birds -> pigs -> humans.

It is...really not a good time to consume unpasteurized, raw dairy products.

:ms_arrow_right: I'm spending a lot of words on this because so far, this thing has a 50% kill rate**. That is, 1 out of every 2 people who contract H5N1 will die.

I don't know what else to say. We MUST push for thorough farm testing, biosecurity, and intense transmission research.

Stay safe, I hope you had a GREAT holiday, and don't forget to use some form of source control in your daily adventures! 💐

!!!

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