This substrate formation didn't happen, and hence the ecosystem - though it has some resilience - is quite weak now that corporate entities take an interest for the Fediverse.
A quite likely outcome is a corporate takeover on the level of the technology substrate. And FOSS and the Commons did their free beer work again, and may now explore other areas to hand over to corporates later on.
We miss what empowers FOSS in a leading, long-term sustainable role.