Unpopular opinion here. Yes, meteorologists only get it right about 60 percent of the time when it comes to Nor'Easters. However, in their defense, they are usually incredibly hard to forecast for the I95 corridor. Temperature differences, the jet stream, etc, make it tough to call the storms more than three days ahead unless they are true monsters.
That said, I think science should 'catch up' to the impact of global warming. They're still working off average temperatures from decades ago.
@dancinyogi The challenge with modeling the weather is that the reactions have changed – so the same inputs don't produce the same outputs, which confounds modeling. I was recently involved in an argument over whether to use the past 30 years of data, which actually eliminates a lot of more severe events, or 50 years, which captures some extremes from the '70s that we've forgotten about.
@oldmanstu That does seem to be the case! There was a meteorologist in Philly decades ago, John Bolaris. He called a nothing burger storm 'The Storm of the Century' and was nearly drummed out of the business! And now, global warming makes the storms more intense and, I would imagine, even harder to forecast.
Add comment