sreedevkkumar, to india
@sreedevkkumar@journa.host avatar

All the 10 PCs in the Mumbai Metropolitan Region are going to vote today. The NDA had swept the city in both 2014 and 2019. Will they be able to continue this streak? Here's four charts to answer this question. (Thread 1/4) https://www.hindustantimes.com/editors-pick/number-theory-can-nda-retain-its-dominance-in-the-mumbai-metropolitan-region-101716183091447.html

#MastIndia #India #LokSabhaElections2024 #Mumbai #Politics @mastodonindians

lazylemur, to india
@lazylemur@lethallava.land avatar

I was thinking about the present conditions of when I suddenly thought of revisiting this by . "Hirak Rajar Deshe" (In the Land of the Diamond-King). Its portrayal of moving to dictatorial rule is dangerously accurate.

I really wanted to share this from the . It is in so I shall provide a translation.

I see such funny things in the world.
Everywhere I look, I am confused beyond words.
I can't make sense of this world.
Oh brother!

Look at the good fellows stuck in their dilapidated homes.
The evil one ascends the throne.
The wheat farmer can't manage two square meals.
The diamond mine's labours are living in poverty.
Oh Brother, how funny is our world!

The full movie has decent subtitles. I would really encourage watching it.
https://youtu.be/8eqw0HUph48

lazylemur,
@lazylemur@lethallava.land avatar

as a child I loved this as a comedy. the lively humour is extremely well delivered by every actor.

as an adult I feel the pain and fear shown on the faces of the farmer, the mining labour and the teacher. I can appreciate the political satire that it is.

watching it today was almost like talking to the current population of , before the , through this 1980 movie. he is telling us to be extremely careful of the ruler who is willing to the public using targeted .


@mastodonindians

rohini, to random
@rohini@mastodon.social avatar

Postcards from addressed to the Election Commission of India.



image/jpeg

sreedevkkumar, to india
@sreedevkkumar@journa.host avatar

The BJP and BJD, who were allies once, are now locked in a bitter contest for the 21 Parliamentary constituencies and 147 Assembly constituencies in Odisha. What are the factors driving the Odisha contest? Can the BJP edge past the BJD in the state? Today's Number Theory answer these questions in detail.

Link to read on HT app: https://www.hindustantimes.com/editors-pick/number-theory-can-bjp-edge-past-bjd-in-bitter-odisha-contest-101716783051542.html

@mastodonindians

What led to the BJP’s rise in Odisha? The intuitive answer is that it has usurped the Congress’s support base. The Congress and BJP vote shares were 32.7% and 16.9% in the 2009 Lok Sabha elections in Odisha. These numbers changed to 13.8% and 38.4% in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections. However, a careful analysis suggests that the actual dynamics in the state could be more complicated. Out of the 6 PCs that the Congress won in 2009, 5 were won by the BJD in 2014 and only 1 by the BJP. Similarly, out of the 27 ACs won by the Congress in 2009, 18 went to the BJD and just two to the BJP in 2014. The BJP won eight PCs in 2019, and out of this, seven were won by the BJD in 2014. The Congress did not win any PCs in 2014. Out of the 23 ACs that the BJP won in 2019, as many as 18 were previously won by the BJD. This suggests that the BJD has taken away the traditional support of the Congress before 2019 and now the BJP is wresting back some of it from the BJP. A region-wise analysis supports this theory. 4 out of the 6 PCs won by the Congress in 2009 came from Western Odisha. The Congress first lost ground to the BJD in this region in 2014. But by 2019, the BJD ceded a lot of space to the BJP in this part of the state. Although, the BJD was able to become the single largest party in the state assembly from Western Odisha in 2019, it had to field the party supremo Naveen Patnaik from an AC in the region for the first time in his political journey to ensure popular support.
Has the BJD regained some of its lost ground after 2019? While the BJP saw a significant increase in its seat share and vote share in both Lok Sabha and Assembly elections in Odisha in 2019, the BJD might have, at least to some extent, been able to rein in the BJP's rising popularity in the state since. The biggest evidence for this comes from the rural local body polls held in the state in 2022. Out of the 853 Zilla Parishad seats (ZP) in the state, the BJD won 767 in 2022, bringing its ZP seat share to 89.92%. In the previous rural local body election in 2017, the BJD's ZP seat share stood at 56.07%. In comparison, the BJP's ZP seat share fell from 35% in 2017 to 4.9% in 2022. Even within Western Odisha, the BJD's seat share rose from 25.5% to 86.5%, while that of the BJP fell from 61.5% to 9.3%. whether or not the BJP can buck this local level trend in a national and state election will be known on June 4.

sreedevkkumar, to india
@sreedevkkumar@journa.host avatar

14 out of 28 constituencies in Karnataka will vote in the second phase of Lok Sabha elections on Friday. Past records show that the BJP has had an edge in LS elections over Assembly elections in the last 3 election cycles in the state. For Congress, the trend has been the opposite. Which way could Karnataka vote in 2024? Here are 3 charts which answer this question.

Read on HT app: https://www.hindustantimes.com/editors-pick/number-theory-will-karnataka-continue-to-favour-the-bjp-in-national-elections-101713927587594.html
@mastodonindians

  • All
  • Subscribed
  • Moderated
  • Favorites
  • •
  • JUstTest
  • khanakhh
  • kavyap
  • thenastyranch
  • everett
  • tacticalgear
  • rosin
  • Durango
  • DreamBathrooms
  • mdbf
  • magazineikmin
  • InstantRegret
  • Youngstown
  • slotface
  • megavids
  • ethstaker
  • ngwrru68w68
  • cisconetworking
  • modclub
  • tester
  • osvaldo12
  • cubers
  • GTA5RPClips
  • normalnudes
  • Leos
  • provamag3
  • anitta
  • lostlight
  • All magazines
    •