frezik

@frezik@midwest.social

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frezik,

the etymology of “blacklist,” for example, has no relation to race whatsoever

What happens is that the term “black” takes on negative connotations in a million different ways. “Blacklist” being one example. It may have no overt connection to race, but it gains it through repeated use in different contexts. Your brain doesn’t necessarily encode the different contexts in separate ways. You may be able to think it through at a high level of rationality in a debate, but not when you’re out on the street going about your day.

The solution may not be to change the language, though. There are too many longstanding cultural associations with black = evil, and there’s just no way to get rid of them all.

scientificamerican.com/…/the-bad-is-black-effect/

“Although psychologists have known for a long time that people associate dark skin with negative personality traits, this research shows that the reverse is also true: when we hear about an evil act, we are more likely to believe it was done by someone with darker skin. This “bad is black” effect may have its roots in our deep-seated human tendency to associate darkness with wickedness. Across time and cultures, we tend to portray villains as more likely to be active during nighttime and to don black clothing. Similarly, our heroes are often associated with daytime and lighter colors. These mental associations between color and morality may negatively bias us against people with darker skin tones. If this is true, it has far-reaching implications for our justice system. For example, eye witnesses to crimes may be more likely to falsely identify suspects who possess darker skin.”

“Overall, the “bad is black” effect only underscores the importance of finding ways to combat the various ways that our inherent biases can influence perceptions of guilt and innocence. Understanding the extent of these biases, as well as what may be causing them, represents an important first step.”

frezik,

Tesla is in the sp500. Investors in that area tend to want long term results. It’s sold on the basis that you stick your money there and ride it for the next 20-30 years.

frezik, (edited )

They work fine, just not at full capacity. Financing and payback calculations tend to assume they’ll be replaced after 30 years, but that’s just guesses made by accountants, not reality.

frezik,

Base load is not necessary. It was made because you could build certain types of plants really cheap if they’re run all the time at the same level. They aren’t a requirement, but rather an economic convenience in an old way of doing things.

Renewables with storage are able to match demand more closely than traditional plants ever could. This results in less wasted power. I’m turn, it also means we don’t have to replace every GWh of traditional generation with a GWh of renewable.

Hydro and geothermal have both had some interesting breakthroughs the last few years. Small scale hydro can get useful amounts of power from smaller rivers than was feasible in the past. There are places to put them we didn’t have before.

There’s also high voltage DC lines. The longest deployed one is currently in Brazil, and is about 1500 miles. An equivalent run in the US would mean wind farms in Kansas could power New York, or solar in Arizona could power Chicago. When you can transmit that far, then the wind is always blowing somewhere, and it’s sunny somewhere for the entire day, as well.

Nuclear lost its window. It may already be cost competitive with putting solar panels in space.

frezik,

It’s limited in the geography where it could be useful, such as near techtonic plate boundaries. Iceland gets about a quarter of its electricity that way. Some advancements in drilling techniques have made it more viable in more locations.

jonesday.com/…/is-geothermal-energy-making-a-come…

frezik,

When these artificial caps are removed and the plant is allowed to operate as intended and no kneecapped to allow coal and oil plants to operate at their peak effeciency rates, nuclear drops below .10USD.

Wholesale or retail cost? Either way, that’s not especially cheap compared to renewables.

Nuclear may be cost competitive with putting solar panels in space at this point. Granted, that’s back of the envelope costs for a hypothetical space based solar system, compared to nuclear plants that already exist. But they fact that they’re close is not a good sign for nuclear.

Plants will take 10 years to build, at least. Of every permit was signed today, there wouldn’t be a single GW of this new nuclear going on the grid until 2034. We’re aiming for major reduction in CO2 by 2030. Oh, and the huge amount of concrete needed would create a massive spike in CO2 by itself. Timeline issues alone kill nuclear before it starts.

frezik,

Scrapping the NuScale project had nothing to do with lawsuits. Governments pulled their financial support because projected costs were exceeding what was contractually promised, mostly due to pandemic-related supply chain and inflation issues.

This is typical of nuclear. The industry wants to believe its problem is regulation. It’s not, at least not if you want to have better safety guarantees than the Soviet Union did. Its problem is that to be safe, nuclear is expensive, and there doesn’t appear to be a way out of that.

frezik,

That’s what the industry wants to believe. Except that US regulators have shown a willingness to sign off on new nuclear power plants as long as you do all the paperwork right and show that you’re not some moron who will dump a pile of plutonium in the desert and run water over it to make steam.

Nuclear takes 5 years to build according to initial plans. That’s a joke, and everyone knows it. It’s going to take 10 years, and the budget will double over initial estimate, as well. That means it will take 10 years before you see a dime back on your investment, and it could all be for nothing if the funding shortfall can’t be made up. Some of this is regulations–you know, the kind that keeps another Chernobyl from happening–but a lot of it has been the fact that every plant takes boutique engineering and specialized labor.

The Westinghouse AP1000 design (what they used in Vogtle) was supposed to fix that boutique engineering. It did not. SMRs are also supposed to fix that boutique engineering, but their projects are also failing.

Meanwhile, you could invest your money into a solar or wind farm. It’ll start generating power in 6-12 months and start putting money back in your pocket. Nothing about the construction is particularly boutique; it’s almost all mass produced stuff. You don’t need specialists to put them together, either. There is a track record of solar and wind farms meeting construction deadlines and budget forecasts. Given all that, who the hell would invest money into nuclear?

frezik,

Trees are great for other reasons, but they grow far too slow to capture significant carbon. The fastest natural carbon sinks are algae.

frezik,

Microsoft made a big mistake with Windows 10: it basically works fine.

frezik,

A little while back, I met a black guy who went to a Turning Point USA convention, and he said those people were nicer than feminists. Which of course they were. They wanted to use him as the example in sentences that start with “I have a black friend who…”

Same thing here. They probably do turn down the homophobic rhetoric in his presence. This works if you don’t pay attention to anything else.

frezik,

I know, right? Fix the angle of your lamp shade before asking three ladies over.

frezik,

That would be me. My parents took me to a chiropractor as a kid, but I stopped going in my teens, and now consider it bullshit.

There’s a few odd cases of back pain where manipulating the spine can work. Some of this got integrated into mainstream physical therapy. If it stopped there, then there wouldn’t be a problem, but chiropractors claim they can heal just about anything by manipulating the spine. Any time you see someone claiming their one weird trick can cure anything from neck pain to the common cold, you should be very, very skeptical. It’s on them to prove that, and they have not proved that after more than a century.

frezik, (edited )

I paid attention to polls, as well. They swung wildly around as the news cycle shifted between bad news for Trump and bad news for Hillary. Then, Comey’s letter drops at the perfect time (deliberate or not) to bring Hillary’s numbers just low enough to give Trump an edge in key states. That happened too late for any new polls to absorb the info before the election.

When Fivethirtyeight.com was giving around 75% chance for a Hillary victory, that doesn’t mean her victory was assured. It means Trump needed to flip two coins and have them both come up heads.

Polls aren’t useless. They are a statistical tool. People applied them badly.

frezik,

Power imbalance is problematic, and we shouldn’t give Bill a pass for it. Not even mere lampshading.

That said, Republicans clearly aren’t interested in power imbalances. Addressing that consistently would collapse their entire ideology. This is something where only the left has criticism that can be consistent with their principles.

frezik,

Oh the wild statements that he’ll post about how his parole officer is treating him “so unfair”.

frezik,

It’s not part of their mission, but it’s what they do in practice. See this series of emails in the SS and their treatment with the Oath Keepers:

citizensforethics.org/…/emails-reveal-secret-serv…

They were proud to liaison with them, and gave them a wide berth.

frezik, (edited )

It helps his cause among a small number of MAGA hatters to the point that a few of them will probably get violent. It does not help him among the Republicans who are passively accepting Trump, or anyone else.

frezik,

Fun penis fact: if you tell people you’re 6.5 inches, it sounds like you’re trying too hard to get that last bit of length. If you instead say 17cm, that’s just how long you are.

You’re welcome, fellow penis owners.

frezik,

Yeah, that’s a thing in Texas?

Don’t get me wrong, this guy is a piece of shit, and so is Abbot. I’m just surprised this is even an option.

frezik,

It’s all they have now. They’re unwilling to compromise any position, even though those positions are horribly unpopular. Instead they have to make a lot of noise and insist you move further to the right to meet them in the middle, or else.

frezik, (edited )

American-sized license plate holders, so it’d be the Tacoma (similar to Hilux, but not quite the same). Or possibly old enough that it’s just called “Toyota Truck”.

It is, however, one machine gun away from being a technical.

frezik,

Some years ago, before Trump even took over the party, the Texas GOP started putting shit like this directly into their official state party platform. Including a nice PDF doc on their own hosted domain where you could cite everything. It was really handy for showing Enlightened Centrists that, no, it’s not just a loud minority of the right. This is what the party is like now, and has been for a while.

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