75watt, 
This analysis by @boilingsteam is the most reliable estimation of #Linux distributions usage I know of.
Until 2012ish MediaWiki published statistics based on browsers' user agent.
At the beginning of this chart there's a similar scenario 7 years later, with Ubuntu very strong, but in 5 years the picture has completely changed.
Arch has dethroned Ubuntu (among gamers at least), the ecosystem is more diverse, and new distros gain terrain.
Eagerly expecting updates!
https://boilingsteam.com/ubuntu-and-manjaro-fall-further-into-oblivion-february-2024/
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