Well, you probably already lost that bet, because the LA->Vegas train is likely to be done before 2033 (even with some setbacks in the schedule). In fact, it’ll probably be done before LA->San Fransisco. It follows an existing highway route, so there isn’t much fight over land use. Most of the things that bog down these projects already seem to be cleared for it. Also helps that there isn’t a lot in between LA and Vegas; you don’t have every town over 10k people demanding they get a stop.