I am not sure if American legislators realize that all these trade restrictions are only accelerating Chinese domestic chip development. The restrictions have the same effect as import tariffs, which is exactly what a government would do if it wants to protect and/or develop its own fledgling industry.
My only surprise here is the turn around. According to the people I listened to China was nowhere near the 7nm range, at all. Sanctions were put place no less than half a year ago, so for them to have figured it out this quickly is what’s making it look sus. It takes nations years if not decades to get to thus point, and countries have failed trying too. My money is they are using western manufactured lithography equipment.
Edit: From the South China article:
TechInsights said SMIC used existing equipment and its second-generation 7-nm process to manufacture the 5G-capable Kirin 9000s for Huawei
Huawei was known to have been stockpiling chips from its HiSilicon unit before TSMC cut ties to comply with US sanctions
Doesn’t it make you think those people were probably wrong? Far too many people base statements like that on assumption. From the article I read they’re using a different method to fabricate them and they’re very different to other chips on the market - china have a huge engineering sector and have been investing heavily in chip r&d for a long time.
I doubt it. Ten years ago when I was in college I attended a presentation of a researcher who was working on lithography methods at the 9nm scale and the challenges that came with it. A country doesn’t go from making 40nm chips to making 7nm chips in less than a year. It’s simply not possible. If it was that simple Taiwan wouldn’t be geopolitically important, where all of the silicone fabs capable of <7nm are located and how they supply literally all of the world because no one else can. India tried started an industry and failed. The US is now spending billions of dollars to open up fabs in the US and its going to take them way more than a year or two.
It’s like the development of the hypersonic missile, you simply cannot develop it overnight. So when China or Russia says they have it I’m skeptical, and with Russia it turned out that they really didn’t have a true hypersonic missile as was shown in Ukraine.
As I understand it, the sanctions against China were not against the chips, but the manufacturing equipment for making the chips which China does not know how to make and its the part of the intellectual property that the US controls. Like I said, I think they circumnavigated sanctions to get this equipment, and probably got some workers who knew how to work them. That is if the headline is true.
China prepared for this 17 years ago. They launched the “02 Special Project” all the way back in 2006. The companies established by those grants have existed years before the sanctions. They were able to develop the products but selling them was another thing entirely, until the sanctions hit causing a massive boom in their revenue. People forget that it was market conditions that killed GlobalFoundries 7nm effort not technical issues. The same reason UMC gave up on anything more advanced than 14nm. Sanctions created the inevitability of Chinese 7nm by wedding the world’s largest telecom equipment vendor, Huawei to SMIC.
It’s an amusing coincidence that by the time ASML will no longer be granted export licenses for their 5nm capable DUV scanners, the NXT:2000i and above, SMEE will be selling a 7nm capable scanner, the SSA/800-10W. A machine easily comparable to the NXT:1980Di that TSMC used to develop their N7 process. The fact that the NXT:1980Di and anything less advanced than it isn’t going to be export restricted is an implicit acknowledgement of the Chinese capability of making competing machines.
5nm capable DUV scanners, such as the SSA/900 still in development, might be a requirement for SMIC N+2 however as the “7nm” Kirin 9000S is only 2% larger than the TSMC N5 made Kirin 9000. That suggest a density far exceeding anything any other foundry has been capable of with just DUV, such as Intel 7 or TSMC N7/N7P.
Applied Materials and LAM are less of an issue. AMEC has been selling 5nm etching systems to Samsung and TSMC for years.
The experts I listened to mentioned that China cannot go below the 20nm regime, that’s specifically the bottleneck they are dealing with right now. And if even everything you say is correct and China supposedly has this capability, it doesn’t take away that China still has not made sub 10nm chips with home brew equipment.
There are special difficulties that come with entering the 10nm space. As I mentioned in another comment, I attended a presentation by researcher about developing lithography process in the sub 9nm scale, this was only 10 years ago and it shows how slow development is.
Also, I don’t think China is shy about replacing a foreign product with a domestically produced product. If they indeed had 7nm and 5nm capability as you mentioned, based on their history, they would have subsidized and made it work regardless of market forces.
28nm is the nominal resolution of the scanner. The chips that can be made with a single exposure. In that measure no ASML DUV scanner is 7nm either. The physics of 193nm light makes it impossible for any DUV scanner to have a nominal resolution of 7nm. 7nm chips are made using DUV by exposing 4 times at a 28nm resolution. The same quad patterning techniques allows 22nm chips to be made with a 90nm machine.
The name is also misleading 7nm chips aren’t sub 9nm. TSMC’s 7nm chips are physically 10nm. The marketing names haven’t matched for years. It all started when TSMC sold 20nm FinFET under 16nm branding as they believed the addition of FinFET gave it 16nm performance. Then the entire industry adjusted their naming conventions to match with TSMC.
SMIC, Huawei didn’t get to where they are by compromising. They never would’ve bought the Chinese domestic alternatives if not for sanctions. Price doesn’t matter in this industry, what they’re looking for is the best in the market. This is not the type of capital equipment that subsidies can sell. Which is why when US scanner manufacturers couldn’t compete with ASML, they completely failed as economically viable businesses and their assets were sold off.
Doesn’t seem like it. The chip supports SMT aka hyperthreading with 8 cores and 12 threads, which is not something you see on a typical mobile ARM* SoC.
It was only a matter of time before the Chinese started ramping up their own semiconductor capabilities. With all the inevitable industrial espionage involved, I wonder if the west really has that much of a head start in chip design.
The Dutch government is ultimately making the decisions, they could remove all export restrictions if they wanted but that would really sour its relationship with the US gov’t.
The US sold patents to ASML under the condition that they would listen. The patents are from US publicly funded universities. Invent your own tech and you can export it anywhere you want
that’s a micron of the boot the global south are feeling daily. They have not even outright taking your stuff while forcing you to pay for the gun they pointed at your face yet
Making a lithography machine that’s on par with ASML is just an engineering challenge. One that’s been solved once already by ASML, whose to say it can’t be solved again by someone else, especially if they can copy bits of the design.
Things can be done a lot quickly if you are given an unlimited budget. Consider how quickly NASA got from nothing to landing on the moon, vs how long it is taking now with their much more limited budget.
When I use my (Android) phone I very much feel that I am not the customer but rather the product and it would be much worse (I think) if competition wasn’t there. in some ways, my experience with one (bad) Chinese phone was much better than what I had with one from South Korea.
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) is a partially state-owned publicly listed Chinese pure-play semiconductor foundry company. It is the largest contract chip maker in mainland China.
…SMIC ordered an EUV step-and-scan system from ASML Holding for $120 million in 2018. The order was blocked after the US government lobbied ASML and the government of the Netherlands.
(…Wikipedia)
Try a Pixel rather than a Samsung. Despite being from Google (whose main schtick is advertising) it’s a pretty clean experience, while my family members’ Samsung and LG (who have since exited the market) devices have pre-installed, unremovable apps, stupidly hard-coded configs and - esp in the case of Samsung - often seem add new bullshit in after updates.
Samsung in particular pisses me off given how they charge a premium for devices that are full of intrusive bullshit.
Espionage is worse on a Pixel, if that’s something you care about then obviously avoid. I’m not sure if Graphene OS on Pixel devices is good for daily users though, it could be an option.
Yeah even current Pixel versions can still load the alternative OS’s, which is nice. Espionage… I’m not sure it’s really higher on Pixel. Pretty much all of that is already available to Google via the Android OS/services itself so I’m not sure they’d need to add anything for the phones (not that it makes it good, just didn’t seem any worse than i.e. my old stock-build Chinese phones), but with the Sammy devices you also get the preinstalled shovelware plus you to agree to Samsung’s conditions to use the second.
Thanks, I always went for the cheapest phone. Now, it’s been a few years with my last purchased and next time I will try and follow your advice or maybe go for Moto G…
Avoid the moto g series, they’re a clean Android experience but moto cheaped out on the CPU and they’re terribly slow. The Google pixel 6a is a good cheap phone and it’s going to get updated to Android 14 and security updates for another 2 years. I’ve been enjoying it quite a bit and it’s a clean stock android experience.
It’s nice to see access to one of most important technology of the 21st century not at the hands of a single country whims
Most people would’ve hoped for it to be from Europe but instead of working to free themselves from USA control over such important tech they regulate random stuff and make themselves look like fools.
I strongly believe a joint cooperation of the European union could produce a powerful CPU, GPU but they’re sitting on their butts doing nothing. Shame…
Dutch company makes the machines that shoot US chip designs via lasers via German mirrors to Japanese/German/Taiwanese silicon wafers that are further processes by Japanese machines in a Taiwanese factory.
Dutch company that is heavily pressured not to sell the machine to China by the US government. All the countries you listed are close allies of the US. You can’t fault the US from trying to stop China but let’s not pretend this is a free global market.
Care to elaborate ? More competition is always better. Usa being able to control who can and can not make CPUs is scary and heavily impact the sovereignty of all countries. Especially, in our modern world.
Personally I don’t have an issue with impacting sovereignty of countries like China or Russia, since their idea of sovereignty means suppression of others.
You mean , trusting USA is good ? Oh, shit… Am done… If you are from there read your fucking history damn it. I can’t know your own history better than you. am honestly tired of people coming to argue with me for stating trusting a single country over every goddamn thing and it only plainly saying “fuck you, what you gonna do about it ?” when caught fucking them over as being the crazy one. Wtf ?
Listen buddy, America is the good guys and we’re on the same team, my country has a special friendship with the US with a lot of history behind it. All we have to do is everything America tells us to and to never do anything like choose a form of government they don’t like or trade with someone they’re not friends with or do anything that might affect American companies profits…
I don’t know what makes you think the US is controlling the chip sector, because it ain’t us. Almost all of the world’s general use chips are made in fabs in Asia. Why do you think the rest of the world is trying stop an invasion of Taiwan by China? The US is trying to bring BACK fabs ASAP because of that risk.
Also, if you weren’t aware, nothing is stopping any other country from creating their own chip designs and having them fabricated.
Being banned from use in the US due to having exploits and backdoors doesn’t stop the company from selling elsewhere. They sell a product the government doesn’t trust, so they can fix it, or not selling the US. Sounds like a Huawei problem.
ARM stopped selling them designs. That’s a British company. When the entire world isn’t buying your stupid bullshit, you’d THINK you’d give up and try something different. Instead you have bot-like sympathizers like you buying their bullshit and defending them on the internet lol.
No they didn’t lol. That’s a Chinese company with backdoors and exploits all over their hardware that cant be SOLD in the US. They can fab their chips wherever they want, but they can’t sell their product in the US.
Them trying so hard to make it seem Huawei was like " can’t sell in USA might as well commit seppuku" show how they think the world revolves around them. Them not knowing USA barred Huawei from making ARM chips make me questions why am even answering any comments at all if some don’t even know what they’re talking about.
Ah, yeah. The “you’re a Chinese bot” comment. It says everything that need to be said. Self reflection is advised. Fuck the Chinese government tho. They’re assholes too, can’t deny that.
Dutch ASML is essential to 7nm and smaller processes. US pitched in enormous amounts of cash in very risky R&D for EUV lithography so they have a say in how it’s used but I wouldn’t say they control it entirely.
These things are too risky, complex and expensive for any single country/federation or economic block to be on the cutting edge. It’s entirely possible to pour money for years and come up empty.
EU should pull as many strings as possible to have cutting edge production capacity within own borders in case of emergency but first we’d have to invest heavily in education of engineers and guarantee competitive salaries because it’s incredibly challenging work.
It took Taiwan a generation to accomplish and even now their manufacturing staff is being poached by China because of economic pressures and likely state funded corporate espionage.
The brain drain is affecting all the worlds but until recently it wasn’t a big problem in Europe. Now, They all migrate to USA in hope of getting jobs at big techs.
Nah bro. Tech workers have it crazy good here in Western Europe and they know it.noboby wants to be working 80 hour weeks so you can spend most of your income on rent, get fucked over on healthcare and employee rights, and that's just the people not relying on the green card.
There's plenty of it, it's just not as widely publicised. The company that designed the chips in your phones started off as a British company (ARM) , the heart of the operating systems of many phones, computers and servers started in Finland (Linux), one of the biggest enterprise software developers is German (SAP), the world wide web, including HTTP and HTML, was invented by a Brit.
I don’t see them being able to say who can and can’t use such and such tech they made or have patent about or something like that. ARM did but it was from USA pressure. Imagine if Torvalds said. I hate Dans, i don’t want them to use my kernel or the brits saying wewill cut the net from France.
There are large parts of the country that aren't much better, and a lot of them are where these jobs are based. Doesn't help that companies have become anti-WFH recently.
They all migrate to USA in hope of getting jobs at big techs.
Eh... It's overrated. The pay is better, but otherwise it is definitely a downgrade. Maybe from east EU, it's a decent deal, from west EU, it's very disappointing. You basically end up thinking "but the money is good" over and over and wanting to go back to actual civilization.
Also yeah, I do mean a luxury lifestyle. As in, almost all the perks you’d expect from a holiday package as part of a daily lifestyle.
If you mean those tiny, badly built hotel apartments/suites, then I have a different idea of luxury life.
I used to be happy with a humble lifestyle when I was younger as well, but now with small kids, I want to provide them better living conditions.
Oh sweet summer child…
Do you have some actual argument instead of vague condescending remarks?
I’m a high tech worker myself. Maybe we’re in different markets (I’m in cybersecurity) but it sounds like you’re being swindled.
In a way, I do feel swindled since my direct US teammates on the same level earn about the double of what I do, with lower taxes and lower cost of living. But then I’m actually quite happy with my 200K EUR total compensation if I don’t compare.
The problem is that my compensation is rather a big exception. Most seniors I know earn something between 60-80K, with 100K being pretty rare (outside my company).
Only €200k salary? Eesh! I see what you mean! Absolutely unable to save with that kind of money, especially after yatch maintenance and a ticket on Bezos's rocket!
I was in that position until last year, when I got a bump to €500k. Hang in there. It gets better!
I already said I’m pretty happy with my personal salary and conditions. But my salary is far from typical and most devs here get less than half of that.
If you really earn 500K then your “luxury life” makes more sense, but is even farther from a typical Spanish dev.
I give you that US is getting a better talent on average. But I don’t believe this is the most pressing problem for EU - there’s plenty of talent, there’s just a problem in leveraging it.
I just want more competition. A single company controlling the market is bound to end bad. A single country controlling such sensitive tech is bound to end bad.
Having worked from Europe (London, specifically) together with US-based teams during my time in Investment Banking IT, they sure didn’t seem to be lá crème de lá crème.
I’ve also worked in various parts of the Tech Industry, including Startups (never in the US, though at times with US-based colleagues or SV “refugees”) and they weren’t especially good, particularly at the more senior stages, probably because working long hours in a disorganised environment were most of your work ends up wasted due to mismanagement and lack of direction all for the very very low probability of making it big from stock options isn’t exactly appealing for people with sufficient professional experience (professional experience in all senses, not just technical expertise but also the actual experience of being a professional at a senior level).
I think you’re confusing the ability of - through throwing tons of money at it and trying countless times and in countless way, as well as due to good management mentoring networks - producing a few massivelly successful business ventures in Tech (and a trully gigantic list of failures nobody ever hears about), of the business, investment and social environment which is the Valley with actual competence in Tech: as far as I can tell they’re great at attracting young, naive and trully brilliant (IQ-wise) people and throwing them all sorts of challenges which are great in the early professional growth stages, but are pretty close to incapable of supporting professional growth beyond mid-level.
Well, in my language accents have very specific rules based on the sound of the vowel, so I ended up using those (incorrectly, as you pointed out, because the feminine form of “le” is not spelled the same as the counterpart of “ici”) and hoping for the best rather than the proper French ones which I don’t actually know ;)
China has invested hugely in education and the engineering field, and it’s not like they’ve just been sitting on their hands upto now - of course they do industrial espionage just like everyone else but they also have absolutely huge r&d budgets and an absolutely huge tech sector.
Honestly we should all just cut the tribal politics and work together to create technologies which can help avoid future conflicts -people use to say that middle East would descend into water wars by now but solar powered desalination has totally changed that, if we’d replaced oil already then America wouldn’t have needed any of the wars it’s been in for the last fifty years…
Rather than every country in the world developing it’s own version of everything we should cooperate for a better future.
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