I am seeing a lot of hubbub over a third case of #birdflu in a human in the US.
Just to be clear: Right now, in our "lowest" point of #COVID19 in almost a year, 278 Americans are being infected EVERY MINUTE. Ten percent or more will go on to suffer months or years of Long COVID symptoms. Some will have damaged brains, hearts, and other organs.
We shouldn't lose focus on the immediate and real risks we face of COVID.
Someone told me that the estimate of #COVID19 infections is wrong because of vaccinations. Let's be very clear: Vaccinations are moderately effective against hospitalization but quickly get ineffective against infection.
Just 22.5% of adults reported having received an updated 2023-24 COVID-19 vaccine since September 14, 2023. Second, the XBB booster effectiveness against infection is just 20.4% after 20 weeks. Risks are greater than most know.
New Long Covid paper: "3 year outcomes for #COVID19-infected (both hospitalized & not) vs controls in 2020 (i.e, no vaccines or antivirals). No matter our specialty, we’re all seeing these patients, & it’s serious."
-T Prowell, MD
You should take up smoking. The risk from one pack is negligible!
You should drive drunk. The chance of a serious accident from one impaired trip is slim.
You should spend time in concerts, events and crowded bars unmasked. The odds of getting #COVID19 and #LongCOVID from one activity is quite low.
Of course, if you do all of those things often, the risks rapidly accumulate and a significant share of people will harm themselves or others. But, we don't care about that any more, right?
Among non-hospitalized individuals, the increased risk of death was no longer present after the first year of infection, and risk of incident PASC declined over the 3 years but still contributed 9.6 disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) per 1,000 persons in the third year. (1/2)
Among hospitalized individuals, risk of death declined but remained significantly elevated in the third year after infection (incidence rate ratio: 1.29). Risk of incident PASC declined over the 3 years, but substantial residual risk remained in the third year, leading to 90.0 DALYs per 1,000 persons.
"our findings show reduction of risks over time, but the burden of mortality and health loss remains in the third year among hospitalized individuals." #COVID19
STUDY finds kids with one comorbidity have 3.95x higher risk of critical #COVID19, and kids with two comorbidities have 9.51x higher risk. Even the kids with no comorbidities had a 4% chance of critical COVID, defined as invasive mechanical ventilation requirement, intensive care unit admission, or death.
Even though the prevalence of the #COVID19 XBB.1.5 subvariant decreased from 10% to less than 1%, last fall's XBB.1.5 vaccine offers SOME protection. STUDY on vaccine effectiveness:
AGAINST INFECTION: 52.2% after 4 weeks, 32.6% after 10 weeks and 20.4% after 20 weeks.
AGAINST HOSPITALIZATION: 66.8% after 4 weeks and decreased to 57.1% after 10 weeks.
Malaysia's minister of health Ong Ye Kung "said the estimated number of Covid-19 cases in the week of May 5 to May 11 rose to 25,900 cases, compared with 13,700 cases in the previous week. The average daily Covid-19 hospitalisations rose to about 250 from 181 the week before."
"California may be headed to an earlier-than-normal start to the summer COVID-19 season, with coronavirus concentrations in sewage rising in some areas along with the statewide positive-test rate.
The trend comes as the latest family of coronavirus subvariants, collectively nicknamed FLiRT, have made significant gains nationally."
May 10 There’s a new highly transmissible COVID-19 variant. Could FLiRT lead to a summer uptick? (Los Angeles Times) - https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2024-05-10/could-new-covid-19-variant-flirt-lead-to-summer-surge-in-infections
“The two FLiRT subvariants combined comprised an estimated 35% of coronavirus infections nationally for the two-week period that began April 28," according to the U.S. CDC. "By contrast, JN.1 is now believed to comprise 16% of infections; in mid-winter, it was blamed for more than 80%.”
Die #RKI@RKI Waste Water Surveillance Seite wird nicht mehr als Online Dashboard zur Verfügung gestellt (da nur noch Server Error), sondern als Wochenbericht, den man erst runterladen muss und nicht mehr direkt verlinken kann?
So kann man die Nachfrage nach den Daten natürlich auch künstlich reduzieren 🙄
Eh, crap, re-implementing stricter personal COVID-19 measures after just relaxing them, an (entire) family I know with COVID or recovering, after catching it from an older relative who was hospitalized--they later figured out, COVID-19. (ie Once again, moving back to "all indoor interaction in public N95" -- pondering where I'll go with outdoor in crowds.). #covid19
I continue to opt out of all conferences, including my own employer's, to avoid a higher-risk environment for #COVID19. But, I feel guilty doing so. I feel as if I'm not supporting our business like others. Yet today, with our big annual conference five days away, I spoke with two people who will be at the conference who today are just 'getting the flu,' and I'm reminded of why I made the decision not to attend.
New STUDY finds that those with #COVID19 have an 8x greater risk of acute respiratory complications or post-acute respiratory sequela. "Furthermore, while the excess post-acute risk diminished with time following SARS-CoV-2 infection, it persisted beyond 6 months post-infection. "
Paxlovid may have helped some who were not hospitalized, but this study of those hospitalized with #COVID19 found that "neither molnupiravir nor nirmatrelvir-ritonavir were associated with reductions in 28-day mortality, duration of hospital stay, or risk of progressing to invasive mechanical ventilation or death." (And Paxlovid can be associated with greater risk of viral mutations.)
Study of those with severe #COVID19 finds “At 12 months of follow-up, 43% of patients presented with dyspnea, 27% of whom had a restrictive ventilatory disorder and 18% of whom presented with impaired DLCO (Diffusing capacity of the lungs for carbon monoxide).”