SST's and Surface Temp anomalies are all trending down.
"Global temperature is likely to continue to rise a bit for at least a month, peak this summer, and then decline as the El Nino fades toward La Nina."
"Present extreme planetary energy imbalance will limit La Nina-driven temperature decline. Thus, El Nino/La Nina average global temperature likely is about 1.5°C, suggesting that, for all practical purposes, global temperature has already reached that milestone." — Hansen et al
2024 is not just an election year. It is THE election year.
64 countries—representing a combined global population of about 49%—are holding national elections, the results of which will prove massively consequential as we head deeper into the #ClimateCrisis
“What can I do about the the #ClimateCrisis?” is an often asked question!
It begins with improving your Climate Literacy.
I would strongly recommend starting the journey by absorbing Chapter 5 of the IPCC WGIII report — at least the Executive Summary if your are time constrained. 😉
"The dream in the USA of 'electric SUVs for all' rests on the back of extraction from the mines of Congo and from the bodies of Congolese workers who are supposed to bear the brunt of that Dream. This is not a viable future."— @jasonhickel
@peterdutoit What dominates the high use in the US? I must admit I’m a bit surprised it is that much higher than Germany and the UK. Is it transportation mainly or something else?
“The lack of stringent emission reductions means that the required emission cuts from now to 2030 have increased significantly. To reach emission levels consistent with a below 2°C pathway in 2030, the cuts required/yr are now 5.3% from 2024, reaching 8.7%/yr on average for the 1.5°C pathway. To compare, the fall in total global GHG emissions from 2019 to 2020 due to the COVID pandemic was 4.7%”
“It is unprecedented, because communities will experience temperatures that they have not faced. It is the task of the Institute to make it known to the citizens so that they can take appropriate measures.”—Jorge Zavala Hidalgo, Director, ICAyCC
“Most of [Mexico City’s] metropolitan area's 21 million residents — accustomed to more temperate weather — lack air conditioning.”
When reseach shows global GDP will fall by 16% when we pass the 2° mark (on current trajectory in 16 years) then this is why.
Reminder the situation in #PortoAlegre is playing out in the context of +1.3°C (latest 5-year average) and +1.63°C 12-month running mean above preindustrial.
I don’t think any of us really understand how quickly collapse can happen:
> About 85% of the country expected to see highs of at least 40°C
> Almost 40% of the country’s dams below 20%
> 40% are between 20 and 50%.
> Mexico City (Population 22.51 million) forced to reduce water supply as reservoirs that feed city dry up.
> Stores running out of mineral water.
@peterdutoit there will be tens of millions of people migrating around the world due to climate change and we are not in any way close to prepared for it.