troed, 9 months ago

@rahmstorf I think there's a real problem with spreading an image of the IPCC reports as not being reliable.

Also, RCP 8.5 turned out to be a huge failure. That's something people latch on to.

goertzen, 9 months ago

@rahmstorf important article. Nicholas Taleb has been writing about uncertainty and the danger of humans being oblivious to tail risks for many years...

c_ozwei, 9 months ago

@rahmstorf The issue is becoming important for court cases against fossil companies. Thanks for your toot.

franziska, 9 months ago

@rahmstorf

Ungeheuer wichtig, dass mal klar auf den Punkt zu bringen. Denn:

"Would you live in a building, cross a bridge, or trust a dam wall if there were a 10 percent chance of it collapsing? Or 5 percent? Or 1 percent? Of course not! In civil engineering, acceptable probabilities of failure generally range from 1-in-10,000 to 1-in-10-million."

Risiken der #Klimakrise betrachten wir fatalerweise ganz anders.

richardtol, 9 months ago

@rahmstorf Does it ever cross your mind that it is peculiar to attack those who reject standard physics and embrace those who reject standard economics?

oliverknabe, 9 months ago

@rahmstorf "In other words, we cannot put a dollar figure on how much damage climate disruption will cause at the levels of warming towards which we are now heading." - For some, this might be the bigger threat: no longer being able to put a dollar figure (or Euro) on what ever is left of life on earth.
#climatecrises #LastGeneration