beadsland, 7 months ago

Twenty-second week of post-Kraken soup, Hyperion-2 XBB.1.9.2/EG approaches four tenths of three-week GISAID sequences; Hyperion 1.9.1/FL down below one in seven.

Arcturus XBB.1.16 family down to below one in four; Kraken XBB.1.5 fam holds below one in ten; Acrux 2.3 fam now below one in thirteen.

[Srcs: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variant-proportions

https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/raj.rajnarayanan/viz/USAVariantDB/VariantDashboard]

❖ #ThisIsOurPolio #Covid #Covid19 #SARS2 #CDC #variants #CovidIsNotOver #CovidIsAirborne #WearAMask #BetterMasks

CDC's Variant Nowcast showing weighted estimated distribution of variants over fortnights ending 6/24/23 thru 9/2/23, with model-projected estimates for following two fortnights. Proportional stacked bar chart, where each color represents a different variant, inclusive of those descendants not otherwise broken out. Kraken XBB.1.5 (indigo) was dominant through May. Now crowded out by EG.5 (peach, incl. Eris EG.5.1), Fornax FL.1.5.1 (moss), Eris-scion HV.1 (ash), and Arcturus dot6 XBB.1.16.6 (clover) Meanwhile newly broken out variants Arcturus dot15 XBB.1.16.15 (mauve) and dot13 child HF.1 (faded pink) are gaining share steadily; with dot11 (muted pink) having grown into a seeming plateau. XBB.1.5 estimated at 5.8%, 2.4% and 1.1% vs. 8.4% fortnight of 8/19, for average -48% biweekly drop in estimated share. FL.1.5.1 at 8.3%, 11.9% & 13.7% vs. 7.1%, for avg +25% gain in est. share. EG.5 at 22.2%, 26.1% & 29.4% vs. 17.9%, for avg +18% gain in est. share. HV.1 at 4.0%, 8.1% & 12.9% vs. 3.1%, for avg. +64% gain in share. XBB.1.16.6 at 10.4% & 10.1% vs. 10.1%, for avg +9% gain in share. XBB.1.16.11 at 10.1%, 10.4%, 10.1% vs. 7.9%, for avg. +9% gain in share. HF.1 at 1.6%, 1.8%, 1.8% vs. 1.1%, for avg. +19% gain in share. XBB.1.16.15 at 1.2%, 1.6%, 2.0% vs. 0.8%, for avg. +36% gain in share. ALT-text by beadsland on Ko-fi.