maggiejk, to Canada
@maggiejk@zeroes.ca avatar

Canada gets the good stuff.

For $6.99 you can get a mask sample pack with a bunch of different sizes so you can figure out what size you want before you buy a whole pack of them.

I didn’t see anything like this in illmerica.

https://canadastrong.ca/products/ca-n95-sample-kit-disposable-respirator-mask-made-in-canada-95pfe

trendless,
@trendless@zeroes.ca avatar

@maggiejk Right? And EvidenceBased's got a bunch of sample packs here, too: https://shop.evidencebased.ca/collections/disposable-masks-and-n95s

@covidisnotover

trendless, (edited ) to covid
@trendless@zeroes.ca avatar

:auraHCW: :n95:

Vitacore's having a RIDICULOUS clearance sale on a few 3M respirators; in particular, a case of Aura 1870+ is as cheap as I've ever seen it (or any other Aura, for that matter) -- works out to $0.70/ea

https://shop.vitacore.ca/collections/clearance?mc_cid=ffaa239e69

🇨🇦 @covid @covid19 @covidisairborne

trendless, to random
@trendless@zeroes.ca avatar

If I'd not seen the example set by proponents on :deadbirb: I would not have known that people actually wore elastomeric respirators in public to ward off SARS-CoV-2, nor had the courage to use them myself.

#MaskUp #BetterMasks #P100 #ElastoLeagueUnite

beadsland, to random

NCHS estimates of —based on Household Pulse Survey—provide for volatile projections.

Census Bureau released most recent mid-Oct—next update due November 8.

As more and more folk experience Long Covid, fewer & fewer have been staffing our hospitals.

This is first toot of a weekly thread, updated daily, providing various dataviz of ongoing [.]

Last week: https://mastodon.social/@beadsland/111286538401927534

beadsland,

Third week of Hyperion-2 XBB.1.9.2/EG wave. Last week's CDC Nowcast estimated third of samples were Eris EG.5.1 descendants—with Eris scion HV.1 at ¼ of samples.

For 3-week GISAID sequences, Eris EG.5.1 fam now all but half share. Hyperion XBB.1.9.1 fam below ⅒. Arcturus XBB.1.16 fam now below ⅕.

[Srcs: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variant-proportions

https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/raj.rajnarayanan/viz/USAVariantDB/VariantDashboard]

❖

CDC's Variant Nowcast showing weighted estimated distribution of variants over fortnights ending 7/22/23 thru 9/30/23, with model-projected estimates for following two fortnights. Proportional stacked bar chart, where each color represents a different variant, inclusive of those descendants not otherwise broken out. Kraken XBB.1.5 (indigo) was dominant through May. Now crowded out by Eris dot6 child HV.1 (limed ash), EG.5 (peach, incl. Eris EG.5.1), Fornax FL.1.5.1 (moss), Arcturus dot6 XBB.1.16.6 (clover). Meanwhile variant Eris dot1 child HK.3 (dark pastel blue), broken out two weeks ago, continues to grow quickly, with likewise recent Kraken dot70 scion GK.1.1 (light aqua) and legacy Omicron-2 descendant CH.1.1 (hazel) are also growing. XBB.1.5 estimated at 3.9%, 1.2%, and 0.6% vs. 4.3% fortnight of 9/16, for average -43% biweekly drop in estimated share. GK.1.1 at 1.5%, 1.7%, and 1.8% vs. 1.2%, for avg. +15% gain in share. FL.1.5.1 at 11.6%, 12.3%, 12.0% vs. 10.8%, for avg +4% gain in est. share. EG.5 at 24.3%, 24.0%, and 21.9% vs. 23.3%, for avg -2% loss in est. share. HK.3 at 1.9%, 4.1%, and 7.5% vs. 1.2%, for avg. +86% gain in share. HV.1 at 12.5%, 18.2%, and 25.2% vs. 8.0%, for avg. +47% gain in share. XBB.1.16.6 at 10.2%, 10.4%, and 9.2% vs. 10.8%, for avg -5% loss in share. CH.1.1 at 0.7%, 0.7%, and 0.8% vs. 0.5%, for avg +18% gain in share. ALT-text by beadsland on Ko-fi.

beadsland,

After 12 weeks, CDC finally had estimates for NW; still not for New Eng; dropped Middle South again 2 wks prior.

Eris dot6 child HV.1 is between ⅕–⅓ share in all tracked regions, w/ undifferentiated Eris fam EG.5 another ⅙–⅓ share.

Fornax between ¹⁄₁₁–⅕ share all but south coast.

[See toot above for variants CDC map color key & links to sources for charts.]

❖

Map: Nowcast Estimates for 10/15/2023 - 10/28/2023 by HHS Region Source: Centers for Disease Control Map shows pie charts for each of 10 regions, reflecting regional estimated proportions for specimens collected two weeks ending 10/14/2023. Bold annotation overwrites map, reading "Nowcast estimates are only available for regions 2, 3, 4, 5, 7, 8, 9 and 10." Regions 1 (New England) and 6 (Middle South) are empty grey. Dominant strains by region: NY/NJ: Eris dot6 child HV.1 (limed ash 27.2%), Fornax FL.1.5.1 (moss 20.5%), and Eris fam EG.5 (peach 18.3%). Mid-Atlantic: Eris dot6 child HV.1 (limed ash 31.3%), Eris fam EG.5 (peach 21.1%), and Fornax FL.1.5.1 (moss 13.1%). Southwest: Eris dot6 child HV.1 (limed ash 28.3%), Eris fam EG.5 (peach 18.2%), and Arcturus dot6 XBB.1.16.6 (clover 14.5%). Great Lakes: Eris dot6 child HV.1 (limed ash 22.9%), Eris fam EG.5 (peach 22.4%), and Fornax FL.1.5.1 (moss 8.8%). Lower Midwest: Eris dot6 child HV.1 (limed ash 28.6%), Eris fam EG.5 (peach 20.6%), and Arcturus dot6 XBB.1.16.6 (clover 9.8%). Mtn/Dakotas: Eris fam EG.5 (peach 24.8%), Eris dot6 child HV.1 (limed ash 21.0%), and Arcturus dot6 XBB.1.16.6 (clover 12.3%). Southwest: Eris fam EG.5 (peach 29.0%), Eris dot6 child HV.1 (limed ash 19.5%), and Eris dot1 child HK.3 (dark pastel blue). Northwest: Eris fam EG.5 (peach 23.5%), Eris dot6 child HV.1 (limed ash 23.3%), and Arcturus dot6 XBB.1.16.6 (clover 9.3%). ALT-text by beadsland at ko-fi.

beadsland,

Per WHO, every 12 minutes four people die of acute covid. Three of those deaths are in the United States.

Entering April, for every three covid deaths, U.S. saw another excess death not attributed to covid.

The emergency is over—covid is not done with us.

[Shares of death advance as uptick in reporting.]

❖

Chart: U.S. Share of 28-Day Covid Deaths Data: WHO (via Our World in Data), NCHS (via CDC), official srcs (via Wikipedia) [ beadsland on Ko-fi ] Shows covid 28-day mortality as reported for the U.S. as share of G8, G20, and global 28-day mortality, for 3 years through Oct 21, 2023, this being the most recent date on which at least 50% of world population was represented in weekly reporting (see note regarding ◇ data points, below). Share of population for each comparison is provided for reference. With the end of PHE aggregate tracking, U.S. ceased reporting covid deaths to WHO. After 5/14/23, chart uses provisional covid deaths from NCHS. ◇ data points represent sum population (via Wikipedia) of those countries that reported at least one death in prior week, as percentage of world pop. [Down to near 60% as of July. Was 90% last August.] 7-day avg of U.S. share of G8 covid deaths at 81.2%, on an upward trajectory, well exceeding share of pop. (~38%). Same date last year, share of G8 covid deaths was 41.2%, jaggedly climbing toward winter. Avg. U.S. share of G20 covid deaths now 61.2% (vs. ~7% of G20 population). Same date last year: 23.7%. U.S. share of global parallels: now 62.0% (vs. ~4% of pop.). This date last year, U.S. share of global covid deaths was 24.5%. All three metrics were near or below respective populations roughly May–Aug 2021; thereafter have been profoundly higher than population but for few troughs, including a data dump by China in May 2023.

trendless, (edited ) to random
@trendless@zeroes.ca avatar

Wait, this isn't what you mean when you say 'double-mask and a faceshield'?

#MaskUp #CovidIsAirborne #SarsCov2IsAirborne #BetterMasks #N95 #P100 #PAPR #PositiveAirPressureRespirator #EyeProtection #SourceControl

beadsland, to random

NCHS estimates of —based on Household Pulse Survey—provide for volatile projections.

Census Bureau released most recent mid-Oct—next update due November 8.

As more and more folk experience Long Covid, fewer & fewer have been staffing our hospitals.

This is first toot of a weekly thread, updated daily, providing various dataviz of ongoing [.]
Last week: https://mastodon.social/@beadsland/111247100832074241

beadsland,

Second week of Hyperion-2 XBB.1.9.2/EG wave, CDC Nowcast estimates third of samples are Eris EG.5.1 descendants—with Eris scion HV.1 at ¼ of samples.

For 3-week GISAID sequences, Hyperion-2 near half share, with Eris fam over ⅖. Hyperion XBB.1.9.1 fam down to ⅒. Arcturus XBB.1.16 fam still over ⅕.

[Srcs: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variant-proportions

https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/raj.rajnarayanan/viz/USAVariantDB/VariantDashboard]

❖

Chart: SARSCoV2 Variant Dashboard - USA | 21-DAY TRENDS Source: NYITCOM Research Report (Raj Rajnarayanan) Caption (in part): Circulating Variants in…following US States: All - Specimen Collected in…last 21 days | Updated on 10/27/23 3:39:40 AM [GMT?] | Source (sequences): GISAID Bubble chart showing tallies of each identified variant for each state. Data has been filtered to show dozens of Pangolin subvariants of XBB.1.9, including parent. Top subvariants: Eris dot6 kid HV.1 (33.00%), Eris dot1 EG.5.1.1. (13.08%), Eris EG.5.1 (12.15%), Eris dot1 kid HK.3 (8.95%), Eris dot6 EG.5.1.6 (5.65%). Raj has standardized bubbles to red (XBB.1.9.2*, incl. EG & HV), although some newer pango aliases may still be getting unique colors assigned by Tableau. Bubbles largest and most prominent for: HV.1 (red) for New York (85), California (57), Texas (36), Minnesota, Washington, New Jersey, Arizona, and a North state; HK.3 (red) for New York and California; EG.5.1.1 (red) for California, New York, and Minnesota; EG.5.1.3 (red) for California; EG.5.1 (red) for Minnesota, EG.5.1.3 (red) for California, EG.5.1.4 (red) for New York. Dozens of additional smaller bubbles for various variants and states.

beadsland, to random

NCHS estimates of —based on Household Pulse Survey—provide for volatile projections.

Census Bureau released most recent data last Wed—next update due Novem. 8.

As more and more folk experience Long Covid, fewer & fewer have been staffing our hospitals.

This is first toot of a weekly thread, updated daily, providing various dataviz of ongoing [.]

Last week: https://mastodon.social/@beadsland/111207900053730309

beadsland, (edited )

After some five months of post-Kraken soup, we essentially entered an XBB.1.9 wave late September.

Hyperion-2 XBB.1.9.2/EG wave kicked off this week.

For 3-week GISAID sequences, Hyperion-2 now over ⅖ share; Hyperion 1.9.1/FL holds at ⅛.

Arcturus XBB.1.16 family still over ⅕. Kraken under ¹⁄₁₁.

[Srcs: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variant-proportions

https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/raj.rajnarayanan/viz/USAVariantDB/VariantDashboard]

❖

beadsland,

After 10 weeks, CDC still had no estimates for New Eng and NW, droped Middle South again.

EG.5 near ³⁄₁₀ of samples in Mtn/Dakotas & SW; near ¼ in Gr Lks & Mid-Atlantic; around ⅕ in Lower Midwest, NY/NJ & Southeast.

HV.1 over ¼ in Mid-Atl; near ¼ L Midw. FL.1.5.1 near ¼ in NY/NJ.

[See toot above for variants CDC map color key & links to sources for charts.]

❖

Map: Nowcast Estimates for 10/1/2023 - 10/14/2023 by HHS Region Source: Centers for Disease Control Map shows pie charts for each of 10 regions, reflecting regional estimated proportions for specimens collected two weeks ending 10/14/2023. Bold annotation overwrites map, reading "Nowcast estimates are only available for regions 2, 3, 4, 5, 7, 8 and 9." Regions 1 (New England), 6 (Middle South) and 10 (Pacific Northwest) are empty grey. Dominant strains by region: NY/NJ: Fornax FL.1.5.1 (moss 23.7%), Eris scion HV.1 (limed ash 20.8%), and Eris fam EG.5 (peach 20.4%). Mid-Atlantic: Eris scion HV.1 (limed ash 25.7%), Eris fam EG.5 (peach 22.9%), and Fornax FL.1.5.1 (moss 13.7%). Southwest: Eris scion HV.1 (limed ash 21.5%), Eris fam EG.5 (peach 19.9%), and Arcturus dot6 XBB.1.16.6 (clover 16.1%). Great Lakes: Eris fam EG.5 (peach 24.6%), Eris scion HV.1 (limed ash 19.4%), and Fornax FL.1.5.1 (moss 10.0%). Lower Midwest: Eris scion HV.1 (limed ash 24.3%), Eris fam EG.5 (peach 22.3%), Arcturus dot6 XBB.1.16.6 (clover 9.4%). Mtn/Dakotas: Eris fam EG.5 (peach 28.9%), Arcturus dot6 XBB.1.16.6 (clover 13.9%), and Eris scion HV.1 (limed ash 13.5%). Southwest: Eris fam EG.5 (peach 31.4%), Eris scion HV.1 (limed ash 13.6%), Arcturus dot6 XBB.1.16.6 (clover 9.1%), ALT-text by beadsland at ko-fi.

beadsland,

Per WHO, every 12 minutes four people die of acute covid. Three of those deaths are in the United States.

Entering April, for every three covid deaths, U.S. saw another excess death not attributed to covid.

The emergency is over—covid is not done with us.

[Shares of death down as countries trickle data.]

❖

Chart: U.S. Share of 28-Day Covid Deaths Data: WHO (via Our World in Data), NCHS (via CDC), official srcs (via Wikipedia) [ beadsland on Ko-fi ] Shows covid 28-day mortality as reported for the U.S. as share of G8, G20, and global 28-day mortality, for 3 years through Sept. 24, 2023, this being the most recent date on which at least 50% of world population was represented in weekly reporting (see note regarding ◇ data points, below). Share of population for each comparison is provided for reference. With the end of PHE aggregate tracking, U.S. ceased reporting covid deaths to WHO. After 5/14/23, chart uses provisional covid deaths from NCHS. ◇ data points represent sum population (via Wikipedia) of those countries that reported at least one death in prior week, as percentage of world pop. [Down to near 60% as of July. Was 90% last August.] 7-day avg of U.S. share of G8 covid deaths at 77.7%, on an upward trajectory, well exceeding share of pop. (~38%). Same date last year, share of G8 covid deaths was 43.1%, jaggedly climbing toward winter. Avg. U.S. share of G20 covid deaths now 59.8% (vs. ~7% of G20 population). Same date last year: 25.4%. U.S. share of global parallels: now 59.8% (vs. ~4% of pop.). This date last year, U.S. share of global covid deaths was 23.6%. All three metrics were near or below respective populations roughly May–Aug 2021; thereafter have been profoundly higher than population but for few troughs, including a data dump by China in May 2023.

beadsland, to random

NCHS estimates of —based on Household Pulse Survey—provide for volatile projections.

Census Bureau released most recent data mid-Sept—next update due this Wed.

As more and more folk experience Long Covid, fewer & fewer have been staffing our hospitals.

This is first toot of a weekly thread, updated daily, providing various dataviz of ongoing [.]

Last week: https://mastodon.social/@beadsland/111168110227106446

beadsland,

Twenty-third week of post-Kraken soup, CDC breaks out Kraken dot70 scion GK.1.1 & Eris EG.5.1 scion HK.3.

Near half of CDC estimate are Hyperion-2 XBB.1.9.2/EG family—new wave next week.

For 3-week GISAID sequences, now over ⅖; Hyperion 1.9.1/FL down to ⅛. Arcturus XBB.1.16 family down to over ⅕.

[Srcs: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variant-proportions

https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/raj.rajnarayanan/viz/USAVariantDB/VariantDashboard]

❖

Chart: SARSCoV2 Variant Dashboard - USA | 21-DAY TRENDS Source: NYITCOM Research Report (Raj Rajnarayanan) Caption (in part): Circulating Variants in…following US States: All - Specimen Collected in…last 21 days | Updated on 10/13/23 3:46:13 AM [GMT?] | Source (sequences): GISAID Bubble chart showing tallies of each identified variant for each state. Data has been filtered to show dozens of Pangolin subvariants of XBB.1.9, including parent. Top subvariants: Eris descendant HV.1 (22.76%), Fornax FL.1.5.1 (18.63%), Eris dot1 EG.5.1.1. (14.33%), Eris EG.5.1 (12.21%), Eris dot3 EG.5.1.3 (5.06%). Raj has standardized bubbles to pink (XBB.1.9.1*, incl. FL & HN), red (XBB.1.9.2*, incl. EG & HV), and grey (for other variants, here XBB.1.9.3+, incl. GD, and X* cross-variants), although some newer pango aliases may still be getting unique colors assigned by Tableau. Bubbles largest and most prominent for: FL.1.5.1 (pink) for New York (212), Florida and New Jersey; HV.1 (red) for New York (174), California (70), New Jersey and Virginia; EG.5.1.1 (red) for California (93), New York (75), Minnesota; EG.5.1 (red) for California (77) and New York (68); EG.5.1.4 (red) for New York; HK.3 (red with black text) for New York. Dozens of additional smaller bubbles for various variants and states. ALT-text by beadsland at ko-fi.

beadsland,

After 10 weeks, CDC has still no estimates for New Eng. and NW, drops Middle South again.

EG.5 near ³⁄₁₀ of samples in Mtn/Dakotas & SW; near ¼ in Gr Lks & Mid-Atlantic; around ⅕ in Lower Midwest, NY/NJ & Southeast.

HV.1 over ¼ in Mid-Atl; near ¼ L Midw. FL.1.5.1 near ¼ in NY/NJ.

[See toot above for variants CDC map color key & links to sources for charts.]

❖

Chart: SARSCoV2 Variant Dashboard - USA | 21-DAY TRENDS Source: NYITCOM Research Report (Raj Rajnarayanan) Caption (in part): Circulating Variants in…following US States: All - Specimen Collected in…last 21 days | Updated on 10/6/23 3:07:10 AM [GMT?] | Source (sequences): GISAID Bubble chart showing tallies of each identified variant for each state. Data has been filtered to show over twelve dozen Pangolin subvariants, excluding XBB.1.9.* lineages. Top subvariants: Arcturus dot6 XBB.1.16.6 (18.54%), Arcturus XBB.1.16 (5.55%), and Arcturus dot11 XBB.1.16.11 (5.26%). Raj has standardized bubbles to orange (Kraken XBB.1.5.

beadsland,

Per WHO, every 12 minutes four people die of acute covid. Three of those deaths are in the United States.

Entering April, for every three covid deaths, U.S. saw another excess death not attributed to covid.

The emergency is over—covid is not done with us.

[Share of deaths stalls again with low reporting.]

❖

Chart: U.S. Share of 28-Day Covid Deaths Data: WHO (via Our World in Data), NCHS (via CDC), official srcs (via Wikipedia) [ beadsland on Ko-fi ] Shows covid 28-day mortality as reported for the U.S. as share of G8, G20, and global 28-day mortality, for 3 years through Sept. 24, 2023, this being the most recent date on which at least 50% of world population was represented in weekly reporting (see note regarding ◇ data points, below). Share of population for each comparison is provided for reference. With the end of PHE aggregate tracking, U.S. ceased reporting covid deaths to WHO. After 5/14/23, chart uses provisional covid deaths from NCHS. ◇ data points represent sum population (via Wikipedia) of those countries that reported at least one death in prior week, as percentage of world pop. [Down to near 60% as of July. Was 90% last August.] 7-day avg of U.S. share of G8 covid deaths at 85.4%, on an upward trajectory, well exceeding share of pop. (~38%). Same date last year, share of G8 covid deaths was 43.1%, jaggedly climbing toward winter. Avg. U.S. share of G20 covid deaths now 64.9% (vs. ~7% of G20 population). Same date last year: 25.4%. U.S. share of global parallels: now 65.0% (vs. ~4% of pop.). This date last year, U.S. share of global covid deaths was 23.6%. All three metrics were near or below respective populations roughly May–Aug 2021; thereafter have been profoundly higher than population but for few troughs, including a data dump by China in May 2023.

beadsland, to random

NCHS estimates of —based on Household Pulse Survey—provide for volatile projections.

Census Bureau released most recent data mid-Sept—next update due Oct 11.

As more and more folk experience Long Covid, fewer and fewer have been staffing our hospitals.

This is first toot of a weekly thread, updated daily, providing various dataviz of ongoing [.]

Last week: https://mastodon.social/@beadsland/111128280958966349

beadsland,

Twenty-second week of post-Kraken soup, Hyperion-2 XBB.1.9.2/EG approaches four tenths of three-week GISAID sequences; Hyperion 1.9.1/FL down below one in seven.

Arcturus XBB.1.16 family down to below one in four; Kraken XBB.1.5 fam holds below one in ten; Acrux 2.3 fam now below one in thirteen.

[Srcs: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variant-proportions

https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/raj.rajnarayanan/viz/USAVariantDB/VariantDashboard]

❖

CDC's Variant Nowcast showing weighted estimated distribution of variants over fortnights ending 6/24/23 thru 9/2/23, with model-projected estimates for following two fortnights. Proportional stacked bar chart, where each color represents a different variant, inclusive of those descendants not otherwise broken out. Kraken XBB.1.5 (indigo) was dominant through May. Now crowded out by EG.5 (peach, incl. Eris EG.5.1), Fornax FL.1.5.1 (moss), Eris-scion HV.1 (ash), and Arcturus dot6 XBB.1.16.6 (clover) Meanwhile newly broken out variants Arcturus dot15 XBB.1.16.15 (mauve) and dot13 child HF.1 (faded pink) are gaining share steadily; with dot11 (muted pink) having grown into a seeming plateau. XBB.1.5 estimated at 5.8%, 2.4% and 1.1% vs. 8.4% fortnight of 8/19, for average -48% biweekly drop in estimated share. FL.1.5.1 at 8.3%, 11.9% & 13.7% vs. 7.1%, for avg +25% gain in est. share. EG.5 at 22.2%, 26.1% & 29.4% vs. 17.9%, for avg +18% gain in est. share. HV.1 at 4.0%, 8.1% & 12.9% vs. 3.1%, for avg. +64% gain in share. XBB.1.16.6 at 10.4% & 10.1% vs. 10.1%, for avg +9% gain in share. XBB.1.16.11 at 10.1%, 10.4%, 10.1% vs. 7.9%, for avg. +9% gain in share. HF.1 at 1.6%, 1.8%, 1.8% vs. 1.1%, for avg. +19% gain in share. XBB.1.16.15 at 1.2%, 1.6%, 2.0% vs. 0.8%, for avg. +36% gain in share. ALT-text by beadsland on Ko-fi.

beadsland,

After 8 weeks, CDC resumed estimates for all but the New Eng. and NW.

EG.5 btw ⅖ & ¼ share in tracked regions except SW.

FL.1.5.1 over ¼ share in NY/NJ; near ⅒ most other regions.

HV.1 btw ⅕ & ⅑ all but Mtn/Dakotas, Middle South & SW.

XBB.1.16.6 near ⅙ in SW; over ⅛ in Mid Sou.

[See toot above for variants CDC map color key & links to sources for charts.]

❖

Map: Nowcast Estimates for 9/17/2023 - 9/30/2023 by HHS Region Source: Centers for Disease Control Map shows pie charts for each of 10 regions, reflecting regional estimated proportions for specimens collected two weeks ending 9/30/2023. Bold annotation overwrites map, reading "Nowcast estimates are only available for regions 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8 and 9." Regions 1 (New England) and 10 (Pacific Northwest) are empty grey. Dominant strains by region: NY/NJ: Eris fam EG.5 (peach 28.0%) and FL.1.5.1 (moss 25.9%). Mid-Atlantic: Eris fam EG.5 (peach 29.2%), Eris scion HV.1 (ash 15.4%), and FL.1.5.1 (moss 14.3%). Southwest: Eris fam EG.5 (peach 22.2%), Arcturus dot6 XBB.1.16.6 (clover 15.7%), and Eris scion HV.1 (ash 15.5%). Great Lakes: Eris fam EG.5 (peach 32.3%), Eris scion HV.1 (ash 12.1%), and FL.1.5.1 (moss 10.5%). Middle South: Eris fam EG.5 (peach 25.6%), Arcturus dot6 XBB.1.16.6 (clover 12.2%), FL.1.5.1 (moss 10.5%), Acrux 2.3 (cotton candy 9.8%). Lower Midwest: Eris fam EG.5 (peach 25.2%), Eris scion HV.1 (ash 17.0%), and Arcturus dot6 XBB.1.16.6 (clover 9.3%). Mtn/Dakotas: Eris fam EG.5 (peach 38.0%), FL.1.5.1 (moss 11.3%), and Arcturus dot6 XBB.1.16.6 (clover 10.7%). Southwest: Eris fam EG.5 (peach 36.5%), Arcturus dot6 XBB.1.16.6 (clover 8.8%), and Eris scion HV.1 (ash 8.3%). ALT-text by beadsland at ko-fi.

beadsland,

Per WHO, every 12 minutes four people die of acute covid. Three of those deaths are in the United States.

Entering April, for every three covid deaths, U.S. saw another excess death not attributed to covid.

The emergency is over—covid is not done with us.

[Share of deaths viz gains 3 weeks with new data.]

❖

Chart: U.S. Share of 28-Day Covid Deaths Data: WHO (via Our World in Data), NCHS (via CDC), official srcs (via Wikipedia) [ beadsland on Ko-fi ] Shows covid 28-day mortality as reported for the U.S. as share of G8, G20, and global 28-day mortality, for 3 years through Sept. 24, 2023, this being the most recent date on which at least 50% of world population was represented in weekly reporting (see note regarding ◇ data points, below). Share of population for each comparison is provided for reference. With the end of PHE aggregate tracking, U.S. ceased reporting covid deaths to WHO. After 5/14/23, chart uses provisional covid deaths from NCHS. ◇ data points represent sum population (via Wikipedia) of those countries that reported at least one death in prior week, as percentage of world pop. [Down to near 60% as of July. Was 90% last August.] 7-day avg of U.S. share of G8 covid deaths at 85.4%, on an upward trajectory, well exceeding share of pop. (~38%). Same date last year, share of G8 covid deaths was 43.1%, jaggedly climbing toward winter. Avg. U.S. share of G20 covid deaths now 64.7% (vs. ~7% of G20 population). Same date last year: 25.4%. U.S. share of global parallels: now 62.4% (vs. ~4% of pop.). This date last year, U.S. share of global covid deaths was 23.6%. All three metrics were near or below respective populations roughly May–Aug 2021; thereafter have been profoundly higher than population but for a troughs due to data dump by China in May 2023.

beadsland, to random

NCHS estimates of —based on Household Pulse Survey—provide for volatile projections.

Census Bureau released most recent data released last Wed—next update due Oct 11.

As more and more folk experience Long Covid, fewer and fewer staff our hospitals.

This is first toot of a weekly thread, updated daily, providing various dataviz of ongoing [.]

Last week: https://mastodon.social/@beadsland/111088281777820069

beadsland,

Twenty-first week of post-Kraken soup, CDC breaks out Kraken scion GK.2 and Arcturus descended HF.1 & XBB.1.16.15.

Hyperion-2 XBB.1.9.2/EG now over one third of three-week GISAID sequences; Hyperion 1.9.1/FL now over one in seven.

Arcturus XBB.1.16 family holds at ¼; Kraken XBB.1.5 now down to ⅒.

[Srcs: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variant-proportions

https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/raj.rajnarayanan/viz/USAVariantDB/VariantDashboard]

❖

Chart: SARSCoV2 Variant Dashboard - USA | 21-DAY TRENDS Source: NYITCOM Research Report (Raj Rajnarayanan) Caption (in part): Circulating Variants in…following US States: All - Specimen Collected in…last 21 days | Updated on 9/29/23 4:26:10 AM [GMT?] | Source (sequences): GISAID Bubble chart showing tallies of each identified variant for each state. Data has been filtered to show dozens of Pangolin subvariants of XBB.1.9, including parent. Top subvariants: Fornax FL.1.5.1 (22.24%), Eris dot1 EG.5.1.1 (14.52%), Eris descendant HV.1 (13.78%), Eris EG.5.1 (11.92%). Raj has standardized bubbles to pink (XBB.1.9.1*, incl. FL & HN), red (XBB.1.9.2*, incl. EG & HV), and grey (for other variants, here XBB.1.9.3+, incl. GD), although some newer pango aliases may still be getting unique colors assigned by Tableau. Bubbles largest and most prominent for: FL.1.5.1 (pink) for New York (214), Texas (63), and New Jersey (60); HV.1 (red) for New York (89), New Jersey, Texas and Florida; EG.5.1.1 (red) for New York (78), Texas and California; EG.5.1.4 (red) for New York; EG.5.1.1 (red) for California; EG.5.1.3 (red) for New York. Dozens of additional smaller bubbles for various variants and states. ALT-text by beadsland at ko-fi.

beadsland,

After 8 weeks, CDC resumes estimates for all but the New Eng. and NW.

EG.5 btw ⅖ & ¼ share in tracked regions except SW.

FL.1.5.1 over ¼ share in NY/NJ; near ⅒ most other regions.

HV.1 btw ⅕ & ⅑ all but Mtn/Dakotas, Middle South & SW.

XBB.1.16.6 near ⅙ in SW; over ⅛ in Mid Sou.

[See toot above for variants CDC map color key & links to sources for charts.]

❖

Chart: SARSCoV2 Variant Dashboard - USA | 21-DAY TRENDS Source: NYITCOM Research Report (Raj Rajnarayanan) Caption (in part): Circulating Variants in…following US States: All - Specimen Collected in…last 21 days | Updated on 9/29/23 4:26:10 AM [GMT?] | Source (sequences): GISAID Bubble chart showing tallies of each identified variant for each state. Data has been filtered to show over twelve dozen Pangolin subvariants, excluding XBB.1.9.* lineages. Top subvariants: Arcturus dot6 XBB.1.16.6 (19.03%), Arcturus XBB.1.16 (5.82%), and Arcturus dot11 XBB.1.16.11 (5.50%). Raj has standardized bubbles to orange (Kraken XBB.1.5.

beadsland,

Per WHO, every 12 minutes four people die of acute covid. Three of those deaths are in the United States.

Entering April, for every three covid deaths, U.S. saw another excess death not attributed to covid.

The emergency is over—covid is not done with us.

[Prior anomaly in July Vietnam data now corrected.]

❖

Chart: U.S. Share of 28-Day Covid Deaths Data: WHO (via Our World in Data), NCHS (via CDC), official srcs (via Wikipedia) [ beadsland on Ko-fi ] Shows covid 28-day mortality as reported for the U.S. as share of G8, G20, and global 28-day mortality, for 3 years through Sept. 3, 2023, this being the most recent date on which at least 50% of world population was represented in weekly reporting (see note regarding ◇ data points, below). Share of population for each comparison is provided for reference. With the end of PHE aggregate tracking, U.S. ceased reporting covid deaths to WHO. After 5/14/23, chart uses provisional covid deaths from NCHS. ◇ data points represent sum population (via Wikipedia) of those countries that reported at least one death in prior week, as percentage of world pop. [Down to near 60% as of July. Was 90% last August.] 7-day avg of U.S. share of G8 covid deaths at 81.9%, on an upward trajectory, well exceeding share of pop. (~38%). Same date last year, share of G8 covid deaths was 40.5%, jaggedly climbing toward winter. Avg. U.S. share of G20 covid deaths now 59.0% (vs. ~7% of G20 population). Same date last year: 21.3%. U.S. share of global parallels: now 58.1% (vs. ~4% of pop.). This date last year, U.S. share of global covid deaths was 20.2%. All three metrics were near or below respective populations roughly May–Aug 2021; thereafter have been profoundly higher than population but for a troughs due to data dump by China in May 2023.

beadsland, to random

NCHS estimates of —based on Household Pulse Survey—provide for volatile projections.

Census Bureau released most recent data mid-August—next update anticipated this Wednesday.

As more and more folk experience Long Covid, fewer and fewer staff our hospitals.

This is first toot of a weekly thread, updated daily, providing various dataviz of ongoing [.]

Last week: https://mastodon.social/@beadsland/111048160524367468

beadsland,

Twentieth week of post-Kraken soup, Hyperion-2 XBB.1.9.2/EG now near one third of three-week GISAID sequences, with Hyperion 1.9.1/FL still one in nine.

Arcturus XBB.1.16 family holds over one in four; Kraken XBB.1.5 now below one in nine; Acrux 2.3 (incl GJ & GE) down to one in ten.

[Srcs: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variant-proportions

https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/raj.rajnarayanan/viz/USAVariantDB/VariantDashboard]

❖

CDC's Variant Nowcast showing weighted estimated distribution of variants over fortnights ending 6/10/23 thru 8/19/23, with model-projected estimates for following two fortnights. Proportional stacked bar chart, where each color represents a different variant, inclusive of those descendants not otherwise broken out. Kraken XBB.1.5 (indigo) was dominant through May. Now crowded out by EG.5 (peach, incl. Eris EG.5.1), Fornax FL.1.5.1 (moss), Arcturus XBB.1.16 (blueberry), dot6 XBB.1.16.6 (clover), Eris-scion HV.1 (ash), Acrux XBB.2.3 (cotton candy). Meanwhile Kraken dot70 XBB.1.5.70 (forest), Acrux-scion GE.1 (bubble gum) and Arcturus dot11 (muted pink) gaining share steadily. XBB.1.5 estimated at 4.0% and 2.2% vs. 8.5% fortnight of 8/5, for average -41% biweekly drop in estimated share. XBB.1.5.70 estimated at 3.4% & 3.8% vs. 3.2%, for avg +23% gain in est. share. FL.1.5.1 at 10.6% & 13.7% vs. 7.2%, for avg +31% gain in est. share. EG.5 at 22.3% & 24.5% vs. 18.1%, for avg +17% gain in est. share. HV.1 at 4.8% & 8.4% vs. 3.1%, for avg. +96% gain in share. XBB.1.16 at 11.3% & 10.2% vs. 12.6%, for avg -6% loss in share. XBB.1.16.1 at 5.3% & 4.1% vs. 7.0%, for avg -15% loss in share. XBB.1.16.6 at 9.4% & 9.9% vs. 7.7%, for avg +17% gain in share. XBB.1.16.11 at 2.9% & 3.0% vs. 2.5%, for avg. +13% gain in share. XBB.2.3 at 8.6% & 7.2% vs. 9.3%, for avg -9% loss in share. GE.1 at 1.8% & 1.7%% vs. 1.7%, for avg 14% gain in share. ALT-text by beadsland on Ko-fi.

beadsland,

After 6 weeks, CDC resumed estimates for Mid-Atlantic. Five regions remain dark.

For regions with estimates:

• Fornax FL.1.5.1 over ¼ in NY/NJ, over ⅙ in Mid-Atlantic

• EG.5 over ³⁄₁₀ in SW, near ³⁄₁₀ in Gr Lakes, ¼ in Mid-Atl, near ¼ in NY/NJ, ⅕ in SE.

• XBB.1.16.6 > ⅐ in SE.

[See toot above for variants CDC map color key & links to sources for charts.]

❖

Map: Nowcast Estimates for 9/3/2023 - 9/16/2023 by HHS Region Source: Centers for Disease Control Map shows pie charts for each of 10 regions, reflecting regional estimated proportions for specimens collected two weeks ending 9/16/2023. Bold annotation overwrites map, reading "Nowcast estimates are only available for regions 2, 3, 4, 5, and 9." These regions are namely 2: New York/New Jersey (incl. Puerto Rico & Virgin Islands); 3: Mid-Atlantic; 4: Southeast; 5: Great Lakes; and 9: Southwest (incl. Hawaii and Pacific territories and compact associations). Dominant strains by region: NY/NJ: Fornax FL.1.5.1 (moss 27.7%) and Eris fam EG.5 (peach 23.1%). Mid-Atlantic: Eris fam EG.5 (peach 25.2%), Fornax FL.1.5.1 (moss 15.9%), and Arcturus XBB.1.16 (blueberry 10.1%). Southeast: Eris fam EG.5 (peach 19.5%), Arcturus dot6 XBB.1.16.6 (clover 15.0%), Fornax FL.1.5.1 (moss 10.8%), and Eris scion HV.1 (ash 10.7%). Great Lakes: Eris fam EG.5 (peach 28.3%), Arcturus XBB.1.16 (blueberry 10.7%), Fornax FL.1.5.1 (moss 9.4%), Arcux XBB.2.3 (cotton candy 7.4%) and Arcturus dot6 XBB.1.16.6 (clover 7.4%). Southwest: Eris fam EG.5 (peach 31.1%), Arcturus XBB.1.16 (blueberry 12.8%), and Acrux XBB.2.3 (cotton candy 8.6%). ALT-text by beadsland at ko-fi.

beadsland,

Per WHO, every 12 minutes four people die of acute covid. Three of those deaths are in the United States.

Entering April, for every three covid deaths, U.S. saw another excess death not attributed to covid.

The emergency is over—covid is not done with us.

[China data restored; 43K Vietnam deaths reported 7/30.]

❖

Chart: U.S. Share of 28-Day Covid Deaths Data: WHO (via Our World in Data), NCHS (via CDC), official srcs (via Wikipedia) [ beadsland on Ko-fi ] Shows covid 28-day mortality as reported for the U.S. as share of G8, G20, and global 28-day mortality, for 3 years through Sept. 3, 2023, this being the most recent date on which at least 50% of world population was represented in weekly reporting (see note regarding ◇ data points, below). Share of population for each comparison is provided for reference. With the end of PHE aggregate tracking, U.S. ceased reporting covid deaths to WHO. After 5/14/23, chart uses provisional covid deaths from NCHS. ◇ data points represent sum population (via Wikipedia) of those countries that reported at least one death in prior week, as percentage of world pop. [Down to near 60% as of July. Was 90% last August.] 7-day avg of U.S. share of G8 covid deaths at 81.6%, on an upward trajectory, well exceeding share of pop. (~38%). Same date last year, share of G8 covid deaths was 40.5%, jaggedly climbing toward winter. Avg. U.S. share of G20 covid deaths now 58.7% (vs. ~7% of G20 population). Same date last year: 21.3%. U.S. share of global parallels: now 56.2% (vs. ~4% of pop.). This date last year, U.S. share of global covid deaths was 20.2%. All three metrics were near or below respective populations roughly May–Aug 2021; thereafter have been profoundly higher than population but for troughs due data dumps by China & Vietnam, May & July 2023.

beadsland, to random

NCHS estimates of —based on Household Pulse Survey—provide for volatile projections.

Census Bureau released most recent data mid-August—next update anticipated Sept 20.

As more and more folk experience Long Covid, fewer and fewer staff our hospitals.

This is first toot of a weekly thread, updated daily, providing various dataviz of ongoing [.]

Last week: https://mastodon.social/@beadsland/110969468590219518

beadsland,

After 4 weeks, CDC resumed variant estimates for Great Lakes. Six regions remain dark.

For regions with estimates:

• Fornax FL.1.5.1 over ¼ in NY/NJ, ⅒ in Grt. Lakes.

• EG.5 near ⅓ in SW, ¼ in Gr Lks, ⅕ in NY/NJ & ⅙ in SE.

• XBB.1.16.6 near ⅙ in SE. XBB.1.16 over ⅒ in SW.

[See toot above for variants CDC map color key & links to sources for these charts.]

❖

Map: Nowcast Estimates for 8/6/2023 - 8/19/2023 by HHS Region Source: Centers for Disease Control Map shows pie charts for each of 10 regions, reflecting regional estimated proportions for specimens collected two weeks ending 8/19/2023. Bold annotation overwrites map, reading "Nowcast estimates are only available for regions 2, 4, 5, and 9." These regions are namely 2: New York/New Jersey (incl. Puerto Rico & Virgin Islands); 4: Southeast; 5: Great Lakes; and 9: Southwest (incl. Hawaii and Pacific territories and compact associations). Dominant strains by region: NY/NJ: Fornax FL.1.5.1 (moss 27.9%), EG.5 (peach 19.6%), Arcturus dot6 XBB.1.16.6 (clover 8.2%). Southeast: Fornax FL.1.5.1 (moss 27.9%), EG.5 (peach 19.6%), Arcturus dot6 XBB.1.16.6 (clover 8.2%). Great Lakes: EG.5 (peach 24.5%), FL.1.5.1 (moss 10.0%), Arcturus XBB.1.16 (blueberry 9.3%), Acrux XBB.2.3 (cotton candy 8.4%). Southwest: EG.5 (peach 28.7%), Arcturus XBB.1.16 (blueberry 11.6%), Acrux XBB.2.3 (cotton candy 9.8%), Arcturus dot6 XBB.1.16.6 (clover 7.3%). ALT-text by beadsland at ko-fi.

beadsland,

Per WHO, every twelve minutes four people die of acute covid. Three of those deaths are in the United States.

Entering April, for every three covid deaths, U.S. saw another excess death not attributed to covid.

The emergency is over. Covid is not done with us.

[2nd viz moves 3 wks—global data in upswing.]

❖

Chart: U.S. Share of 28-Day Covid Deaths Data: WHO (via Our World in Data), NCHS (via CDC), official srcs (via Wikipedia) [ beadsland on Ko-fi ] Shows covid 28-day mortality as reported for the U.S. as share of G8, G20, and global 28-day mortality, for 3 years through Sept. 1, 2023, this being the most recent date on which at least 50% of world population was represented in weekly reporting (see note regarding ◇ data points, below). Share of population for each comparison is provided for reference. With the end of PHE aggregate tracking, U.S. ceased reporting covid deaths to WHO. After 5/14/23, chart uses provisional covid deaths from NCHS. ◇ data points represent sum population (via Wikipedia) of those countries that reported at least one death in prior week, as percentage of world pop. [Down to near 60% as of July. Was 90% last August.] 7-day avg of U.S. share of G8 covid deaths at 85.4%, on an upward trajectory, well exceeding share of pop. (~38%). Same date last year, share of G8 covid deaths was 40.4%, jaggedly climbing toward winter. Avg. U.S. share of G20 covid deaths now 58.5% (vs. ~7% of G20 population). Same date last year: 20.9%. U.S. share of global parallels: now 57.0% (vs. ~4% of pop.). This date last year, U.S. share of global covid deaths was 19.9%. All three metrics were near or below respective populations roughly May–Aug 2021; thereafter have been profoundly higher than population but for G20/global trough due to data dump for China, March 2023.

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