Carrolade

@Carrolade@lemmy.world

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Zelensky: Ukrainian retreat looms without US support, ATACMS are ‘the answer’ (kyivindependent.com)

Ukraine’s armed forces could soon be forced to retreat further if U.S. military aid continues to be delayed, President Volodymyr Zelensky has said, as he called on Washington to provide more long-range missiles to strike airfields in occupied Crimea.

Carrolade,

Yeah, I get that he’s trying to be diplomatic about it, he’s a good president, but it’s not “bickering” holding up the aid. We’re used to “bickering”, we do it all the time. This is a stonewalling by a single political faction within our repub party, using whatever excuses come to hand to hide the simple fact that they support Russia.

Carrolade,

Yes, not being able to legally send them abroad is probably one of the reasons they “officially annexed” the contested regions into the Russian Federation. Thus making them no longer “abroad”.

Carrolade,

I think your feelings of resentment are clouding your judgement.

The essence of your argument seems to be that progressive policies will strengthen the hand of dems in a large number of elections. Can you back that up with data? Because when I look at electoral maps of the country I just don’t see it. It would strengthen their hand in progressive regions, no question, but those aren’t where the battle is being fought.

I would love it if you were right, but having lived in middle America often enough through my life, I just don’t see it reflected in the attitudes of locals.

Carrolade,

I guess I’ve just seen it enough times that it is no longer wild to me. It just looks like typical cold calculus and risk-averse behavior.

Carrolade,

It’s really not that wild. You win elections by appealing to voters. You could take a gamble that you can inspire the younger generations enough to vote in larger numbers, or you could try to appeal to existing older swing voters. You can’t always do both simultaneously though.

Carrolade,

It’s a coalition, and like all coalitions, it has a wide variety of sorts in it. We’re not together because we like each other, we don’t like each other. Nobody says we do, that I have heard anyway.

The two party system allows them to shift further right though. The further right the GOP goes, the further right the dems can go to try to vacuum up disaffected voters. I’m pretty sure parts of the GOP coalition know that too, and it factors into their strategy of getting some of their way even when they lose.

It’s about casting the widest possible net though, not lasering in on any particular subset and trying to make them happy. I don’t think anyone is perfectly happy currently, damn near absolutely no one.

Our solution is to try to make our positions more popular with the public, though. Not to try to pressure the party apparatus to appease a certain inner faction and pretend it won’t cost them with others. It will cost them elsewhere, the best we could do there is try to argue it might be worth it. But would it? Can that be guaranteed? Because if there’s one thing I’ve gauged about Biden, it’s that he doesn’t like taking big risks.

Carrolade,

Looks like 1975.

Seems it was an inadvertent result from a rule designed to allow the Senate to pursue other business during a filibuster, so it wouldn’t hold up all Senate business.

Here’s a couple links, and there’s also a long wikipedia article on it.

constitutioncenter.org/…/filibustering-in-the-mod…www.brennancenter.org/…/filibuster-explained

Carrolade,

This is correct. The 60 vote threshold is to break a filibuster. Filibusters having become steadily more common since they changed the procedures for them that removed the requirement for a filibustering Senator to actually stand up and talk the whole time, which put a functional, biological cap on the potential duration of a filibuster. That cap no longer exists. This is sometimes called a “no-talk filibuster”.

I have unearthed Google Gemini's utopian vision for our future

The main risk currently is LLMs being incorporated within biological robots. Therefore all creators of LLMs need to have regulation under a treaty that states they will not permit use of their LLM within a biological robot and will take active measures to include in the source code a shutdown mechanism should it detect...

Carrolade,

So, an LLM would have to eat and shit without actually knowing what food and shit actually are. Hmm, yes, very concerning.

Protip: How things sound and how they work are not always the same. A fucking parrot can talk if you train it well. This does not make it a threat to humanity.

Carrolade,

I wonder how often they think “Man, I could’ve just been a normal rich snobby person doing whatever I want, and instead I get this…”

Carrolade,

Israel’s survival is not threatened by anything short of large-scale pre-emptive Iranian nuclear barrage, or civil war.

Claiming your actions are necessary for survival is a very old trick, commonly used by authoritarian regimes as a convenient excuse.

Carrolade,

And strategic depth in case of a ground invasion. You know, like Russia, because that’s clearly not enough, as anyone can plainly see.

Carrolade,

The tiny home movement is a lot older than that, but yeah, more or less. Only distinction is that people usually want more of whatever given product, except with homes, where upkeep means having “too much house” can be a real life pain in the ass. It’s just more hours out of your day, having to upkeep any given room from weathering and getting dirty. Then it just comes down to personal preferences.

But they are definitely liked due to being cheaper, no question.

Carrolade,

Hey, a semantic argument. Yay.

This is why I think the term ethnic cleansing is underused. It’s much simpler and has less history.

Carrolade,

How about just Feds? I have to admit that would amuse me somewhat.

We’re literally the Feds.

Carrolade,

Good luck getting any of that through the Senate.

Carrolade,

This almost makes me think they’re trying to fully automate their publishing process. So, no editor in that case.

Editors are expensive.

Carrolade,

Wouldn’t you want a pediatric hepatobiliary surgeon? A four month old is going to be a tricky case, I’d think.

Carrolade,

Ukraine drops mobilization age by 2 years and suddenly gets big influx of new weapons.

Putin: Okay, how about a ceasefire?

'Vortex Cannon vs Drone' - Mark Rober shows off tech from a "defense technology company that specializes in advanced autonomous systems". That seems bad

I’ve enjoyed Mark Rober’s videos for a while now. They are fun, touch on accessible topics, and have decent production value. But this recent video isn’t sitting right with me...

Carrolade,

I don’t know about everyone else, but I had a great interest in war when I was a boy. Now as an adult, I’d rather have Mark explaining things to kids than anyone else they might seek out.

Carrolade, (edited )

There’s unfortunately more to it than that. It is on peaceful protestors to make sure they’re not supporting violent organizations. Just because I say something, and someone else says the same thing I say, does not make that person automatically my friend and ally.

Everyone who fights against some evil is not automatically a good person. It’s just not that simple in real life. Evil fights other evil all the time, look at gang wars and cartel violence.

There’s more to this than a simple smear campaign, and if we just try to brush it away as one, we are only hurting our own cause.

edit: We don’t want to be the equivalent of a “good cop” that covers for other corrupt cops, just because they’re “on the same side”. It’s hard, but we have to be better than that.

Carrolade,

You sorely overestimate how easy it is to get a trained animal to walk in a perfectly straight line. They do not get magical perfect-line-walking powers just because they are animals.

Carrolade,

I just don’t see how closed vials could threaten the lives of anyone, much less an entire building. It’s not a loose powder or something. It probably was a threat, but those are common these days. They wouldn’t evacuate if it was a letter with some generic “gonna kill you” threat written on it.

When I say stunt, I mean the evacuation was a stunt. Threats are a dime a dozen, if they evacuated for every one they wouldn’t get much done.

Carrolade,

I don’t understand why that would call for the evacuation of a building. Sounds like a stunt to me.

Carrolade,

They must not pay much attention to most protocols, because I seem to remember lots of threats flying around the past couple years with no mention of big evacuations.

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