Wanted to ask if there was another premium (or free) surefire way to get movies and TV shows in high quality without much hassle? I had an emby shared server that pretty much had anything I wanted but it looks like it shut down completely. I also didn’t notice that the reddits for plex/emby shares had been banned for a while...
I swear, every time most of the time I see someone being particularly rude, ignorant, and inappropriate on a post (usually political in origin, or they swing it to being political) I click on their profile and see it has been created that same day....
Jellyfin is great. Worth the time and effort to get it setup. Infuse is worth the money as an AppleTv frontend too.
You will definitely need toimprove your lan speed though. I’drecommende getting off WiFi for as much of the media as you can. If not that, put in triband WiFi connection and wire them in if possible. Mesh will work, but bring your speed down.
Two point one: That’s how many children everyone able to give birth must have to keep the human population from beginning to fall. Demographers have long expected the world will dip below this magic number—known as the replacement level—in the coming decades. A new study published last month in The Lancet, however, puts the tipping point startlingly near: as soon as 2030.
It’s no surprise that fertility is dropping in many countries, which demographers attribute to factors such as higher education levels among people who give birth, rising incomes, and expanded access to contraceptives. The United States is at 1.6 instead of the requisite 2.1, for example, and China and Taiwan are hovering at about 1.2 and one, respectively. But other predictions have estimated more time before the human population reaches the critical juncture. The United Nations Population Division, in a 2022 report, put this tipping point at 2056, and earlier this year, the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital, a multidisciplinary research organization dedicated to studying population dynamics, forecasted 2040.
Christopher Murray, co-author of the new study and director of the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), suspects his study’s forecast is conservative. “With each passing year … it’s becoming clearer that fertility is dropping faster than we expect,” he says. Because the 2030 figure is already a hastening of IHME’s previous estimate of 2034, “I would not be surprised at all if things unfold at an even faster rate,” he says.
SIGN UP FOR THE SCIENCEADVISER NEWSLETTER The latest news, commentary, and research, free to your inbox daily A drop below replacement fertility does not mean global population will immediately fall. It will likely take about 30 additional years, or roughly how long it takes for a new generation to start to reproduce, for the global death rate to exceed the birth rate. Even then, because countries’ fertility may vary dramatically, global fertility rate is a “very abstract concept that doesn’t mean much,” says Patrick Gerland, chief of the Population Estimates and Projection Section of the U.N. Population Division. But he says the trend points to a world increasingly split between low-fertility countries, in which a diminishing number of young people support a burgeoning population of seniors; and high-fertility countries, largely poorer sub-Saharan African nations, where continued population growth could hamper development.
Estimating when the world will reach the turning point is challenging. The new model from IHME is based on how many children each population “cohort”—people born in a specific year—will give birth to over their lifetime. It captures changes such as a move to childbirth later in life. But full cohort fertility data are thus far only available for generations of people older than 50, and so the IHME model builds projections within itself to try to capture trends as they are unfolding.
A steady decline Global fertility has been dropping for several decades. Low-income countries in sub-Saharan Africa and high-income countries such as the United States and Japan are expected to dip below the level needed to sustain the human population in the coming decades. But a new model says the global fertility rate could drop below the replacement level as soon as 2030.
D. AN-PHAM/SCIENCE In contrast, the U.N. and Wittgenstein models are based on each country’s total fertility rate, or the sum of age-specific fertility rates, typically for those between the ages of 15 and 49, which is considered reproductive age. As a result, temporary fluctuations in childbearing behaviors—say, people decades ago delaying giving birth to children so they could advance in their education and careers—can throw off their projections, and they can miss longer term changes in childbearing behaviors. These models may have been prone to undercounting fertility in the past, then finding a temporary rebound in fertility rate, and therefore predicting a longer time frame for world population decline.
ADVERTISEMENT This is one reason that Wittgenstein is considering moving to a cohort model, says Anne Goujon, director of the Population and Just Societies Program at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, one of the three institutions that form the Wittgenstein Centre.
Other factors also contribute to the differences between the projections, including how the IHME model accounts for four variables that impact fertility, including access to contraceptives and higher education among those who give birth. (The other two models generally do not, although Wittgenstein considers education.)
Regardless of when the turning point comes, “growing disparity in fertility levels could contribute to widening of [other] disparities,” says Alex Ezeh, a global health professor at Drexel University, who was not involved in the Lancet study. For middle- to high-income, low-fertility countries, falling below replacement level could mean labor shortages and pressure on health care systems, nationalized health insurance, and social security programs. Meanwhile, low-income countries that still have high fertility are at heightened risk of falling further behind on the world’s economic stage, Ezeh says. “They will not be able to make the necessary investments to improve health, well-being, and education” with too few resources to support a booming population.
Although some experts, including Goujon, think there isn’t yet reason for alarm, others call for urgency. “This is going to be a very big challenge for much of the world,” Murray says. “There’s a tendency to dismiss this as sort of like, yeah, we’ll worry about it in the future. But I think it’s becoming more of an issue that has to be tackled sooner rather than later.”
The truce is off. Let the negotiations begin again.
Leading Colorado environmental groups filed language Thursday for three sweeping ballot measures aimed at limiting the oil and gas industry in the state, openly declaring them a blocking effort to as many as a half-dozen equally sweeping proposals supported by oil interests.
The potential ballot battle, alongside a number of anti-oil and gas bills still under debate in the legislature this year, is a renewal of the election year games of chicken from 2018, 2020 and 2022. In some past elections, environmental groups and oil and gas representatives agreed to take competing measures off the table so long as it was a bilateral disarmament.
Gov. Jared Polis, who has said in the past he wants to give existing oil and gas pollution limits time to work, encouraged the sides to stand down. He even declared an end to the state’s so-called oil and gas wars in 2019 when he signed a regulatory overhaul into law.
Oil and gas interests are spending millions backing ballot measures and running TV ads attacking bills being debated this legislative session, said Jessica Goad with Conservation Colorado, one leader in the environmental coalition that filed the measures Thursday. The coalition also includes the Sierra Club, Colorado GreenLatinos and others.
“Our intent with this is to open a conversation with industry,” Goad said. “There’s lots of moves in the legislative session around oil and gas bills and policy. So, yes, we’re thinking about this all as a whole and feeling like we need to use all the tools available to us, including the legislature and bills, but also the ballot process right now, to be able to have a conversation with the industry and their allies.”
☀️ READ MORE How to get solar power for your Colorado home — even if your own roof won’t work 3:08 AM MDT on Mar 21, 2024 Plan to drill for oil and gas near Lowry Landfill Superfund site southeast of Denver raises red flags 3:49 AM MDT on Mar 11, 2024 Xcel Energy says its facilities appear to have had role in igniting Texas wildfire 8:39 AM MST on Mar 7, 2024 The deadline for filing state ballot proposals to appear on the November ballot is fast approaching. They would be heard at the state’s Title Board in April, leaving time to continue any talks over bills at the legislative session that ends in early May. The environmental groups’ filing may appear last-minute, but Goad said they are up against an industry making late moves of its own.
“From our perspective, the oil and gas industry and their allies have filed seven measures that could be really devastating to our climate and clean energy progress,” Goad said. “And they were doing that as late as last week. We had no choice but to use every tool available to us, including filing these measures here today.”
The filings are a “backstop” to protecting clean air and water, she said.
The three ballot proposals the environmental coalition said it filed Thursday include:
“Oil and Gas Accountability,” making the oil and gas industry strictly liable for any damages to health or property from spills, fires, earthquakes caused by hydraulic fracturing, contamination of surface or groundwater or other hazards. (Strict liability is a legal standard meaning the plaintiff doesn’t have to show a direct causal link, only that the damage occurred.) “Clean Air and Water Protection,” giving Colorado residents more power to enforce oil and gas regulations in state courts to protect air and water, while also requiring oil and gas companies at fault to pay the citizen’s attorney fees. “Right to a healthy environment,” putting into state law a personal right to clean air and water, and to bring lawsuits if the state “undermines their right.” Getting a measure on the November ballot, even if the coalition’s proposed language is approved by the Title Board, won’t be easy. It takes collecting roughly 125,000 voter signatures per each measure over a few months to qualify, a feat that typically costs millions of dollars.
Oil and gas interests, meanwhile, have filed multiple titles that go after state government support for cleaner energy technology. Three have been approved for gathering signatures. One is focused on blocking incentives or government mandates for clean energy for installing heat pumps or hot water heaters running on renewable electricity. Two would prohibit the state or local governments from dictating what kind of energy hookups are offered to the individual consumer, in part responding to some local efforts to ban new natural gas pipelines into subdivisions, in favor of renewable electricity or solar power.
The American Petroleum Institute is spending nearly $2 million to air a TV ad claiming that some bills being considered this year will shut down oil and gas production entirely in the state. The ads will air through at least the end of March. On ballot measures, Chevron and Occidental Petroleum have each donated nearly $1.5 million to the issue committee Protect Colorado, which works to protect the oil and gas industry’s interests.
The environmental groups also believe some of the industry-backed measures would interfere with state and Public Utilities Commission work to transition all Colorado utility generation to solar, wind, battery storage and other renewable, clean forms of energy.
State officials will be reviewing ballot language and petition signatures at the same time the legislature makes choices on a host of bills aimed at further cutting ozone precursors and greenhouse gas emissions in Colorado.
One in particular that has raised the ire of oil and gas trade groups is a proposed ban on all new oil and gas drilling in Colorado, to be phased out by 2030, which is up for debate in a legislative committee next week. That proposed new drilling ban has not been backed by many of the mainstream environmental groups in Colorado. Instead, that coalition backs a package of bills that includes a “pause” on new oil and gas drilling during the summer high-ozone months.
Other measures in that package of bills would reform the air pollution permitting process in Colorado, boost enforcement and fines of air pollution violations, and reform the powerful Air Quality Control Commission to be more weighted toward environmental justice advocacy.
Polis and other state leaders have called for more measured regulation of the oil and gas industry since a contentious anti-fracking ballot measure lost by a wide margin in 2018. That proposal would have required much wider setbacks between development and new oil and gas wells to better protect human health. Industry groups said it would have been an effective ban on new drilling.
Five shareholder proposals With three management proposals, the shareholder proposals are numbered 4 to 8 inclusive.
4: Employment protection for opinions differing from Apple policy This argues that Apple doesn’t promise not to discriminate against applicants and employees on the basis of “viewpoint” and “ideology.” The proposal expressed a concern that those with conservative views are disadvantaged.
Apple responds by stating it has a commitment to “a culture where every great idea can be heard and where everyone belongs, including those with differing viewpoints and ideologies.” It says that the company’s existing policies and practices already address this concern.
5: Report on the company’s removal of religious apps in China Another proposal demands a report into the company’s removal of religious apps from its Chinese app store, and threatened removal of the social network X.
Apple says that it already offers transparency on this issue, and must comply with the laws of each of the jurisdictions in which it operates.
6: Report on unadjusted pay gaps for women and minorities Apple currently reports on weighted pay gaps between men and women, and between minorities and non-minorities. This reporting adjusts for factors like time spent out of the workplace for things like childcare. The proposal calls on Apple to also report on unadjusted pay gaps, in order to make visible “structural bias” in pay differentials.
The company responds that it believes its own reporting provides “more meaningful” data, and that Apple achieved gender pay equity globally by 2017, and full pay equity “at the intersections of gender and race and ethnicity” in the US by 2022.
7: Prepare a transparency report on Apple’s use of AI The proposal asks that Apple disclose its use of AI, as well as any ethical guidelines it has adopted to govern such use.
Apple asked the SEC for permission to exclude this proposal, on the basis that it would risk disclosing commercially-sensitive information about the company’s plans. The SEC denied this, and the company now asks shareholders to vote against it for the same reason.
8: Report on human rights policies The proposal points to “inconsistent” application of Apple’s stated values when it comes to complying with legal demands in China to remove apps and adopt other policies, like introducing a timeout for AirDrop. It calls for the company to issue a report on this.
For those who are to lazy to check the link, it’s an Electronic Support Measures (ESM) mast and station. Essentially a highly specialized series of antennas, receivers, and processors designed to listen for Radio Frequency transmission on the battle field. Generally used in multiples to triangulate and track.
Reddit made an initial public offering filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission on Thursday ahead of its highly-anticipated stock market debut....
What storage software could I run to have an archive of my personal files (a couple TB of photos) that doesn’t require I keep a full local copy of all the data? I like the idea of a simple and focused tool like Syncthing, but they seem to be angling towards replication....
Deezer for one. Doesn’t have quite the same amount of music, but I don’t seem to have the issue with travel considering I am literally away for half the year.
It took months before the first mention of Section 3 in a public document. Free Speech For People, a Massachusetts-based liberal nonprofit, sent letters to top election officials in all 50 states in June 2021, warning them not to place Trump on the ballot should he run again in 2024 because he had violated the provision....
The end is the most enlighting vs the legal losses:
With most jurisdictions dodging the questions at the heart of the case, it can create a misleading impression that things have gone well for the former president.
“The cases have gone poorly for Trump,” Derek Muller, a Notre Dame law professor who has followed the cases closely, wrote Friday in a blog post. “He lost on the merits in the only two jurisdictions that got to the merits, Colorado and Maine.”
The Red Sea Conflict Is Scrambling Shipping. Europe Is Bearing the Brunt. Europe is again on the front line of the latest geopolitical tensions, a development that threatens to widen the economic gap between it and the U.S. By Paul Hannon and William Boston Jan. 18, 2024 11:00 pm ET
Ships traveling through the Red Sea carry about 40% of the goods traded between Europe and Asia. PHOTO: LUKE DRAY/GETTY IMAGES For the second time in three years, a conflict in Europe’s unruly neighborhood is threatening to weaken an already struggling economy while a more robust U.S. is watching from a safer distance. This time, attacks by Houthi rebels in Yemen targeting cargo ships in the Red Sea have persuaded more carriers to opt for the safer but longer and more expensive journey around Africa via the Cape of Good Hope. Those detours are raising freight costs and leading retailers to worry about running out of stock. Some factories have suspended work in the absence of needed parts. Should the threat persist, economists think the decline inflation Europe enjoyed last year could slow down, pushing back a potential cut in key interest rates. “This is clearly one of the major downside risks to growth, and upside risks to inflation,” said Ana Boata, chief economist at insurer Allianz Trade. “We could talk about a recessionary risk.” Re-Route Shipping companies with vessels idling in or near the Suez Canal are considering taking a detour around Africa. The Cape of Good Hope route is considerably longer and burns more fuel, making it less popular than the Suez Canal option.
Major world shipping routes Suez route Cape of Good Hope route Other Example: Singapore-Rotterdam, Netherlands Rotterdam Med. Sea Suez Canal Atlantic Ocean Singapore Indian Ocean Cape of Good Hope Distance Round-trip voyage Suez route 8,301 naut. miles 34 days 11,758 43 Cape route Sources: Jean-Paul Rodrigue, Hofstra University (global routes); Bimco (distance, voyage) The latest geopolitical flare-up could cement a growing asymmetry between Europe and the U.S. As a large energy producer, the U.S. has emerged arguably stronger from the crisis sparked by the Ukraine war. And while some of its imports transit via the Suez Canal, their share is comparatively small, and the Pacific offers an alternative route for cargo out of Asia. For now, the interruptions to supply chains are on a modest scale compared with the more widespread blockages seen in 2020 and 2021, and their economic impact is likely to be proportionately smaller. Businesses have also learned lessons from interruptions during the Covid-19 pandemic, and have larger inventories than they did then. IKEA boss Jesper Brodin said the Red Sea conflict has lengthened its shipping routes by about 10 days or longer though its customers aren’t affected. “The huge difference at the moment is that we have recuperated after the pandemic,” he said at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. “So that means our stocks in our warehouse are in good shape.”
Discount retailer Pepco said conflict in the Red Sea has had a limited effect on product availability, but could hurt supply in the coming months if it continues. The discount retailer—which houses Poundland in the U.K. and Dealz and Pepco in continental Europe—said Thursday that Houthi attacks on vessels were leading to higher spot freight rates and delays to container lead times. But coming in the wake of a global pandemic and the largest European war in eight decades, the escalation of the conflict that began with an attack on Israel by Hamas in early October is a reminder that the outlook for the global economy is increasingly shaped by developments beyond the reach of economic policymakers. Ships traveling through the Red Sea carry about 40% of the goods that are traded between Europe and Asia. The Houthis initially claimed to target Israeli ships or those bound for its ports but in practice, their attacks have been indiscriminate. That has prompted more operators to divert their traffic around the Cape of Good Hope.
Jesper Brodin said the Red Sea conflict has lengthened IKEA’s shipping routes by about 10 days or longer. PHOTO: DENIS BALIBOUSE/REUTERS Last week, Tesla said delays in delivery of components caused by the rerouting of ships would force it to suspend production at its only large factory in Europe, the GigaBerlin plant outside Berlin. Volvo Cars, the Chinese-Swedish automaker, said gearboxes needed to build conventional combustion vehicles at a plant in Belgium were delayed, forcing the company to halt production for three days. Volkswagen, Europe’s largest carmaker by sales, said its plants hadn’t been affected, but that it continued to monitor the situation in close contact with its suppliers. VW said it was rerouting shipments, which was causing some delay. Oxford Economics estimates that a ship traveling at 16.5 knots from Taiwan to the Netherlands via the Red Sea and the Suez Canal takes about 25½ days to complete the journey. But this rises to about 34 days if the journey is diverted around the Cape. Extra traveling time reduces the annual capacity of each ship, and can have a knock-on effect on freight costs on other routes, including those between Asia and the U.S. According to the Freightos Baltic Index, the average cost of transporting goods in a container across the globe doubled between Dec. 22 and Jan. 12.
Those times could lengthen even further if diverted ships have to wait to take on additional fuel to complete their unplanned journeys at overstretched African ports, of which South Africa’s Durban is the largest. “We haven’t seen tremendous congestion in Durban,” said Ami Daniel, CEO of shipping consulting firm Windward.
Attacks by Houthi rebels in Yemen have disrupted global shipping. PHOTO: YAHYA ARHAB/SHUTTERSTOCK For Europe, the impact of the crisis would largely depend on the extent and duration of the disruption. Economists at Allianz Trade calculate that a doubling of freight costs sustained for more than three months could push the eurozone’s inflation rate up by three-quarters of a percentage point and reduce economic growth by almost a percentage point. With the eurozone’s economy already weakened, that could push it into contraction during 2024. Paolo Gentiloni, the European Union’s top economic official, told reporters on Monday that the situation in the Red Sea “should be monitored very closely” because it could cause energy prices and inflation to rebound. There are several reasons why the crisis’s impact on Europe’s economy might be less severe than previous episodes of surging freight costs. For one, businesses have been through a number of supply-chain disruptions over recent years and believe they are better prepared. “We are affected by the crisis,” said Matthias Zink, CEO of Schaeffler Automotive Technologies. “But it’s under control. Maybe the explanation is that we have a lot of experience now in this resilience or in the reaction to these crises.” Stellantis, the French-American-Italian maker of Fiat, Peugeot and Jeep, said it was compensating for delays in rerouted ships “by using some limited airfreight solutions,” adding that the delays had “almost no impact on manufacturing to date.” Patrick Lepperhoff, a consultant with Inverto, a unit of BCG, said past crises had made companies better prepared for sudden shocks. Many companies invested in IT to gain better visibility on their supply chains and got closer to their main suppliers, he added. In addition to greater preparedness, the economic environment is also different from during the pandemic—a global event affecting supply chains around the world. The current crisis is local, leaving suppliers with more alternatives and many businesses now hold bigger inventories than they did before the pandemic struck. In Europe, weak consumer demand has padded this cushion. “The Red Sea is not as dangerous to global trade as the events were a few years ago,” said Lepperhoff.
“Android users’ hopes that Apple’s iMessage would be forced to open up in the European Union have been dashed. Bloomberg reports that iMessage won’t qualify for the EU’s new “Digital Markets Act,” allowing Apple to keep iMessage exclusive to Apple users. …”
Alternative To Emby Shared Server for Movies/TV?
Wanted to ask if there was another premium (or free) surefire way to get movies and TV shows in high quality without much hassle? I had an emby shared server that pretty much had anything I wanted but it looks like it shut down completely. I also didn’t notice that the reddits for plex/emby shares had been banned for a while...
Does anyone else notice an uptick of extreme troll accounts?
I swear, every time most of the time I see someone being particularly rude, ignorant, and inappropriate on a post (usually political in origin, or they swing it to being political) I click on their profile and see it has been created that same day....
deleted_by_author
Population tipping point could arrive by 2030: global fertility will drop below replacement level years earlier than expected. (www.science.org)
Mavic rescues another Mavic (streamable.com)
https://files.catbox.moe/xpir6u.mp4...
Colorado environmental groups file 3 ballot measures to limit oil and gas industry (coloradosun.com)
Audio book service recommendations, for a gift
My daughter (19) works at a warehouse job and listens to a lot of audiobooks....
Apple faces five shareholder proposals, and doesn't like any of them (9to5mac.com)
can anyone recommend a website that will return ACTUAL useful results from Amazon?
And if not… WHY HAS NO ONE MADE IT YET???
The Dildo of consequences soon to arrive to Ukraine (sh.itjust.works)
Reddit IPO in March (www.theguardian.com)
Reddit made an initial public offering filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission on Thursday ahead of its highly-anticipated stock market debut....
What is your preferred method for backing up several TB of data?
What storage software could I run to have an archive of my personal files (a couple TB of photos) that doesn’t require I keep a full local copy of all the data? I like the idea of a simple and focused tool like Syncthing, but they seem to be angling towards replication....
Spotify does not support travel?
https://lemm.ee/pictrs/image/69ae4044-e204-4f2c-87d8-eeef31ad644e.jpeg...
Apple Is Lobbying Against Right to Repair Six Months After Supporting Right to Repair (www.404media.co)
Key Points:...
Here's how 2 sentences in the Constitution rose from obscurity to ensnare Donald Trump (apnews.com)
It took months before the first mention of Section 3 in a public document. Free Speech For People, a Massachusetts-based liberal nonprofit, sent letters to top election officials in all 50 states in June 2021, warning them not to place Trump on the ballot should he run again in 2024 because he had violated the provision....
The Red Sea Conflict Is Scrambling Shipping. Europe Is Bearing the Brunt. (www.wsj.com)
archive.ph/Aashm
'Ultra-Modern Nato Equipment' (A Bradley took down a T-90) (sh.itjust.works)
Upgraded to Lemmy 0.19.0 - Double check your 2FA settings! (join-lemmy.org)
The full changelog has been linked if you are interested, but I want to call out an important update (emphasis mine):...
Night combat work of an M2A2 Bradley IFV, hitting and reportedly destroying 3 Russian MT-LBs near Avdiivka. (streamable.com)
Mirror:...
Guyana has the fastest growing offshore oil development 'in the history of the world,' energy expert says (markets.businessinsider.com)
Guyana’s oil production is booming, and it’s growing at an unprecedented pace, according to energy expert Dan Yergin....
I know a little bit of everything because I've failed a little bit at everything (lemmy.world)
Apple has seemingly found a way to block Android’s new iMessage app (www.theverge.com)