@mike_honey_@aus.social
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mike_honey_

@mike_honey_@aus.social

Data Visualisation and Data Integration specialist - Melbourne, Australia
tiktok.com/@mike_honey_
#covid19 #australia #fedi22

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DenisCOVIDinfoguy, to auscovid19
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Tasmania COVID weekly update: 10 November to 16 November

🔹New cases: 1,044 (+146)
🔹Deaths: 7 (+5)
🔹Total deaths: 324 (+7)
🔹Hospital: 40 (+17)
🔹ICU: 2 (+1)

@auscovid19

Source: https://health.tas.gov.au/health-topics/coronavirus-covid-19/current-risk-level-and-statistics/weekly-statistics

mike_honey_,
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@DenisCOVIDinfoguy @auscovid19 Here are the recent trends in the key stats for Tasmania (log axis):

DenisCOVIDinfoguy, to auscovid19
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ACT COVID weekly update: 10 November to 16 November

🔹New cases: 582 (+10)
🔹Deaths: 0 (+0)
🔹Total deaths: 282 (+0)
🔹Hospital: 15 (-6)
🔹ICU: 0 (-1)
🔹Vent: 0 (+0)

@auscovid19

Source: https://covid19.act.gov.au/updates/act-covid-19-statistics

mike_honey_,
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@DenisCOVIDinfoguy @auscovid19 Here are the recent trends in the key stats for the ACT (log axis):

mike_honey_, to uk
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Here's the latest variant picture for the GW.5.1.1 lineage, a descendant of XBB.1.9.* "Hyperion"

It has been growing since early Sept, notably in the UK (3%) and Australia (1.5%).

The Variant Trackers have been drawing attention to this lineage, as one of the handful that have convergently acquired both the "FLip" mutations L455F + F456L as well as A475V.


🧵

mike_honey_, to australia
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Here's the latest variant picture for Queensland, Australia.

As of mid-October, EG.5.* "Eris" (60%) was still dominant.

BA.2.86.* "Pirola" (4%) began rising during October.

@auscovid19
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DenisCOVIDinfoguy, to auscovid19
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Tasmania COVID weekly update: 27 October to 2 November

🔹New cases: 737 (+268)
🔹Deaths: 0 (-1)
🔹Total deaths: 315 (+0)
🔹Hospital: 22 (+13)
🔹ICU: 3 (+1)

@auscovid19

Source: https://health.tas.gov.au/health-topics/coronavirus-covid-19/current-risk-level-and-statistics/weekly-statistics

mike_honey_,
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@DenisCOVIDinfoguy @auscovid19 Here are the recent trends in the key stats for Tasmania (log axis):

DenisCOVIDinfoguy, to auscovid19
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SA COVID weekly update: 25 October to 31 October

🔹PCR cases only: 1,691 (+622)
🔹Deaths: 4 (+4)
🔹Total deaths: 1,624 (+4)
🔹Hospital: 36 (-26)
🔹ICU: 4 (+2)

@auscovid19

Source: https://www.sahealth.sa.gov.au/wps/wcm/connect/Public+Content/SA+Health+Internet/Conditions/Infectious+diseases/COVID-19/COVID-19+dashboard

mike_honey_,
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@DenisCOVIDinfoguy @auscovid19 Here are the recent trends in the key stats for SA (log axis):

DenisCOVIDinfoguy, to auscovid19
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ACT COVID weekly update: 27 October to 2 November

🔹New cases: 482 (+112)
🔹Deaths: 1 (+0)
🔹Total deaths: 282 (+1)
🔹Hospital: 15 (-4)
🔹ICU: 1 (+0)
🔹Vent: 0 (+0)

Sadly, ACT Health has been notified of a COVID-related death during this reporting period; a woman in her 70s.

@auscovid19

Source: https://covid19.act.gov.au/updates/act-covid-19-statistics

mike_honey_,
@mike_honey_@aus.social avatar

@DenisCOVIDinfoguy @auscovid19 Here are the recent trends in the key stats for the ACT (log axis):

Private
mike_honey_,
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@DenisCOVIDinfoguy @auscovid19 Here are the recent trends in the key stats for Queensland (log axis):

mike_honey_, to australia
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Here's the latest variant picture for South Australia.

The next challenge to EG.5.* "Eris" (56%) looks like either XBB.1.5.* "Kraken" (16%) or BA.2.86.* "Pirola" (10%), which looks to have started community transmission.

@auscovid19
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mike_honey_,
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@LordsofHardwired @auscovid19 Yes, see 2nd post in that thread.

mike_honey_, to australia
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The dismantling of the Australian COVID-19 case reporting is hiding the scale (or even existence) of the current wave of community transmission sweeping across the country.

From the health.gov.au data (faithfully extracted by @dbRaevn) here are 4 key metrics, on a log scale to compare waves:

  • Cases (reported from PCR & RAT tests)
  • Hospitalised cases
  • Aged Care Staff cases
  • PBS scripts (for oral treatments)

Its fairly clear that they each move up in down in close synchronisation as the waves and troughs have occurred. Each metric has stayed within fairly consistent ranges, apart from Cases which in a steady decline, making historical comparisons irrelevant.

I think the most consistent is Aged Care Staff cases, where there is still mostly mandating of testing and reporting. I do expect that to be eroding slowly to become less accurate, but it's probably the best we have.

@auscovid19
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mike_honey_, to australia
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The detailed daily case data for NSW has been updated, up to October 18.

The Illawarra region stands out, with the highest cases per capita (284/M) combined with the highest Reff (1.34) for the week.

Interactive Australian outbreak dataviz, code, acknowledgements and more info here:
https://github.com/Mike-Honey/covid-19-outbreak-paths#readme

@auscovid19

mike_honey_, to australia
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Here's the latest variant picture for South Australia.

The next challenge to EG.5.* "Eris" (44%) appears to be a resurgence of XBB.1.5.* "Kraken" (18%).

@auscovid19
🧵

DenisCOVIDinfoguy, to auscovid19
@DenisCOVIDinfoguy@aus.social avatar

Tasmania COVID weekly update: 13 October to 19 October

🔹New cases: 355 (+56)
🔹Deaths: 1 (+1)
🔹Total deaths: 314 (+1)
🔹Hospital: 13 (+3)
🔹ICU: 1 (+1)

@auscovid19

Source: https://health.tas.gov.au/health-topics/coronavirus-covid-19/current-risk-level-and-statistics/weekly-statistics

mike_honey_,
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@DenisCOVIDinfoguy @auscovid19 Here are the recent trends in the key stats for TAS (log axis):

Private
mike_honey_,
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@DenisCOVIDinfoguy @auscovid19 Here are the recent trends in the key stats for QLD (log axis):

DenisCOVIDinfoguy, to auscovid19
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ACT COVID weekly update: 13 October to 19 October

🔹New cases: 298 (+42)
🔹Deaths: 0 (-1)
🔹Total deaths: 280 (+0)
🔹Hospital: 18 (+2)
🔹ICU: 0 (-1)
🔹Vent: 0 (+0)

@auscovid19

Source: https://covid19.act.gov.au/updates/act-covid-19-statistics

mike_honey_,
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@DenisCOVIDinfoguy @auscovid19 Here are the recent trends in the key stats for the ACT (log axis):

DenisCOVIDinfoguy, to auscovid19
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SA COVID weekly update: 11 October to 17 October

🔸Federal data

🔹New cases: 862 (+164)
🔹Deaths: NR
🔹Total deaths: 1,620 (+0)
🔹Hospital: 30 (+11)
🔹ICU: 3 (-2)

NR = Not reported (Monthly)

@auscovid19

mike_honey_,
@mike_honey_@aus.social avatar

@DenisCOVIDinfoguy @auscovid19 Here are the recent trends in the key stats for SA (log axis):

DenisCOVIDinfoguy, to auscovid19
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WA COVID weekly update: 9 October to 15 October

🔹PCR cases only: 212 (-480)
🔹Aboriginal population: 21 cases
🔹Reinfections: NR
🔹Deaths: 6 (-1)
🔹Total deaths: 1,259 (+6)
🔹Hospital: 67 (+10)
🔹ICU: 2 (+0)

NR = Not Reported

@auscovid19

Source: https://health.wa.gov.au/Articles/F_I/Infectious-disease-data/COVID19-Weekly-Surveillance-Report

mike_honey_,
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@DenisCOVIDinfoguy @auscovid19 Here are the recent trends in the key stats for WA (log axis):

Private
mike_honey_,
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@DenisCOVIDinfoguy @auscovid19 Here are the recent trends in the key stats for NSW (log axis):

mike_honey_, to australia
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Here's the latest variant picture for South Australia.

EG.5.* "Eris" (33%) appears to have become dominant over "Deltacron" XBC.* (24%) and XBB.1.16.* "Arcturus" (23%), in a somewhat chaotic mix.

Sample volumes seem representative up to October 3.

@auscovid19

Interactive genomic sequencing dataviz, code, acknowledgements and more info here:
https://github.com/Mike-Honey/covid-19-genomes#readme

mike_honey_, to australia
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Here's the latest variant picture for Western Australia.

The EG.5.* "Eris" variant (32%) has been challenged by the "Deltacron" XBC.* (16%).

@auscovid19

Sample volumes seem representative up to September 20.

Interactive genomic sequencing dataviz, code, acknowledgements and more info here:
https://github.com/Mike-Honey/covid-19-genomes#readme

mike_honey_, to Tasmania
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Here's the latest variant picture for Tasmania, Australia.

The "Deltacron" XAY.* variant (45%) has been displaced by EG.5.* "Eris" (33%).

Sample volumes have been a bit patchy.

@auscovid19

Interactive genomic sequencing dataviz, code, acknowledgements and more info here:
https://github.com/Mike-Honey/covid-19-genomes#readme

mike_honey_, to australia
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Here's the latest variant picture for Victoria, Australia.

The EG.5.* "Eris" variant (44%) is competing with XBB.2.3.* "Acrux" (38%).

Sample volumes are a pale shadow of what they once were - now lagging, patchy and inconsistent. Under 150 samples represent a 6-week period, which likely distorts this picture.

@auscovid19

Interactive genomic sequencing dataviz, code, acknowledgements and more info here:
https://github.com/Mike-Honey/covid-19-genomes#readme

DenisCOVIDinfoguy, to auscovid19
@DenisCOVIDinfoguy@aus.social avatar

Tasmania COVID weekly update: 29 September to 5 October

🔹New cases: 275 (-2)
🔹Deaths: 0 (+0)
🔹Total deaths: 312 (+0)
🔹Hospital: 16 (-2)
🔹ICU: 0 (-1)

@auscovid19

Source: https://health.tas.gov.au/health-topics/coronavirus-covid-19/current-risk-level-and-statistics/weekly-statistics

mike_honey_,
@mike_honey_@aus.social avatar

@DenisCOVIDinfoguy @auscovid19 Here are the recent trends in the key stats for Tasmania (log axis):

DenisCOVIDinfoguy, to auscovid19
@DenisCOVIDinfoguy@aus.social avatar

ACT COVID weekly update: 29 September to 5 October

🔹New cases: 168 (-10)
🔹Deaths: 0 (+0)
🔹Total deaths: 279 (+0)
🔹Hospital: 8 (+0)
🔹ICU: 1 (+0)
🔹Vent: 0 (+0)

@auscovid19

Source: https://covid19.act.gov.au/updates/act-covid-19-statistics

mike_honey_,
@mike_honey_@aus.social avatar

@DenisCOVIDinfoguy @auscovid19 Here are the recent trends in the key stats for the ACT (log axis):

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