@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

BM_Visser

@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy

Professor Energy Transition & Networks Hanze University Groningen, The Netherlands.
Manager Strategy Gasunie
Fellow Clingendael International Energy Programme (CIEP).
Blogs (in Dutch) on www.Energiepodium.nl.
Facts matter!

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isotopp, to random German
@isotopp@chaos.social avatar

@BM_Visser

I wonder: In many energy graphs, we see a lowered total energy demand in the recent years.

This is often attributed to businesses fleeing the country due to higher energy prices (mostly by pro-fossil propaganda).

I believe that there is unaccounted local solar consumption that is consumed when it is produced where it is produced and never shows up in any stats, leading to lowered demand during peak solar hours.

Is there any evidence or accounting for this?

BM_Visser,
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

@isotopp
Energy (electricity) demand reported includes self consumption of locally produced solar power.

Power demand is usually calculated as the sum of the total national power production + import - export.

Production of solar PV is estimated using the installed solar capacity and solar radiation, with a model which is similar to the one in Energiepowek.nl.

BM_Visser, to random Dutch
@BM_Visser@mastodon.energy avatar

Since 2004, the fraction of renewable energy in EU27 has increased by about 0,8% percentagepoints per year.

I estimate that the annual increase will be larger in 2023 and 2024. This increase is mainly due to the very high energy prices and hence, lower final energy demand, power and gas, and hence, the shrinkage of industrial production.

Nevertheless, it will require significant more efforts to get to 42,5% renewables in the EU27 energy mix in 2030, as agreed in the Green Deal. Realistic?

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