It has now been more than two years since Russia's invasion of Ukraine. In this video I give an optimistic and a pessimistic scenario for what will happen in year three. They are very different, and that shows the spectrum of possible outcomes. Nothing is decided yet, and it really could go either way. https://youtu.be/bJK5NYxGNOQ
@padkaer I think it's evident that they are depleting their stocks. The question is whether they in parallel will be able to expand the production lines of new equipment. I doubt it.
@anderspuck 50 and 70 years old tanks. Aren't they antiques? I don't know how big the development in tanks has been, but for cars it would hardly be relevant to bring something of that age to a contest with modern equipment present.
@anderspuck næ du har sikkert ret i at der ikke kommer noget fra USA til Ukraine mere, ihvertfal ikke så længe Republikanerne har flertallet, takket være Trump.
Did I understand your assessment correctly that both ends of the spectrum are equally likely?
Let's pretend for the sake of argument that the #HouseGOP in the #US gets their collective heads out of their rear ends & approves aid. How much less likely does that make the worst case scenario on the battlefield?
Now what if they don't? How much less likely does that make the best case?
What's the likelihood of either side suffering something catastrophic?
Add comment