peterdutoit

peterdutoit, 5 days ago to climate

India's deal with the devil.

Heatwave drives Delhi’s power demand to historic 8000 MW peak https://energy.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/power/heatwave-drives-delhis-power-demand-to-historic-8000-mw-peak/110347501

Where does most of the electricity come from in an attempt to stay cool?

285 coal power plants.

Resulting CO2 emissions👇🏻

#ClimateCrisis #Heatwaves #India

peterdutoit, 6 days ago (edited 6 days ago) to random

The children are not going to be ok.

Adults have failed at keeping heating to 1.5ºC and now have to prepare for a world between 2-2.7ºC

Here is what children of today will face.

How will we prepare them for this? As you can see heat stress towers above the other risks.

Report: https://resourcecentre.savethechildren.net/pdf/born-into-the-climate-crisis.pdf/

Paper: http://science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abi7339

peterdutoit, 7 days ago to climate

As the Singapore Airlines incident is in the news cycle, a reminder from research published in June 2023:

“Clear-air turbulence (CAT) is hazardous to aircraft and is projected to intensify in response to future climate change.

“Severe-or-greater CAT increased the most, becoming 55% more frequent in 2020 than in 1979.”

https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2023GL103814

#ClimateCrisis #SingaporeAirlines

peterdutoit, 7 days ago (edited 7 days ago) to climate

This is our doing because we refuse to stop burning fossil fuels.

Fossil CO2 emissions are projected to rise by +0.5% in 2024.

+1.63ºC 12-month running mean above preindustrial in Berkeley Earth and ERA5 datasets.

1.5ºC imminent.

https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/mexicos-howler-monkeys-dropping-dead-heat-toll-mounts-2024-05-20/

#ClimateCrisis #Heatwave #Mexico

peterdutoit, 9 days ago to nigeria

News in from Yola, #Nigeria, some 60km from the Nigeria/Cameroon border.

"Heat-Waves Kill 200 In Adamawa In 2 Weeks" (https://dailytrust.com/heat-waves-kill-200-in-adamawa-in-2-weeks/)

Instrument readings:

+1.63ºC 12-month running mean above preindustrial
+1.3ºC latest 5-year average above preindustrial

+1.5ºC imminent

(Image showing areas to experience increase heat-humidity stress days as we continue to heat. Yola area highlighted)

#ClimateCrisis #Heatwaves

peterdutoit, 9 days ago to Mexico

#Mexico, #Guatemala, #Belize all experiencing extreme record breaking heatwaves accompanied by widespread wildfires and smoke danger. (Image 1 showing increased risk of heat-humidity stress days as we continue to heat)

Instrument readings:

+1.63ºC 12-month running mean above preindustrial (Berkeley Earth/ERA5 datasets)
+1.3ºC latest 5-year average above preindustrial

+1.5ºC imminent

#ClimateCrisis #Heatwaves #Wildfire #Smoke

FIRMS map showing fires burning in Central America May 19, 2024
Map showing smoke detection across Central America May 19, 2024

peterdutoit, 10 days ago (edited 10 days ago) to random

IRI Temperature Probability Forecast for June-July-August:

"Regarding temperature, 𝙨𝙩𝙧𝙤𝙣𝙜𝙡𝙮 𝙚𝙣𝙝𝙖𝙣𝙘𝙚𝙙 𝙥𝙧𝙤𝙗𝙖𝙗𝙞𝙡𝙞𝙩𝙞𝙚𝙨 for above-normal temperature are forecasted across most land areas throughout the forecast period." (Emphasis mine)

Where are you on the map?

Full forecast: https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/seasonal-climate-forecasts/

What is a probability forecast? https://www.worldclimateservice.com/2021/09/08/probability-forecast/

#ClimateLiteracy

peterdutoit, 12 days ago to climate

We are completely and utterly unprepared.

“Inconsistent or incomplete planning, a lack of funding, and the failure to make timely preparations to shield a population of 1.4 billion are leaving communities vulnerable as periods of extreme temperatures become more frequent, longer in duration and affect a wider sweep of country.”

#ClimateCrisis #Heatwaves #India

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-05-16/india-election-2024-fatal-heat-waves-are-becoming-a-test-for-modi

peterdutoit, 12 days ago to climate

Latest Hansen, Kharecha, Sato communication:

“Present extreme planetary energy imbalance will limit La Nina-driven temperature decline. Thus, El Nino/La Nina average global temperature likely is about 1.5°C, suggesting that, for all practical purposes, global temperature has already reached that milestone.”

A full 6 years earlier than projected.

http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2024/MayEmail.2024.05.16.pdf

#ClimateCrisis #ClimateLiteracy

peterdutoit, 12 days ago to climate

While DeSantis removes climate change terminology from Florida state law...

"At this point, we're not even sampling from the same climate that we had in 2023 and before. This👇🏻would be as close to statistically impossible as it gets."—@bmcnoldy

#ClimateCrisis #HeatIndex #Heatwaves #Florida #KeyWest

peterdutoit, 13 days ago (edited 13 days ago) to random

Jan 12, 2024, Hanson, Sato & Ruedy:

“We expect record monthly temperatures to continue into mid-2024 due to the present large planetary energy imbalance, with the 12-month running-mean global temperature reaching +1.6-1.7°C relative to 1880-1920 [already reached in the ERA5 & Berkeley Earth datasets] and…

1/2

#ClimateLiteracy #ClimateCrisis

Hausfather thread: https://bsky.app/profile/hausfath.bsky.social/post/3kskdf4xsg226

peterdutoit, 13 days ago to random

DID YOU KNOW:

"A systematic review demonstrates that 26 of 39 studies identified suggest that teleworking [#RemoteWork ] reduces energy use, induced mainly by distance travelled, and only 8 studies suggest that teleworking increases or has a neutral impact on energy use."

#ClimateLiteracy

Data:👇🏻

https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg3/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGIII_Chapter05.pdf

peterdutoit, 13 days ago to climate

Dr Friederike Otto on the intense deadly heatwaves that many places in Asia experienced in April and into early May:

"The world is not prepared for today's climate change, [+1.3ºC which is latest 5-year average above preindustrial] let alone the future."

#ClimateCrisis #Heatwave

Story here👇🏻

https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/climate-change-made-the-deadly-heatwaves-that-hit-millions-of-highly-vulnerable-people-across-asia-more-frequent-and-extreme/

peterdutoit, 14 days ago to climate

Heat stress arrives in Florida - forecast for Wednesday May 15, 2024.

Reminder the number of days this region will be exposed to heat-stress is set to increase as we continue to heat.

Background heating +1.3ºC (latest 5-year average)

1.5ºC imminent and 2ºC to follow shortly thereafter.

#ClimateCrisis #Heatwave #Florida

Map showing heat-humidity risks to human health at certain global temperature levels

peterdutoit, 14 days ago to Mexico

While much is being said about the fires burning in Canada let us not forget #Mexico!

Mexico Is Battling 159 Active Wildfires: https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2024-05-10-mexico-is-battling-159-active-wildfires/

Background heating +1.3ºC (latest 5-year average)

+1.5ºC imminent

Map data: https://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/map/#d:24hrs;@-85.7,36.5,4.3z

#ClimateCrisis #Wildfires

peterdutoit, 14 days ago to climate

NOAA HMS smoke detection - North America

🟧 Heavy
🟨 Medium
🟩 Light

Data: https://noaa.maps.arcgis.com/apps/mapviewer/index.html?layers=ab7a5fbd76e3499296350eabf599fc63

#Wildfires #ClimateCrisis

peterdutoit, 15 days ago to climate

Who are on the frontlines of the #ClimateCrisis

• those living in places that are close to human and animal thermal limits
• those living near rivers and ice
• those living near coastlines.

As we continue to heat the risks are going to rise exponentially on the front lines, and it’s happening already at +1.3° of heating.

We can’t avoid 1.5° which is now imminent. Climate chaos awaits.

https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/persistent-brazil-floods-raise-specter-climate-migration-2024-05-13/

#Floods #Brazil #ClimateMigration

peterdutoit, 16 days ago to climate

What can individuals do about the #ClimateCrisis

In order of impact:

🚫Live car free
🚙 Shift to BEV
✈️ One less flight (long return)
☀️ Use renewable energy
🚋 Shift to public transport
🔨 Refurbishment and renovation
🥗 Vegan diet
🆒 Heat pump
⏲️ Improved cooking equipment
♨️ Renewable-based heating

Data:

1. https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ab8589
2. Demand, Services & Social Aspects of Mitigation https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg3/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGIII_Chapter05.pdf

#ClimateLiteracy

peterdutoit, 17 days ago to random

"Key numbers on Porto Alegre & surrounding state per Folha de S.Paulo

• 95 dead
• 131 missing
• 50k homeless
• 160k evacuees
• 17 hospitals closed
• Airport closed indefinitely
• 450k homes without power
• 85% of city's 1.3 mln residents without working water supply"—Brain Winter

peterdutoit, 17 days ago (edited 17 days ago) to brazil

"I don't say this lightly - but the floods in #PortoAlegre, #Brazil, are looking comparable to what Katrina did to New Orleans in 2005 -- massive evacuations, water & power outages, key infrastructure damaged, parts of city, possible long-term consequences."—Brian Winter

Background heating +1.3ºC

#ClimateCrisis

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