@WarInTheFuture@mstdn.social
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WarInTheFuture

@WarInTheFuture@mstdn.social

Strategist, author and leader | Retired Australian Army Major General | Writes & speaks on modern and future war, adaptation, strategy and leadership | CSIS adjunct fellow | Lowy Institute fellow | Banned from Russia | Author of “War Transformed” (USNI Books, 2022) and White Sun War (Casemate, 2023)

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WarInTheFuture, to random
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“Part of the rationale for the strikes is also sending a message to Iran. Iran is the backer for Hamas, Hezbollah and the Houthis, and the U.S. will also be hoping that these strikes send a message to Iran to back off. However, this is unlikely. Recent U.S. strikes across the region against other Iranian proxies have not had a major impact on Iranian operations to support its terrorist brothers and their operations across the region.”

https://mickryan.substack.com/p/its-on-against-the-houthis

WarInTheFuture, to Taiwan
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Tomorrow is an important day for the people of and democracy more broadly. All the best to the Taiwanese people for their 13 January presidential election.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-01-12/taiwan-election-china-interference-voters/103309932

WarInTheFuture, to random
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The three part series with my observations from a December 2023 trip to Israel is now available at Futura Doctrina.
https://mickryan.substack.com

WarInTheFuture, to random
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“As we contend with the rise of AI and its concomitant harms to privacy & our relationship with truth, we must equally pay attention to the humans who are already well equipped to perpetrate these harms without the assistance of machines.”
https://thebulletin.org/premium/2023-09/if-you-worry-about-humanity-you-should-be-more-scared-of-humans-than-of-ai/?utm_source=Newsletter&utm_medium=Email&utm_campaign=MondayNewsletter09112023&utm_content=DisruptiveTechnologies_MoreScaredOfHumans_09112023

WarInTheFuture, to random
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The best defence always features offensive operations. And while there has been a recent focus on Ukraine’s southern ground campaign, another Ukrainian offensive has accelerated.

My latest article in the Sydney Morning Herald.

https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/why-ukraine-s-new-strike-strategy-has-putin-on-the-run-20230904-p5e1u4.html

WarInTheFuture, to random
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WarInTheFuture, to Ukraine
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My recent discussion with Michael Weiss covered a wide range of issues associated with the war in . Listen to our conversation at the link below.
https://podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/the-ukraine-war-where-are-we-and-where-do-we-go-from-here/id1245002955?i=1000625929457

WarInTheFuture, to random
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“The United States and NATO need to make clear that their explicit goal is for Ukraine to defeat Russia’s forces in Ukraine—and to silence Russia’s global narrative. They then need to provide Ukraine with standardized equipment and enhanced individual and collective training. Doing so is the best way of ensuring that Ukraine’s fight for freedom ends with an unambiguous victory.” My latest at Foreign Affairs.

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/win-long-war-strategy-counteroffensive

WarInTheFuture, to random
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An excellent episode of this podcast, which features an excellent discussion on civil-military relations and the impact on accountability when military institutions are held in high regard by their society. https://podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/shield-of-the-republic/id1589548143?i=1000625663048

WarInTheFuture, to random
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I am humbled to have made a very small contribution to this excellent new book on leadership and strategy through the lens of the superhero genre.

Check out a free preview of Power Up here:
https://books.google.com.au/books?id=fLfSEAAAQBAJ&newbks=0&redir_esc=y

WarInTheFuture, to random
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White Sun War is now available in audiobook. Thank you to everyone who has already bought my book - especially to those who have taken the time to reach out and provide feedback. Published by @casematepub, it is available at the link.

https://www.amazon.com/White-Sun-War-Campaign-Taiwan/dp/B0CD2Q9PGG/ref=tmm_aud_swatch_0?_encoding=UTF8&qid=&sr=

WarInTheFuture, to random
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The war in Ukraine is an aggregation of many old ideas about war. But wars also add new technologies and ideas to these many old elements. In Ukraine, we are witnessing a new era meshed civil-military network of sensors, analysis and distribution.

My latest article at Futura Doctrina explores this important trend in military affairs, and what it might mean for Western military institutions.

https://mickryan.substack.com/p/transforming-war-with-meshed-civil

WarInTheFuture, to random
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White Sun War is now available in audiobook. Thank you to everyone who has already bought my book - especially to those who have taken the time to reach out and provide feedback. Published by @casematepub, it is available at the link.
https://www.amazon.com/White-Sun-War-Campaign-Taiwan/dp/B0CD2Q9PGG/ref=tmm_aud_swatch_0?_encoding=UTF8&qid=&sr=

WarInTheFuture, to random
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This should be a great discussion. Tune in at 11am Wednesday on the Australian east coast, or 9pm Tuesday night on the eastern seaboard of the United States.

https://helenclark.foundation/event/after-eighteen-months-of-the-war-in-ukraine/

WarInTheFuture, to Ukraine
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The Bridge was attacked again over the weekend. Why does place such a high priority on the destruction of this Russian-built bridge to occupied Crimea? My latest at Futura Doctrina.

https://mickryan.substack.com/p/another-kerch-bridge-assault

WarInTheFuture, to Ukraine
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“Perceptions of Ukraine’s counteroffensive were also warped by a lack of understanding of the basic principles of warfare. Attacking an entrenched adversary that developed defense in depth is among the most challenging operations in warfare.” A great piece from Joshua Huminski on the war in .

https://thehill.com/opinion/national-security/4148753-ukraines-offensive-is-stalling-and-the-west-owns-a-portion-of-the-blame/

WarInTheFuture, to random
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This week, I had the pleasure of speaking with John Sorensen on the Real Clear Defense podcast, The Hot Wash. We discussed the war in Ukraine and it’s lessons, as well as the potential for future conflict in the Indo-Pacific region. Finally, we had a good chat about my new book, White Sun War.

You can listen to the entire conversation at the link below.

https://realclear-defense-presents-hot-wash.simplecast.com/episodes/mick-ryan

WarInTheFuture, to random
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I am excited to add this new section to Futura Doctrina, which will explore future war through 4 lines of inquiry:

  1. The Phenomenon of War & Learning from the Past.
  2. Trends in Military Affairs.
  3. Learning from the Present.
  4. Learning from Mil Fiction.
    https://mickryan.substack.com/p/the-future-of-war
WarInTheFuture, to random
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I have just published a piece that acknowledges the service of the crew of the Army helicopter that ditched in the waters off Lindeman Island, and examines this accident in the context of military exercises.

https://www.smh.com.au/national/in-preparing-for-future-warfare-there-are-no-risk-free-approaches-20230730-p5dsbp.html

WarInTheFuture, to random
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Land mines pose a problem now for Ukrainian ground forces seeking to advance south and east. They are also a generational challenge for Ukraine post-war.

A good piece from @reuters

https://www.reuters.com/graphics/UKRAINE-CRISIS/LANDMINES/myvmgnqbavr/index.html

WarInTheFuture, to Ukraine
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A fascinating insight into the variety of drone programs underway in , as well as opportunities and challenges of the application of in autonomous systems.
https://wapo.st/3Dz6Upk

WarInTheFuture, to random
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Recently I had the pleasure of speaking with the team at the @War_Room_Eds podcast about my new book, “White Sun War”, and trends in future warfare. You can listen to our discussion here: https://warroom.armywarcollege.edu/podcasts/white-sun/

WarInTheFuture, to Ukraine
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WarInTheFuture, to Ukraine
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“There is a new idealism at work in international politics. Pioneered by people & politicians in , Baltic states, & Czech Republic…it has opened the door to a better kind of grand strategy for liberal democracies.” A new essay from Ben Tallis.

https://www.bylinesupplement.com/p/the-rise-of-the-new-idealists

WarInTheFuture, to random
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While the Russian occupying forces in Ukraine have assumed the defensive over the past couple of months, that does not mean that they have been on the defensive at every level and in every part of Ukraine.

He is conducting offensive activities at the tactical and operation levels. What might be Gerasimov’s takeaways from the first 7 weeks of the Ukrainian 2023 offensives, and how might he adapt? My latest at Futura Doctrina.

https://mickryan.substack.com/p/gerasimovs-defensive-strategy

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