beadsland,

NCHS estimates of —based on Household Pulse Survey—provide for volatile projections.

Census Bureau released most recent mid-Oct—next update due November 8.

As more and more folk experience Long Covid, fewer & fewer have been staffing our hospitals.

This is first toot of a weekly thread, updated daily, providing various dataviz of ongoing [.]
Last week: https://mastodon.social/@beadsland/111247100832074241

beadsland,

Capacity Level has been elevated since independence from the virus was declared two summers ago—as fewer and fewer professionals have been available to staff hospital beds.

Critical Staffing Level, already at 2021 levels, has been further elevated for months now—with over one in nine reporting hospitals at critical shortage.

beadsland,

Pediatric staffing never recovered to pre-omicron levels. Rather, near one in five pediatric beds reported May of 2022: now missing.

PICU Capacity Level (not shown): 68%.

Weekly average ~95 PICU beds were covid patients.

We're failing our kids. The emergency is over.

beadsland,

Some 237 (-1) counties have pediatric care near or over capacity (≥ 90%).

Of 271 (+3) counties reporting any PICU capacity, over one in five are near or over full.

So many places where there ain't enough staff for sick or injured kids to receive required care.

beadsland,

Counties by pediatric capacity (darkest counties on map above):

⒈ Seminole, GA ≥150%
⒉ Nevada, CA ≥133⅓%
⒊ Barton, KS ≥150%

Idaho—133%

⒋ Fairfax, VA—112%

⒌ Buncombe, NC—100%
⒍ Somerset, NJ—100%
⒎ Bonneville, ID—100%
⒏ Medina, TX—100%
⒐ Anoka, MN—100%
⒑ Onslow, NC—100%

beadsland,

Counties by pediatric ICU capacity (circle-hatched on map above—counties with four or fewer PICU patients omitted):

⒈ Anchorage Muni., AK—100%
⒉ Brazos, TX—100%
⒊ Jefferson, TX—100%

⒋ Fulton, GA—99%

⒌ Caddo Parish, LA—96%
⒍ Miami-Dade, FL—96%
⒎ Bell, TX—96%

⒏ Monongalia, WV —95%
⒐ Durham, NC—94%
⒑ Duval, FL—94%

beadsland,

Some 50 (-1) counties ≥ 100% capacity per HHS data.

Reporting ≥ 90%: 198 (-6)—over 8⅛% of those with any capacity. This includes surge and overflow beds: near full can mean E/Rs with day-long wait times.

For counties w/ ICUs—over one in six are full or near full.

beadsland,

Counties by adult hospital capacity (darkest counties on map above):

⒈ Seminole, GA ≥150%
⒉ Chatham, GA ≥150%
⒊ Barton, KS ≥150%
⒋ Marshall, KY ≥150%

⒌ Smyth, VA—122%
⒍ Wise, VA—119%

⒎ Yuma, AZ—108%
⒏ Buchanan, MO—108%
⒐ Kenton, KY—107%
⒑ Boone, KY—105%

beadsland,

Counties by adult ICU capacity (circle-hatched on map above):

⒈ Chatham, GA ≥150%
⒉ Marshall, KY ≥150%

⒊ Montgomery, AL—103%

⒋ Alachua, FL—100%

⒌ Fayette, GA—100%
⒍ Stearns, MN—100%
⒎ Lynchburg city, VA—100%
⒏ Muskegon, MI—100%
⒐ Anoka, MN—100%
⒑ Jackson, MS—100%

beadsland,

Second week of Hyperion-2 XBB.1.9.2/EG wave, CDC Nowcast estimates third of samples are Eris EG.5.1 descendants—with Eris scion HV.1 at ¼ of samples.

For 3-week GISAID sequences, Hyperion-2 near half share, with Eris fam over ⅖. Hyperion XBB.1.9.1 fam down to ⅒. Arcturus XBB.1.16 fam still over ⅕.

[Srcs: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variant-proportions

https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/raj.rajnarayanan/viz/USAVariantDB/VariantDashboard]

Chart: SARSCoV2 Variant Dashboard - USA | 21-DAY TRENDS Source: NYITCOM Research Report (Raj Rajnarayanan) Caption (in part): Circulating Variants in…following US States: All - Specimen Collected in…last 21 days | Updated on 10/27/23 3:39:40 AM [GMT?] | Source (sequences): GISAID Bubble chart showing tallies of each identified variant for each state. Data has been filtered to show dozens of Pangolin subvariants of XBB.1.9, including parent. Top subvariants: Eris dot6 kid HV.1 (33.00%), Eris dot1 EG.5.1.1. (13.08%), Eris EG.5.1 (12.15%), Eris dot1 kid HK.3 (8.95%), Eris dot6 EG.5.1.6 (5.65%). Raj has standardized bubbles to red (XBB.1.9.2*, incl. EG & HV), although some newer pango aliases may still be getting unique colors assigned by Tableau. Bubbles largest and most prominent for: HV.1 (red) for New York (85), California (57), Texas (36), Minnesota, Washington, New Jersey, Arizona, and a North state; HK.3 (red) for New York and California; EG.5.1.1 (red) for California, New York, and Minnesota; EG.5.1.3 (red) for California; EG.5.1 (red) for Minnesota, EG.5.1.3 (red) for California, EG.5.1.4 (red) for New York. Dozens of additional smaller bubbles for various variants and states.

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