jackofalltrades,
@jackofalltrades@mas.to avatar

I learned a fascinating fact the other day.

It is estimated that during the Roman Empire 20% to 30% of Italy's population were slaves. For the empire as a whole that share was between 10% and 15%.

In these times, even modest Roman households might expect to own two or three slaves.

1/13

jackofalltrades,
@jackofalltrades@mas.to avatar

Today our global economy does not depend on slavery (albeit it has not been completely eradicated), but has a different, and more invisible, dependence.

Buckminster Fuller called it "energy slaves", to describe a dependence on mostly fossil energy, expressed in energy equivalent of work done by a human worker.

2/13

jackofalltrades,
@jackofalltrades@mas.to avatar

Here's the surprising part:

In our modern economy every human worker is complemented by about a hundred non-human "energy slaves".

This means that in our modern world the energy slaves do ~99% of the work in our economy.

3/13

jackofalltrades,
@jackofalltrades@mas.to avatar

Take a look at this photo.

In 1860 it took two strong men to carry the rich lady around.

The smallest cars today have about 70 horsepower engines, which is comparable to 200 (yes, two hundred) athletes pushing the car.

4/13

jackofalltrades,
@jackofalltrades@mas.to avatar

Another example: a single round-trip transatlantic flight requires more energy per passenger than the passenger can generate with their own muscles over their entire life.

5/13

jackofalltrades,
@jackofalltrades@mas.to avatar

We take these energy slaves for granted in our daily lives. They carry us around, heat our meals, pump water to our homes, clothe us, do the cleaning and washing, delivering our messages (including this one), and so on.

6/13

jackofalltrades,
@jackofalltrades@mas.to avatar

Humans always used exogenous energy, i.e. energy from outside of their body. Warming near a campfire or using oxen to pull a plow are all examples of that.

What's different today is that we tapped into ancient sunlight energy in the form of coal, oil and gas.

This energy was captured and condensed over millions of years, and we're burning through it in a span of just a few hundred years.

7/13

jackofalltrades,
@jackofalltrades@mas.to avatar

Tom Murphy calls our industrial civilization "a fireworks show, or a giant party", while fossil fuels and minerals are a "one-time inheritance".

Our energy use is unprecedented in human history. Nothing drives this point home better than this little chart, showing the "carbon pulse".

8/13

nyrath,
@nyrath@spacey.space avatar
jackofalltrades,
@jackofalltrades@mas.to avatar

@nyrath Interesting how sci-fi authors have a better grasp of these things than many economists today.

nyrath,
@nyrath@spacey.space avatar

@jackofalltrades

Well scifi authors are always asking the question "What if?..."

acsawdey,
@acsawdey@fosstodon.org avatar

@jackofalltrades @nyrath I seem to recall that "The Mote in God's Eye" had some discussion of repeated crashes of Motie civilization and how after fossil fuels were depleted they had to advance from wood-burning to nuclear fission after particularly bad "crashes" ..

Hcobb,
@Hcobb@spacey.space avatar

@acsawdey @jackofalltrades @nyrath Fission is fun after you run out of Yellowcake and gotta figure out how to build a thorium reactor that isn't jump started with uranium.

acsawdey,
@acsawdey@fosstodon.org avatar

@Hcobb @jackofalltrades @nyrath Sure .. fun stuff like various fusion-based neutron sources, which kinda would make it a fusion-fission hybrid.

jackofalltrades,
@jackofalltrades@mas.to avatar

What does it mean for our understanding of the world economy?

Acknowledging everything mentioned above would mean coming to terms with the fact that we have only a miniscule impact on production. For all our ingenuity, when it comes down to it, all our amazing machines are just sculptures without energy. Energy is the currency of life and is a crucial input to all economic activities.

9/13

jackofalltrades,
@jackofalltrades@mas.to avatar

This can also frame our understanding of politics.

In feudal times energy came mostly in the form of food and wood, and both of these required land. Those that controlled land controlled these energy sources and that translated to political power.

Today energy is in the form of fossil fuels and minerals. Conversely, those that control them have power over those that don't.

10/13

jackofalltrades,
@jackofalltrades@mas.to avatar

This moment in history is unprecedented not only due to the sheer amount of energy available to us, but also due the fact that available energy is constantly going up.

That, combined with our unique knack for finding ever new uses for energy (looking at you AI) is what drives the economic growth.

11/13

jackofalltrades,
@jackofalltrades@mas.to avatar

Now, the main question we need to answer as a society is how to navigate the inevitable energy descent, when the amount of energy available to us will start shrinking, instead of growing.

The economic paradigm predicated on growth is going away. The social imaginary of constant progress can't survive this and will need a replacement as well.

12/13

jackofalltrades,
@jackofalltrades@mas.to avatar
jstatepost,
@jstatepost@mstdn.social avatar

@jackofalltrades
🥥 Just read the mind-blowing comic by Australian Stuart McMillen about Buckminster Fuller's energy insights and Eye wish Eye could share it with everyone on Earth.
It will give you a drug-free mind-blowing experience!
https://www.stuartmcmillen.com/comic/energy-slaves/#page-1
Wish Eye could say Eye was MORE optimistic after reading it. 🥥
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