KevonLooney

@KevonLooney@lemm.ee

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KevonLooney,

That’s the definition of meaningless. All these polls ask “if the election were held today…”. It’s not being held today, and everyone acts based on that.

There’s no GOTV push yet, and campaigns structure their spending based on when the actual election is. Voters almost always vote based on something that happens near the election when they are paying attention.

KevonLooney,

Why wouldn’t that man ask to lose excess body fat? He would be ripped and his enemy would be emaciated.

Devout Christian Mike Johnson shows up to hush money trial to defend a guy accused of cheating on his wife with a porn star (www.vanityfair.com)

House Speaker Mike Johnson describes himself as a Christian before anything else. He has said his “faith informs everything I do.” He has told people curious about his views to “pick up a Bible.” His wife reportedly runs a counseling service whose operating agreement, which he himself notarized, states, “We believe and...

KevonLooney,

They were put in a box by Trump’s refusal to admit any guilt, even for things that are not crimes.

Any normal defense attorney would admit the fact that their client cheated on their wife and tried to cover it up. Those are not illegal, and are pretty defamatory, so you can have the judge exclude any testimony about the act.

Then it’s just a boring documents case. The jury doesn’t pay as much attention when the evidence is less interesting, so the prosecution’s case seems weaker.

KevonLooney,

Did you miss the entire occupation of Iraq and Afghanistan? Billions were spent on rebuilding those countries, but the Taliban and Iranian backed militias destroyed a lot of it.

I noticed that you mentioned Syria, which was a civil war that no one mentions anymore. It was part of the Arab Spring and didn’t really involve the US. The only people who care about Bashar Al-Assad are his cronies in Syria, his Iranian supporters, and the Russian government (which supported him because they have a navy port in Tartus).

Are you an Iran supporter or a Russian?

KevonLooney,

There’s no real way to hoard “wealth” as a monkey. Fruit rots. There’s no way to invest in such a society, since they don’t understand the concept of growing food. That’s why they live in family groups to control territory.

Humans lived similarly for hundreds of thousands of years. Calling the basic exchange of tokens “capitalism” isn’t accurate. It’s like calling a tribal society “communism” because people take care of their relatives for free. It’s not accurate.

KevonLooney,

It’s funny because his lawyers are in court right now arguing that Michael Cohen did not act on Trump’s behalf. Meanwhile, there’s a parade of losers outside clearly acting on Trump’s behalf.

The defense lawyers don’t really have a coherent argument, but part of their strategy is to pretend Michael Cohen used his own home equity loan to pay off Stormy Daniels for no reason. As if that’s totally normal. We’ve all (at some point) acted in Donald Trump’s best interest, not at his direction, right?

Hello GPT-4o (openai.com)

GPT-4o (“o” for “omni”) is a step towards much more natural human-computer interaction—it accepts as input any combination of text, audio, and image and generates any combination of text, audio, and image outputs. It can respond to audio inputs in as little as 232 milliseconds, with an average of 320 milliseconds,...

KevonLooney,

There’s a basic problem with replacing human experts with AI. Where will they get their info from with no one to scrape? Other AI generated content?

They can’t learn anything and are just “standing on the shoulders of giants”. These companies will fire their software developers, just to hire them back as AI trainers.

KevonLooney,

Yeah, but they didn’t have game theory then. Democracy was kind of new too. Basically all non-monarchists were allies, because they literally had to fight actual kings to rule themselves.

It’s not the founders’ fault that they didn’t foresee all future problems. They included the ability to amend the Constitution. It’s our fault for not doing that. Originalism makes no sense because the founders wanted us to change what they had done and improve it.

KevonLooney,

That doesn’t relate to my comment or the original post. It’s like you’re trying to shoehorn in your own ideas about class war into the conversation.

In return, I would like to add add that George Washington did not have wooden teeth. In fact, he had weird Frankenstein dentures made up of a bunch of other different teeth. This supports my pro dental care ideas.

KevonLooney,

No, human history is the history of struggle against tooth decay. If you disagree, you are a tool of the anti-dentites.

KevonLooney,

This is the actual answer. Don’t look at them in the face and try to leave ASAP. Philosophical questions are usually very simplified to illustrate a point, and there are usually more than two choices.

In a real life “trolley” scenario, you should wave to the driver and get them to stop. There should be zero people tied to the tracks. And that’s only what should happen if you think quickly enough. In real life you may actually just freeze and do nothing.

KevonLooney,

There are almost always better options than the given ones. I remember an answer to the “Ship of Theseus” problem a friend gave; he recommended calling it a different ship once more than 50% was replaced. I asked why and he said that all definitions are just made up, and you have to draw a line somewhere.

That’s what people do in real life. They don’t just sit there perplexed by a “paradox”.

KevonLooney,

It’s also just stuff from Alibaba. It’s all made in China, which has gotten really cheap. You can buy the same things on AliExpress without giving out all your contacts and everything.

Basically you are seeing how stores in the US buy their merchandise. It’s extremely cheap, and they are marking it up at least 100%. Shirts and pants are like $3 to $10, maybe a little more for good quality. Places like Target and Walmart buy these and double or triple the price.

KevonLooney,

True, but with Amazon you are paying more for faster shipping. Stuff actually shipped from China takes a long time.

KevonLooney,

This is how it works now, but it doesn’t have to. Look on AliExpress and you’ll see how cheap these clothes actually are. You can buy a decent collared shirt for $5 - $10. And that’s the consumer price, not wholesale. It’s actually incredibly cheap and fast to make clothes.

The producers could cut hours in half and still make good money. Their buyers are marking the items up like 80%. Essentially you are paying for the brand and the rent in the store in the West.

KevonLooney,

They’re not paid that much, but these are decent jobs compared to subsistence farming in rural China. These people are supporting their families. I believe clothing manufacturing is actually moving to Vietnam because China is getting more expensive.

Working a modern sewing machine is detail oriented but not backbreaking labor. Rice farming is probably worse. It just doesn’t take that long to make a shirt nowadays, and the cotton is relatively cheap. If a shirt can be made in 10 minutes or less, why should it be expensive?

KevonLooney,

This isn’t even news. “Some dude was arrested” isn’t anything people need to read. It happens all the time. Things like this just make people think the world is a dangerous place.

While you were reading this comment, some dude was arrested. Do you really care about the specifics?

KevonLooney,

It isn’t dangerous. The world is much safer than it was even 20 years ago. You are much more likely to be attacked by someone you know than “armed psychos” that you don’t know.

Look at any crime statistics; they all say the same. Or if you don’t like statistics, just watch Dateline or 20/20. It’s usually the boyfriend/girlfriend.

KevonLooney,

This rage bait is so old the Simpsons parodied it:

“Today’s topic…”

https://c.tenor.com/jgVbvIFvw68AAAAd/men-booo.gif

KevonLooney,

You’re wrong about a lot and you’re presenting your opinions as fact. Trump doesn’t underpoll by that amount now.

There was a phenomenon in 2016 where people were reluctant to tell pollsters they were voting for him, because they were embarrassed. Now Trump supporters are the loud minority of voters. And Biden is the boring safe choice. Biden voters are less likely to stay on the phone and answer questions.

Also, national polls mean very little. You have to actually look at the swing state polls to find out who’s winning. And there’s not much data this far from the election.

Finally, we can tell there’s something wrong with current polling just because “Mr. Brainworms” RFK Jr polls around 10% right now. No one is going to vote for him, and definitely not 10% of the population. People are just fucking with the pollsters right now. Do you know anyone seriously considering voting for RFK Jr?

KevonLooney,

You didn’t answer the question:

Do you know anyone who is voting for RFK Jr? He is polling at 10% right now, so if it’s real then statistically you should know someone.

KevonLooney,

Yes, that’s right. Basically you can’t rely on polls this far from the election.

The question says “if the election were held today, who would you vote for”. But the election isn’t today, and the person answering the question knows that. So you see more people answer with third party candidates then would actually vote that way.

Not only that, but candidates’ GOTV efforts do not happen until the election is approaching soon. That’s what actually wins elections, not polls from 6 months before.

KevonLooney,

It is if they want access to breaking news ahead of other news organizations.

KevonLooney,

I have no idea where you’re looking, but I just looked at Syracuse (chosen at random). There are tons of places available under $200K. Are you even looking?

KevonLooney,

Divesting is a step, but it just allows them to remove personal responsibility for the death/suffering.

Uh, no. Divesting from South Africa had a big effect on the end of Apartheid. It’s just not enough to do much by itself. But it is enough to push it over the top.

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