beadsland, 8 months ago

Twentieth week of post-Kraken soup, Hyperion-2 XBB.1.9.2/EG now near one third of three-week GISAID sequences, with Hyperion 1.9.1/FL still one in nine.

Arcturus XBB.1.16 family holds over one in four; Kraken XBB.1.5 now below one in nine; Acrux 2.3 (incl GJ & GE) down to one in ten.

[Srcs: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variant-proportions

https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/raj.rajnarayanan/viz/USAVariantDB/VariantDashboard]

❖ #ThisIsOurPolio #Covid #Covid19 #SARS2 #CDC #variants #CovidIsNotOver #CovidIsAirborne #WearAMask #BetterMasks

CDC's Variant Nowcast showing weighted estimated distribution of variants over fortnights ending 6/10/23 thru 8/19/23, with model-projected estimates for following two fortnights. Proportional stacked bar chart, where each color represents a different variant, inclusive of those descendants not otherwise broken out. Kraken XBB.1.5 (indigo) was dominant through May. Now crowded out by EG.5 (peach, incl. Eris EG.5.1), Fornax FL.1.5.1 (moss), Arcturus XBB.1.16 (blueberry), dot6 XBB.1.16.6 (clover), Eris-scion HV.1 (ash), Acrux XBB.2.3 (cotton candy). Meanwhile Kraken dot70 XBB.1.5.70 (forest), Acrux-scion GE.1 (bubble gum) and Arcturus dot11 (muted pink) gaining share steadily. XBB.1.5 estimated at 4.0% and 2.2% vs. 8.5% fortnight of 8/5, for average -41% biweekly drop in estimated share. XBB.1.5.70 estimated at 3.4% & 3.8% vs. 3.2%, for avg +23% gain in est. share. FL.1.5.1 at 10.6% & 13.7% vs. 7.2%, for avg +31% gain in est. share. EG.5 at 22.3% & 24.5% vs. 18.1%, for avg +17% gain in est. share. HV.1 at 4.8% & 8.4% vs. 3.1%, for avg. +96% gain in share. XBB.1.16 at 11.3% & 10.2% vs. 12.6%, for avg -6% loss in share. XBB.1.16.1 at 5.3% & 4.1% vs. 7.0%, for avg -15% loss in share. XBB.1.16.6 at 9.4% & 9.9% vs. 7.7%, for avg +17% gain in share. XBB.1.16.11 at 2.9% & 3.0% vs. 2.5%, for avg. +13% gain in share. XBB.2.3 at 8.6% & 7.2% vs. 9.3%, for avg -9% loss in share. GE.1 at 1.8% & 1.7%% vs. 1.7%, for avg 14% gain in share. ALT-text by beadsland on Ko-fi.