cstross,
@cstross@wandering.shop avatar

I notice that the Odysseus commercial lander a US company just plonked on the Moon cost NASA a little over $100M.

By way of comparison, the Indian government's Chandrayaan-3 mission, the lander of which touched down in 2023, cost roughly $90M.

So private space can be more expensive than 100% government agency-run missions.

synlogic,
@synlogic@toot.io avatar

@cstross you're prob joking. but Americans are overall more expensive than Indian. cost-of-living in India lower than US

cstross,
@cstross@wandering.shop avatar

@synlogic Cost of living is lower, but how many middle-class American families employ live-in servants? And the cost of housing in the big Indian cities is sky-high because they're world cities.

jenbanim,
@jenbanim@mastodo.neoliber.al avatar

@cstross Chandrayaan-3 was a repeat after Chandrayaan-2 crash landed on the moon. Assuming the cost was the same for 2 and 3, then the Indian government spent $180M to the US's $100M to put something on the moon

Also the Vikram lander and Pragyan rover weighed about 1,400kg to Odysseus' 1,900kg and Odysseus is just one of the Intuitive Machines Nova-C landers which are designed to be able to carry 100kg general purpose payloads to the moon's surface

FirefighterGeek,
@FirefighterGeek@masto.ai avatar

@cstross Hardly an apt comparison. The mission from India (which is a huge accomplishment in itself) proves that well known technological feats can be re-created at lower cost. The Odysseus lander is cutting edge experimental technology in a proof of concept package. I frankly think the NASA program being so close in cost to it is amazing.

cstross,
@cstross@wandering.shop avatar

@FirefighterGeek Disagree. Prior to Chandrayaan-3, the USA had not successfully soft-landed an uncrewed probe on the Moon since Surveyor 7 in 1968. The Odysseus lander was as much "re-creating a well known technological feat at lower cost" as Chandrayaan-3, SLIM, or the Chang'e program.

FirefighterGeek,
@FirefighterGeek@masto.ai avatar

@cstross If you look at what they did overall sure, but not if you look at how each was done, the technologies used, and so on. NASA's goal here wasn't just getting to the moon again.

cstross,
@cstross@wandering.shop avatar

@FirefighterGeek I know what NASA's ostensible goal here was: I think on this scale it's a stunt, or at best, proof-of-concept. We're nowhere near ready for commercial earth-to-luna transport to be a viable market without subsidies so huge they essentially render it a fabrication.

FirefighterGeek,
@FirefighterGeek@masto.ai avatar

@cstross It's definitely a proof of concept, but how would you suggest we get to viability then?

They're not looking for moon based commerce with private industry on the moon supplying itself at first. No plan to go from nothing to "The Expanse" on a NASA budget.

They're looking to show that outsourcing everything but the "pure science" part to industry is a workable solution that saves huge amounts of time and money.

cstross,
@cstross@wandering.shop avatar

@FirefighterGeek Why do you assume outsourcing/privatizing stuff saves money?

This is neoliberal capitalist dogma, an article of faith, contradicted by experience in most sectors.

The public sector doesn't need to make a profit on behalf of shareholders. But profit-taking is inherently parasitic—it drains resources from public services.

carcosa,
@carcosa@emacs.ch avatar

@cstross @FirefighterGeek Maybe NASA should outsource to the Indian government and save 10%.

FirefighterGeek,
@FirefighterGeek@masto.ai avatar

@carcosa @cstross For all it's accomplishment is important for India's space program, what they did was repeat very old and proven methods. It's not remotely the same thing.

cstross,
@cstross@wandering.shop avatar

@FirefighterGeek @carcosa Did you follow the Chandrayaan-3 landing? Same autonomous software-controlled touchdown, same on-board algorithms to hunt for a safe spot with no boulders. Very much not the same old stuff the Ranger program used 50+ years ago: very similar to Odyssey.

FirefighterGeek,
@FirefighterGeek@masto.ai avatar

@cstross @carcosa I wish the Indian space agency all success in in efforts, of course, but I don't think the two programs are comparable.

cstross,
@cstross@wandering.shop avatar

@FirefighterGeek @carcosa India's first human spaceflight is due later this year; they're planning a space station too. The real race is India v. China. Russia's fallen out of the front rank of successful space programs surprisingly rapidly: the USA still looks healthy, but external political nonsense (Trump and the Dominionists) could potentially scupper that in less than a decade. (I don't think Christian fundamentalists can successfully operate a high tech economy in the long term.)

zakalwe,
@zakalwe@plasmatrap.com avatar

@cstross @FirefighterGeek @carcosa

I don't think Christian fundamentalists can successfully operate [an] economy in the long term.

FIFY........ 😉

cstross,
@cstross@wandering.shop avatar

@zakalwe @FirefighterGeek @carcosa Anti-intellectualism and contempt for education is incompatible with raising or retaining a skilled work force.

weekend_editor,
@weekend_editor@mathstodon.xyz avatar

@cstross

Just wait 'til the private equity and hedge fund bros pick up the scent of money in space.

cstross,
@cstross@wandering.shop avatar

@weekend_editor They already did: when the news about ULA being up for sale surfaced one of the two leading contenders for a buy-out was a PE firm. (It now looks likely that Blue Origin will buy them.)

CSDNews,
@CSDNews@mastodon.social avatar

@cstross that's implying that a government run mission in the USA wouldn't be just as financially irresponsible...

The Apollo missions, adjusted for inflation: $288 Billion

Ash_Crow,
@Ash_Crow@mastodon.social avatar

@CSDNews @cstross you are comparing the cost of one unmanned mission to the combined cost of 15 crewed missions.

cstross,
@cstross@wandering.shop avatar

@Ash_Crow @CSDNews Apollo is irrelevant here. What's relevant is that India managed to run a lunar landing mission significantly cheaper than a US shoestring-budget private spaceflight mission.

ErikJonker,
@ErikJonker@mastodon.social avatar

@cstross ..the indian miission is incredibly cheap

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