sreedevkkumar, to india
@sreedevkkumar@journa.host avatar

The BJP and BJD, who were allies once, are now locked in a bitter contest for the 21 Parliamentary constituencies and 147 Assembly constituencies in Odisha. What are the factors driving the Odisha contest? Can the BJP edge past the BJD in the state? Today's Number Theory answer these questions in detail.

Link to read on HT app: https://www.hindustantimes.com/editors-pick/number-theory-can-bjp-edge-past-bjd-in-bitter-odisha-contest-101716783051542.html

@mastodonindians

What led to the BJP’s rise in Odisha? The intuitive answer is that it has usurped the Congress’s support base. The Congress and BJP vote shares were 32.7% and 16.9% in the 2009 Lok Sabha elections in Odisha. These numbers changed to 13.8% and 38.4% in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections. However, a careful analysis suggests that the actual dynamics in the state could be more complicated. Out of the 6 PCs that the Congress won in 2009, 5 were won by the BJD in 2014 and only 1 by the BJP. Similarly, out of the 27 ACs won by the Congress in 2009, 18 went to the BJD and just two to the BJP in 2014. The BJP won eight PCs in 2019, and out of this, seven were won by the BJD in 2014. The Congress did not win any PCs in 2014. Out of the 23 ACs that the BJP won in 2019, as many as 18 were previously won by the BJD. This suggests that the BJD has taken away the traditional support of the Congress before 2019 and now the BJP is wresting back some of it from the BJP. A region-wise analysis supports this theory. 4 out of the 6 PCs won by the Congress in 2009 came from Western Odisha. The Congress first lost ground to the BJD in this region in 2014. But by 2019, the BJD ceded a lot of space to the BJP in this part of the state. Although, the BJD was able to become the single largest party in the state assembly from Western Odisha in 2019, it had to field the party supremo Naveen Patnaik from an AC in the region for the first time in his political journey to ensure popular support.
Has the BJD regained some of its lost ground after 2019? While the BJP saw a significant increase in its seat share and vote share in both Lok Sabha and Assembly elections in Odisha in 2019, the BJD might have, at least to some extent, been able to rein in the BJP's rising popularity in the state since. The biggest evidence for this comes from the rural local body polls held in the state in 2022. Out of the 853 Zilla Parishad seats (ZP) in the state, the BJD won 767 in 2022, bringing its ZP seat share to 89.92%. In the previous rural local body election in 2017, the BJD's ZP seat share stood at 56.07%. In comparison, the BJP's ZP seat share fell from 35% in 2017 to 4.9% in 2022. Even within Western Odisha, the BJD's seat share rose from 25.5% to 86.5%, while that of the BJP fell from 61.5% to 9.3%. whether or not the BJP can buck this local level trend in a national and state election will be known on June 4.

thejapantimes, to worldwithoutus
@thejapantimes@mastodon.social avatar

India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi coming back to power with an even bigger majority is looking less certain with less than two weeks to go before election results are announced. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/05/24/asia-pacific/politics/modi-india-opposition-gains/

thejapantimes, to worldnews
@thejapantimes@mastodon.social avatar

Much attention to date has focused on how India’s religious and caste divides have become political fodder. In fact, tensions between Indian states may be even more dangerous. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/commentary/2024/05/23/world/indias-most-dangerous-divide/ #commentary #worldnews #india #elections #bjp #narendramodi #bharatiyajanataparty

thejapantimes, to worldnews
@thejapantimes@mastodon.social avatar

To be Muslim in what is now a largely Hindu-first India, it is a lonely feeling to know that your country's leaders do not want you. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/05/20/world/society/strangers-muslim-modi-india/

lazylemur, to mastodonindians
@lazylemur@lethallava.land avatar

the "mota bhai" (he was senior and fat) who was doing the police verification for my passport issuance was a staunch supporter. he just would not accept my card as my address proof. dude unironically, with a straight face, said that aadhar cards can be faked and people have been doing that a lot.

wah ji, wah! this is the "swabhav mein fakeeri".

@mastodonindians

br00t4c, to india
@br00t4c@mastodon.social avatar
junesim63, to india
@junesim63@mstdn.social avatar

"A defining feature of life in India today is the suffocating atmosphere of menace and threat to critics of the government. Shah is the face and embodiment of this fear, which lurks everywhere, from the newsrooms to the courtrooms, and which inspires a sense of alarm that is bigger than the sum of the facts and anecdotes that can be amassed to illustrate it"

Chilling long read on the rise of Amit Shah, Modi's right-hand man.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/may/16/amit-shah-narendra-modi-right-hand-man-india

junesim63,
@junesim63@mstdn.social avatar

"Partly owing to his days in Gujarat and partly owing to the Indian government’s widely documented use of Israeli spyware to target journalists, activists and critics, the image of Shah in the public imagination is that of a man who holds everyone’s secrets. “Modi has a certain charm, which is perhaps the most dangerous thing about him,” the Indian novelist and activist Arundhati Roy told me. “Amit Shah is a single-string instrument: the only note he can strike is fear.”

br00t4c, (edited ) to random
@br00t4c@mastodon.social avatar
thejapantimes, to worldnews
@thejapantimes@mastodon.social avatar

The fourth phase of India’s seven-stage national election is taking place, amid rising concerns about low voter turnout and the campaign’s increasingly acrimonious tenor. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/05/13/world/politics/india-election-low-turnout/

sreedevkkumar, to india
@sreedevkkumar@journa.host avatar

The political landscape in Maharashtra looks vastly different from what it was in 2019. While the BJP on paper is in alliance with the official factions of the 2 biggest regional parties in the state, the factions led by their founders stand against it. The charts below explains how BJP traded uncertainty for influence in Maharashtra.

Read on HT app: https://www.hindustantimes.com/editors-pick/number-theory-in-maharashtra-how-bjp-traded-uncertainty-for-influence-101715137439827.html

#MastIndia #India #Maharashtra #Politics #Elections #Data #BJP @mastodonindians

thejapantimes, to worldnews
@thejapantimes@mastodon.social avatar

India's ruling Bharatiya Janata Party is relying on Prime Minister Narendra Modi's popularity as it seeks a super-majority in parliament, but it's also employing local tactics in some vital constituencies it hopes to wrest from the opposition. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/05/07/world/politics/modi-bjp-supermajority-india-election/

thejapantimes, to worldnews
@thejapantimes@mastodon.social avatar

Animated videos shared by India's ruling Bharatiya Janata Party social media platforms over the last ten days depict the opposition Congress party giving disproportionate benefits to the country's minority Muslim community at the cost of other groups. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/05/07/world/politics/india-bjp-videos-muslims-opposition/

thejapantimes, to worldwithoutus
@thejapantimes@mastodon.social avatar

Voting kicked off in Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s home state of Gujarat in the third phase of India’s election Tuesday, with campaigning becoming increasingly acrimonious between the two main parties. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/05/07/asia-pacific/modi-home-state-indian-election/ #asiapacific #india #narendramodi #bjp

thejapantimes, to worldwithoutus
@thejapantimes@mastodon.social avatar

As India's election intensifies, manipulated videos involving top aides of Prime Minister Narendra Modi have sparked police investigations and led to the arrest of several Congress party workers. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/05/06/asia-pacific/politics/fake-videos-modi-india-election/

sreedevkkumar, to india
@sreedevkkumar@journa.host avatar

Its now a common refrain in Indian politics that BJP has no qualms inducting leaders from parties that they have accused of misgovernance and corruption before. But are turncoats really a post-2014 phenomenon? I and Abhishek Jha attempt to answer to this question with the limited data we have available.

Read on HT app: https://www.hindustantimes.com/editors-pick/number-theory-turncoats-and-their-role-in-indian-politics-polls-101714964612914.html

@mastodonindians

thejapantimes, to worldnews
@thejapantimes@mastodon.social avatar

India’s ruling Bharatiya Janata Party's ship appears to be riddled with leaks and at risk of sinking this election. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/commentary/2024/05/05/world/might-modi-lose/

mindaslab, to hinduism
@mindaslab@mstdn.social avatar

In , like & , women are slaves of men, so no wonder BJP holds up rapists with such high esteem.

Vittoria, to india
@Vittoria@mastodon.social avatar

As voters in more than 80 constituencies were casting their ballots on April 26 in the second phase of #India ’s mammoth general #election, the country’s Supreme Court issued a critical ruling on the electoral #voting system. Rejecting a petition filed by an NGO, the court ruled that India needs to nurture a "culture of trust" on e-voting. But the lack of trust lies at the heart of the issue, explains France 24’s Leela Jacinto.

#Modi #BJP

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DHqei2h8-rQ

junesim63, to india
@junesim63@mstdn.social avatar

Fascists just can't help themselves...
#India #Elections #Modi #BJP

Narendra Modi accused of stirring tensions as voting in India continues | India | The Guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/apr/22/narendra-modi-accused-of-stirring-tensions-as-voting-in-india-continues

CelloMomOnCars, to india
@CelloMomOnCars@mastodon.social avatar

"From a few lines two decades ago to multiple full pages, Lok Sabha manifestos of two primary national parties in - the and the - reflect rising concerns over and environmental degradation.

Experts, however, have expressed concerns regarding the lack of specific steps in their manifesto to address environmental challenges.

http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/articleshow/109364221.cms

thejapantimes, to worldwithoutus
@thejapantimes@mastodon.social avatar

The world's biggest election begins in India under warnings of scorching temperatures that pose a series of logistical problems for polling stations trying to keep voters safe. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/04/19/asia-pacific/society/india-vote-extreme-heat-threat/

thejapantimes, to worldwithoutus
@thejapantimes@mastodon.social avatar

Mainstream media in India has little critical evaluation of Prime Minister Narendra Modi as the country kicks off a pivotal general election. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/04/19/asia-pacific/politics/modi-critics-migrate-online/

tagesschau, to random German
@tagesschau@ard.social avatar

Wahlen in Indien: Modis Erfolge und ungelöste Probleme

Indien wählt ein neues Parlament, und Premierminister Modi wirbt mit wirtschaftlichen und sozialen Erfolgen. Seine Gegner kritisieren, die Armut sei unter Modi noch gewachsen. Und sie fragen nach dem Zustand der indischen Demokratie. Von A. Kammerer.

➡️ https://www.tagesschau.de/ausland/asien/wahlen-indien-102.html?at_medium=mastodon&at_campaign=tagesschau.de

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