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augieray, to random
@augieray@mastodon.social avatar

I am concerned that even the most -cautious experts are losing their focus. Everything from them is becoming H5N1 all the time. They're moving on.

TWO AMERICANS have bird flu. It does NOT transmit human-to-human. This could change, but that isn't today's risk.

10 MILLION Americans will get another COVID infection this month--during our "low" point--and 1 million or more of them will develop .

Keep your eyes more on the risks we face today than what we MAY face tomorrow.

augieray, to random
@augieray@mastodon.social avatar

I still don't trust gyms enough to use them, even when is low. Here's why: I ran an experiment in my home office using my CO2 monitor. I did my daily high-intensity exercise in the sealed room at 7:30. Then I let it air out and worked quietly in the same sealed room starting at 8:30. It took:

  • Less than 20 minutes of exercise for CO2 to rise from 600 to 1200.
  • Almost 2 hours of working at my desk to rise from 670 to 1270.

(1/2)

augieray,
@augieray@mastodon.social avatar

CO2 levels tell us how much air is rebreathed and is a proxy for infection risks in spaces shared with others. If one person working out in a 250-square-foot room can cause CO2 to go from safe to poor in just 20 minutes, what can a roomful of exercising people do to risks in a gym? Perhaps some have upgraded air filtration and ventilation, but without CO2 monitoring, I just wouldn't trust it. (2/2)

ndw,
@ndw@mastodon.social avatar

@augieray Do I remember correctly that you posted the model of CO2 monitor you're using? If so, would you mind repeating it? If not, would you mind telling me? :-)

augieray, to random
@augieray@mastodon.social avatar

Some flawed "research" suggesting masks don't work circulated last week. This new STUDY tells the truth:

  1. and other respiratory pathogens have airborne transmission.
  2. Masks are, if correctly and consistently worn, effective in reducing transmission of respiratory diseases and show a dose-response effect.
  3. Respirators are significantly more effective than medical or cloth masks.
  4. Mask mandates are effective in reducing community transmission.
    Duh!

https://journals.asm.org/doi/10.1128/cmr.00124-23

augieray, to random
@augieray@mastodon.social avatar

A policy analysis finds that the US CDC:

Downplays the serious impacts and aerosol transmission risks of #COVID19,

Has aligned public guidance with commercial and political interests over scientific evidence, and

Focuses on individual choice rather than emphasizing prevention and equity.
(1/2)

augieray,
@augieray@mastodon.social avatar

"Because emerging variants can already evade existing vaccines and treatments and #LongCOVID can be disabling and lacks definitive treatment, multifaceted, sustainable approaches to the #COVID19 pandemic are essential to protect people, the economy, and future generations."

https://www.ajpmfocus.org/article/S2773-0654(24)00026-9/fulltext#%20

augieray, to random
@augieray@mastodon.social avatar

A lovely tune from Alexi Murdoch entitled "Orange Sky." I heard this song while driving 20 years ago and pulled over so I could write down the name.

Well, I had a dream
I stood beneath an orange sky
With my brother and my sister standing by

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gOBWSb14wrU

jrefior,
@jrefior@hachyderm.io avatar

@augieray
I used to listen to that a lot... I think it's been years

augieray, to random
@augieray@mastodon.social avatar

“The greatest wealth is health,”

Roman poet Virgil said this over 2,000 years ago. For some reason, it seems an awful lot of people need to be reminded of this in 2024.

The rise of Long #COVID19 we experienced after the holiday surge has diminished back to 2023 levels. Still, more than 1 in 20 American adults reported symptoms of Long COVID in April. More than 1 in 25 experience activity limitations from #LongCOVID. And 1 of every 83 have significant limitations.

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/covid19/pulse/long-covid.htm

augieray, to random
@augieray@mastodon.social avatar

This will end well:

Spain reintroduces mask rules in health centers amid a rise in : https://www.msn.com/en-gb/health/other/spain-brings-back-face-mask-rules-amid-covid-and-flu-spike-across-popular-holiday-spots/ar-AA1mLC5b

Next week, Taylor Swift's Eras Tour arrives in Madrid for two huge concerts. Many Swifties who attended her packed Paris shows have reported contracting COVID. https://archive.ph/sMxMi

Gilgamesch,
@Gilgamesch@mastodon.social avatar

@augieray From swiftonomics to swiftidemic ...

augieray,
@augieray@mastodon.social avatar

@teotwaki @cstross Sorry. Hope you're feeling better and not suffering lingering consequences.

augieray, to random
@augieray@mastodon.social avatar

We are losing SOME tools to track @Covid19's rise and fall, but we still have good data. Biobot is diminishing its COVID data and the CDC is no longer requiring hospitalization data. But:

NWSS tracks COVID in wastewater (albeit a bit slow to update): https://www.cdc.gov/nwss/rv/COVID19-nationaltrend.html

Positive rate of testing (a biased but useful signal) can be tracked:
https://www.walgreens.com/healthcare-solutions/covid-19-index
https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_weeklydeaths_testpositivity_00

The Household Pulse survey tracks those reporting Long COVID symptoms: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/covid19/pulse/long-covid.htm

eladnarra,
@eladnarra@disabled.social avatar

@augieray But NWSS data doesn't go back to the start of the pandemic, does it? One of the really helpful aspects of Biobot has been comparing current levels to previous surges and lulls, as well as to case data back when people still tested (available on Biobot's graph). The Biobot data is also simply ppm (or something similar?) rather than an opaque value.

darwinwoodka,
@darwinwoodka@mastodon.social avatar

@augieray @Covid19

This outbreak in Singapore is worrying

https://mastodon.social/

augieray, to random
@augieray@mastodon.social avatar

New STUDY of in children finds that “Both children with and without CHDs (Congenital Heart Defects) showed increased risks for a variety of cardiovascular outcomes after SARS-CoV-2 infection, underscoring the need for targeted monitoring and management in the post-acute phase.” Kids with and without CHDs saw a 63% higher risk of cardiovascular risks after SARS-CoV-2 infection. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.05.14.24307380v1

markhdavis,
@markhdavis@mastodon.social avatar

@augieray These rates of increase of cardiovascular risk associated with COVID-19 at 1-2% show the need to key eyes on this nasty condition. Article is before certification by peer review.

augieray, to random
@augieray@mastodon.social avatar

STUDY finds that those with have a 73% higher risk of a new diagnosis of major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events. “All major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events considered showed a significantly higher risk in COVID-19 individuals.” Risks were highest in the first year but “remained significantly higher than in the COVID-19-free patients throughout the 3 years.”

https://academic.oup.com/cardiovascres/article-abstract/120/6/623/7631430?login=false

gueuledatmosphere,
@gueuledatmosphere@mastodon.green avatar

@augieray
"This should promote the planning of longer follow-up for COVID-19 patients to prevent and promptly manage the potential occurrence of major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events." -- Yes it should. For now I'll just put that over there in the bin.

augieray,
@augieray@mastodon.social avatar

@gueuledatmosphere Almost every study ends with a statement such as that, yet so little is acted upon.

augieray, to random
@augieray@mastodon.social avatar

A beautiful and wistful new song from Lake Street Dive. The whole band is great, but this tune is just Akie Bermiss on piano and the unmistakable Rachael Price singing.

And although the stories that I tell myself about us now
Don't take me to the grave
I'll be an old woman with somebody else by my side
But I will always be in love with you in my memories
When we werе twenty-five

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IuEDrW6NY8Q

augieray, to random
@augieray@mastodon.social avatar

I'm astounded at how common Long COVID is, how little we talk about it, and how many ignore what it means. Discussions I've had in the past two weeks because I probed topics:

  • Guy tells me his wife has Long COVID for a year. A week later, he posts photos from a crowded, indoor concert.

  • Friend tells me he's had mild Long COVID for 2 years. Also says he's "moved on" and doesn't consider COVID risks any longer.

This is not going to end well. Here's what I foresee in the future: (1/3)

augieray,
@augieray@mastodon.social avatar

@samohTmaS Okay, then I'll block you. Hey, look at that, I still have all my sight, all my data, and all my logic without listening to people like you.

I think you are damaging people's health with talk like that. People who WERE cautious are drifting away every day--plenty of polls say that. People like you make it worse.

You don't need my posts, and I certainly don't need your replies. best of luck.

nedhamson1,
@nedhamson1@mastodon.social avatar

@augieray @AutisticMumTo3 If GOP held House will not vote funds, President Biden and his administration cannot print money on their own.

augieray, (edited ) to random
@augieray@mastodon.social avatar

My new four-minute post on . The current situation, what's happening this spring, the risks ahead, and the considerable risks of repeated infections everyone is ignoring.

https://medium.com/

ABScientist,
@ABScientist@forall.social avatar

@augieray

The main question is: Is the damage already done for most people or can people still avoid the long term effects by avoiding repeated infections?

augieray,
@augieray@mastodon.social avatar

@ABScientist

In the absence of knowing the answer to that question, you have a choice: Ignore the potential risks or act with caution because we don't know.

Given that we know repeated infections DO raise risks, there is every reason to think someone with two infections is better off without three or four.

I don't expect completely to avoid a reinfection forever. I am trying to have 50 to 75% fewer infections than most others, and I'll hope that's good enough. Because, what's the choice?

augieray, to random
@augieray@mastodon.social avatar

AMR (antimicrobial resistance) is a growing problem. is adding to it. Antibiotics don't treat COVID; using them to do so risks accelerating AMR.

STUDY finds "a substantial prevalence of MDRO (multidrug-resistant organisms) infection (42.1%) in COVID-19 patients, and a notable overall proportion of antibiotic use (76.2%)." This highlights "the urgent need to enhance antimicrobial stewardship strategies to mitigate the risks associated with future pandemics."

https://www.journalofinfection.com/article/S0163-4453(24)00117-8/fulltext

augieray, to random
@augieray@mastodon.social avatar

I understand the frustration with Biden over Gaza. But you have two choices in November. If you care about Palestinians and Gaza & cannot vote FOR Biden, then vote AGAINST the party that wants to ...

Deport pro-Palestinian protesters (https://www.haaretz.com/us-news/2024-05-13/ty-article/.premium/trump-ramps-up-campus-protests-over-israel-as-a-key-campaign-issue-against-biden/0000018f-71b4-d7ad-abdf-f5befa1a0000)

Allow Israel to use nuclear weapons in Gaza (https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/lindsey-graham-gaza-israel-hiroshima-b2544204.html)

Force Biden to stop trying to limit Israel's aggression (https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/16/us/politics/house-bill-reverse-israel-arms-pause.html)

If you care about Palestinians, you want to help Biden win, not Trump.

18+ augieray,
@augieray@mastodon.social avatar

@severedaffect If you care about Palestine, people of color, and equity, then you'll vote for Biden (even if you only do it to vote against Trump.) There is no positive outcome to a Trump win for marginalized communities. You can choose between disappointing or disastrous. That's up to you.

Respond carefully if you care to see my posts. I block people who want to suggest it doesn't matter if Trump or Biden wins when it couldn't be more clear that it very much does.

augieray,
@augieray@mastodon.social avatar

@MaierAmsden That is much how I feel. I hope for better for Biden. But for as much I wish Biden did better for Palestinians, I will NOT throw all Muslims, people of color, journalists, Democrats, LGBTQ, and women under the bus just because I'm unhappy with Biden's efforts for Gaza,

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