'World leaders promised in 2015 to try to limit the long-term temperature rise to 1.5C, which is seen as crucial to help avoid the most damaging impacts.
This first year-long breach doesn't break that landmark 'Paris agreement', but it does bring the world closer to doing so in the long-term.'
Wanneer dringt het door dat nieuwe records geen teken van succes zijn?
📷 @ECMWF
‼️ We have new vacancies open for applications ‼️
🌍🌐 Join our team to support machine learning within Destination Earth. Be part of this ambitious initiative of the @europeancommission to develop a highly accurate digital twin of our planet.
Learn more about ML at ECMWF and meet some of the team you could be working with ➡️ https://stories.ecmwf.int/machine-learning-vacancies-at-ecmwf/index.html
We're looking for someone to work on the rapidly-developing #ML workflows being created within the #DestinationEarth initiative, ensuring they're well integrated into existing software infrastructure, developing the processes for testing/validation of changes before operational deployment, supporting operational running.
Een natte kerstperiode, gevolgd door een winterinval rond Drie Koningen: dat was in de vorige eeuw een klassieker.
Gaan we nog eens die toer op? Het is niet onmogelijk. Na een kletsnatte periode rond Nieuwjaar, zien de weermodellen een koudere periode aankomen vanaf 6 januari, met mogelijk winterse perikelen. (Diagram: ensemble van weermodel ECMWF)
Announcing the latest release of OpenIFS, the supported and easily-accessible version of ECMWF’s Integrated Forecasting System (IFS).
OpenIFS, provided for research and education, will be upgraded to the latest IFS cycle - Cy48r1, which became operational in June - by the end of the year.
The upgrade marks the start of more frequent OpenIFS releases, roughly every two years.
As eyes are focused on Nova Scotia and Bermuda in the Atlantic, long range ECMWF models are indicating a potential ramping up of severe weather later next week.
The images attached show a trough sweeping through the plains by Friday or Saturday of next week (September 22nd or 23rd). (Alt text omitted)
Exact timing is to be determined, of course.
Given the right conditions, this can lead to the development of severe thunderstorms and will need to be monitored.
The remainder of August 2023 will be rather warm. Not only in Central Europe, but also over Greenland. Map shows #GFS temperature deviations from average 1979-2010 on the 850 hPa pressure level (about 1500 m ASL). #ECMWF shows a rather similar evolution.
The intensity of the 2023 #CanadaFires have generated record levels of #carbon#emissions, with significant long-range transport of smoke during June impacting both the northeastern USA & crossing the Atlantic to reach Europe.
📈According to #ERA5 the 7 days from 3rd to 9th July 2023 were the 7 hottest days on record globally, making the first week of July 2023 the hottest week on record.
Global mean temperature exceeded 1.5 degrees threshold during the first days of June according to @CopernicusECMWF data.
Monitoring how often and for how long these breaches occur is more important than ever, if we are to avoid more severe consequences of the climate crisis.
Heat wave ahead in the Arctic. The animation shows the 10 day #GFS forecast of temperature deviation from the 1979-2010 average at 850 hPa (~1.5 km height); the #ECMWF forecast is quite similar. Near surface temperatures near 10°C are possible in Northern Siberia and in Greenland, so that we can expect the Greenland melting season to start towards the end of next week.