Today there is a high (level 5/5) risk for all modes of severe weather across the south central plains, including the potential for several cyclic supercells and long-track tornadoes.
One thing I miss about the #WxTwitter community is that there were handful of stats folks who could relay the last time we had a high risk day. Relying entirely on my memory, but it seems like it's been at least a year or two.
The latest Day 1 forecast from the Storm Prediction Center has expanded the moderate risk east into SE Kansas and NE Oklahoma, approaching the Missouri and Arkansas state lines. This reflects the increased risk for strong, damaging winds as storms move east overnight.
This doesn't change my plans other than I'll either stay awake or set an alarm to go off around the ETA for the storm complex.
Wherever you are, you must check in with your weather forecast regularly, because IT. WILL. CHANGE. The atmosphere over broad deaths of this country is particularly unstable. I am so scared for Chicago. Make sure that people know.
Most recent update 45 mins ago.
Enhanced Risk: across parts of northern Illinois/far northwestern Indiana, and parts of eastern Kansas into Missouri
Slight risk includes parts of WI, MI, OH, IN, IL, KY, AR, MO, OK, KS.
To read NOAA’s forecast discussion, open the map, click inside any red-outlined area and follow the link. I expect the discussion for various forecast areas will be updated as the day goes on.
The shaded areas indicate where NOAA says severe weather is mostly likely to happen today. #TXwx#OKwx#KSwx
#Neosho, #Kansas: National Weather Service: #TORNADO WARNING in this area until 9:45 PM CDT. Take shelter now in a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Check media. Source: NWS Wichita KS
#Chautauqua, #Cowley#Elk, #Montgomery, #Neosho and #Wilson, #Kansas are also under a #FlashFlood warning until 3:00 AM CDT. Flash flooding can be as if not more deadly than a #tornado so please take care if you are in an area in danger of flooding - do not attempt to travel unless you're evacuating or seeking higher ground. Cars are particularly susceptible to being swept away in floods!
Not only did I not have catching the aurora in southeast Kansas on my bingo card, I did not expect that I would be taking so many photos of the aurora towards the south, or during twilight.
Also had the surreal experience of it being bright enough at one point to be able to read the markings on my camera!
Made it back home in time to catch some views of the fading aurora from Missouri en route and at our home in Arkansas.