@theeyewallwx@mastodon.social
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theeyewallwx

@theeyewallwx@mastodon.social

Reliable weather information for tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic basin from the team at Space City Weather

This profile is from a federated server and may be incomplete. Browse more on the original instance.

theeyewallwx, to random
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Welcome back to regular posts! It's about the time of year where model silly season can begin and generally unrealistic outcomes show up. We explain, but we also take a look at some things we'll be watching in the tropics over the next couple weeks.

https://theeyewall.com/checking-in-on-the-tropics-051324/

theeyewallwx, to random
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We are a month away from the start of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season. You may have heard that there will be some changes and product enhancements this year. We review some key items that are new or changing and offer a quick forecast update: https://theeyewall.com/hurricane-season-begins-in-a-month-so-whats-new-this-year/

theeyewallwx, to random
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Recent flooding in Dubai of all places has set off a firestorm of misleading, incomplete and bizarre theories on social media. How did this actually happen? Turns out it was a pretty straightforward forecast, and no one should be surprised that this was a major event. It just happened to hit a place that has a lot of people, rarely sees events of this magnitude, and happened to mention that they also seed clouds, which is unlikely to have done much to affect the outcome.

https://theeyewall.com/dubious-dubai-flooding-claims-run-rampant-whats-the-reality/

A deep upper-level storm arrived and slowly migrated eastward across the Arabian Peninsula between Sunday and Wednesday. (Tropical Tidbits)

theeyewallwx, to random
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We have compiled your complete eclipse weather forecast guide, as well as lots of links from @dsilverman for ways to participate in the eclipse virtually if you can't travel or end up clouded in. Read that and our Texas to Canada forecast here: https://theeyewall.com/your-complete-eclipse-viewing-guide-from-texas-to-canada-plus-details-on-how-to-participate-virtually/

theeyewallwx, to random
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Monday's solar weather continues to look at its best for the Northeast & southeast Canada. We detail that and look back at yesterday's severe weather & today's snow.

https://theeyewall.com/the-northeast-and-canada-continues-to-look-best-for-mondays-solar-eclipse/

theeyewallwx, to random
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What can be realistically said about the forecast for April 8th's solar eclipse this far out? We dig into the model data to pull out the key points that can be seen today and what we'll be watching in the days ahead.

https://theeyewall.com/digging-into-the-model-data-to-tell-you-what-we-know-about-the-weather-for-april-8ths-solar-eclipse/

theeyewallwx, to random
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After the Northeast got blasted by snow yesterday, we look at where snow is heading next, wind and fire weather risk in the Plains, what else is coming, and we set the table on what we're watching for cloud forecasting: https://theeyewall.com/northeast-blasted-more-snow-coming-to-the-central-u-s-and-a-way-too-early-solar-eclipse-preview/

theeyewallwx, to random
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Recent hurricane season rumblings have struck a nerve with some folks, rightfully so! Today, Matt takes a look at where we stand and what we can actually realistically say about the upcoming hurricane season in mid to late February. Our checkup: https://theeyewall.com/seasonal-hurricane-commentary-is-beginning-to-buzz-what-we-actually-know-right-now/

theeyewallwx, to random
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A lot of stuff out there on the storm hammering California today and tomorrow. Today, we discuss how this storm fits the overarching narrative involving El Nino and rain in southern California.

Read more: https://theeyewall.com/el-nino-and-california-rain-the-complex-relationship-and-how-the-current-storm-fits-the-overarching-narrative/

theeyewallwx, to random
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Big rains headed for Louisiana where recent extremes may put a damper on crawfish harvests. Meanwhile, winter takes a hiatus next week. The upcoming hurricane season has caught the eye of some, so we explain what the data shows this far out and more.

https://theeyewall.com/winter-prepares-to-take-a-break-so-well-talk-about-crawfish-recent-research-and-the-2024-atlantic-hurricane-season/

theeyewallwx, to random
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A wild 24-36 hours ahead with severe weather, flooding rains, heavy snow, and powerful winds impacting a large chunk of the eastern 2/3s of the country. And there's more to come later this week.

We've got details: https://theeyewall.com/updated-look-at-what-to-expect-into-tuesday-with-the-major-eastern-u-s-winter-storm/

theeyewallwx, to random
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Here's a quick update on the weekend snow, but we take a deeper dive into the developing flooding concerns in New Jersey with Tuesday's storm. While that one will cause a potpourri of issues nationally, the NJ flooding risks are especially notable.

Read more: https://theeyewall.com/after-weekend-snow-in-the-northeast-a-significant-developing-flooding-risk-focused-on-new-jersey-for-tuesday/

theeyewallwx, to random
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As promised, here's a full rundown on this weekend's winter storm in the Northeast, a preview of next week's big ticket storm across a lot of the country, and an explanation of the polar vortex and stratospheric warming and what it all really means.

https://theeyewall.com/northeast-snow-this-weekend-a-big-complex-storm-next-week-and-whats-the-deal-with-the-polar-vortex/

theeyewallwx, to random
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With hurricane season quieting down now, we take a quick look at the forecast this week across the U.S. More so, however, we take a deep dive into , some of the latest developments, and assess where things stand at the moment.

Read all about it: https://theeyewall.com/110623-checking-in-on-where-our-el-nino-event-stands-as-we-descend-toward-winter/

theeyewallwx, to random
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Invest 97L continues to look like a serious rainmaker in Central America, though it is now unlikely to organize in any meaningful capacity.

Also, we have a note on our site coverage going forward, now that hurricane season is slowing.

Read here: https://theeyewall.com/november-2-2023-outlook-invest-97l-running-out-of-time-and-a-site-update/

theeyewallwx, to random
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Thanks for everyone's support in our inaugural year. We are going to keep posting semi-regularly about other weather across the country. We'd like to continue growing our audience during the winter, so keep spreading the word! What else would you like to see between now & May?

theeyewallwx, to Weather
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in the Atlantic and in the Pacific are two very different storms but will hopefully offer modest impacts to the areas they threaten. Still, interests in the Caribbean (Tammy) and Baja (Norma) should monitor these storms.

Details: https://theeyewall.com/october-19-2023-outlook-tammy-toys-with-the-caribbean-islands-while-norma-rapidly-intensified-overnight-in-the-pacific/

The track of Hurricane Norma should take it close to Baja this weekend, likely as a much weaker storm.

theeyewallwx, to random
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After about 3 weeks, we're ready to close the books on Lee. Margot and Nigel are of no concern, but the next wave we'll watch the Atlantic emerges this week.

More: https://theeyewall.com/september-17-2023-outlook-au-lee-voir/

theeyewallwx, to random
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Hurricane is beginning to accelerate toward Atlantic Canada, and its impacts will spread south to north through the day and night from coastal Massachusetts into New Hampshire, Maine, and Canada.

Details on impacts: https://theeyewall.com/september-15-2023-outlook-lee-launching-north-with-impacts-in-new-england-and-canada-tonight-and-saturday/

theeyewallwx, to Weather
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is expanding in size, with TS force winds out nearly 250 miles now. This means possibly significant tidal & coastal impacts when Lee comes northward. Folks from Nantucket & Cape Cod through Maine and Atlantic Canada should be preparing.

More: https://theeyewall.com/tuesday-pm-lee-update-bermuda-under-a-tropical-storm-watch-as-lees-wind-field-grows-larger/

, ,


theeyewallwx, to maine
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Hurricane is expected to brush with impacts this week, then take aim toward or with the potential for significant impacts this weekend. We explain what we know in this morning's post.

https://theeyewall.com/september-12-2023-outlook-lee-will-take-aim-at-new-england-and-or-atlantic-canada-this-weekend/

theeyewallwx, to random
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Hurricane is intensifying in the Atlantic, as it aims to track north of the Caribbean Islands. From there? We still have more questions than answers at this point. Several features will determine Lee's ultimate track.

We explain: https://theeyewall.com/september-7-2023-outlook-lee-loading-up-for-a-big-show-northeast-of-the-leeward-islands-and-puerto-rico/

theeyewallwx, to Weather
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Tropical Storm will rapidly intensify as it likely tracks north of the Caribbean islands. Beyond that? Great question. Lots of players on the field that will influence how Lee runs its offense, but we don't know how they look yet.

We explain: https://theeyewall.com/september-6-2023-outlook-lee-plodding-west-northwest-and-strengthening-where-will-it-ultimately-go/

theeyewallwx, to random
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Here's our Monday update on Invest 95L, which is likely to develop in the next couple days and become Tropical Storm and eventually Hurricane Lee. It should go north of the islands, but it remains a close call. We explain.

https://theeyewall.com/september-4-2023-outlook-invest-95l-should-soon-develop-and-hopefully-thread-the-needle-north-of-the-caribbean-islands/

theeyewallwx, to Florida
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We have a Monday evening update on Tropical Storm , which is expected to become a hurricane tonight. Extremely serious surge impacts are expected in the Big Bend, and there is no real modern precedent for the expected strength of storm in this area. Wind impacts will expand out far from the center including , , , and perhaps . Heavy rain is expected as well.

https://theeyewall.com/idalia-on-the-verge-of-becoming-a-hurricane-with-its-sights-set-on-floridas-big-bend-region/

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