@rameshgupta@mastodon.social avatar

rameshgupta

@rameshgupta@mastodon.social

We must fight the risk of fire in our own homes as arsonists are running amok to burn our country down

Profile image? Yes, it's a #fractal.

#SocietiesAreNotStatic
#SocietiesAreNotHomogenous
#InternationalDynamics
#AxisOfResistance
#PermanentStateOfWar
#InTheirName
#RevanchistDreams

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kravietz, to Israel
@kravietz@agora.echelon.pl avatar

International Criminal Court prosecutor requests warrants for #Israel Netanyahu and #Hamas leaders

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/20/world/middleeast/icc-hamas-netanyahu.html?smid=tw-share

rameshgupta,
@rameshgupta@mastodon.social avatar

⬆️ @kravietz

Both and have a perverse incentive to maintain in and both are collectively responsible, with being the losers.

ICC prosecutor said that he had “reasonable grounds to believe” that , and were responsible for “ and ” — including “the killing of hundreds of civilians in attacks perpetrated by .”

@israel @palestine

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/20/world/middleeast/icc-hamas-netanyahu.html?smid=tw-share

rameshgupta, to random
@rameshgupta@mastodon.social avatar

is too stupid to realize that NOT voting for is a vote FOR , and that her boycott of could be her last — She might not get another opportunity to vote EVER.

Via @SteveThompson

https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/cardi-b-wont-vote-joe-biden-or-donald-trump_uk_66477644e4b0cba40889b45b?utm_source=press.coop

rameshgupta,
@rameshgupta@mastodon.social avatar

⬆️ Another , this time by @kpop.social

>> isn’t stupid LIKE, AT ALL.

Her profile says, “I'll follow you back 9 times out of 10. Unless you're super political, sorry I just don't want all that in my head jit”

Let’s just say I don’t want to be .

Also, she’s right. I shouldn’t be as presumptuous. May be knows something I don’t.

rameshgupta,
@rameshgupta@mastodon.social avatar

⬆️ @Vonskinnback @benroyce @nicholas_saunders

, Thy name is .

.

Just do it.

rameshgupta,
@rameshgupta@mastodon.social avatar

⬆️ @RunRichRun @GottaLaff @Eetschrijver @SteveThompson @joeinwynnewood

Short, and to the point.

“Only years later did I realize that I was mistaken, and we missed an opportunity to have a president who might actually have made America great by championing racial justice, labor rights, and the war against poverty.

I hope that today’s campus don’t repeat our mistakes by abandoning , who already has a proven record of accomplishments in his first term”

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2024/5/12/2239229/-Abandoning-Biden-could-repeat-the-1968-mistakes-that-helped-elect-Nixon

RememberUsAlways, to israel
@RememberUsAlways@newsie.social avatar

The case against Israel has just collapsed.
Revised civilian death figures expose the lie behind claims of ‘genocide’.
#genocide
#un
#unitednations
@palestine
@israel https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/05/18/the-case-against-israel-has-just-collapsed/

rameshgupta,
@rameshgupta@mastodon.social avatar

⬆️ @RememberUsAlways @palestine @israel

"Statisticians have debunked the data. Yet the narrative remains unchanged, even by President #Biden. Clearly, the sheer volume of the footage of suffering civilians– all projected by #Hamas, which censors pictures of dead or wounded combatants– has caused us to lose our minds. When we fought in #Afghanistan, #Syria & #Iraq, nobody debated civilian casualties. Yet when it comes to #Israel, it’s all anybody talks about"

Also it's not #US fighting in #Gaza

rameshgupta,
@rameshgupta@mastodon.social avatar

⬆️
@RememberUsAlways @palestine @israel

This is why civilians are barred from the safety of the tunnels, even though the whole population would fit inside them. This is why they do not have a single air raid shelter. ’ leaders have been doing their best to get their people killed on camera, then fabricated the figures. They've been doing so to brainwash the international media, political leaders, celebrities and the protesters on our streets, to believe the lie of

rameshgupta, to Israel
@rameshgupta@mastodon.social avatar

Benny , a centrist member of ’s War Cabinet, threatened to resign if Israel doesn’t adopt a new War plan by June 8.

He laid out a 6-point plan:

  1. return of hostages
  2. ending ’ rule
  3. demilitarizing
  4. establishing intl admin 👀
  5. normalize relations with 👀
  6. widen military service to all

“If you choose the path of fanatics and lead the entire nation to the abyss — we will be forced to quit the government,” he said 🔥

https://apnews.com/article/israel-palestinians-gaza-war-05-18-2024-3ac9d8e59198d5884d0faa6649a53e4f

rameshgupta,
@rameshgupta@mastodon.social avatar

⬆️ >> #Gantz laid out a 6-point plan:

  1. return of hostages
  2. ending #Hamas’ rule
  3. demilitarizing #Gaza
  4. establishing intl admin 👀
  5. normalize relations with #SaudiArabia 👀
  6. widen military service to all #Israelis

The significance of last one wasn’t clear to me earlier, but it is enormous. Thanks @w7voa

Basically, it’s saying “If you are rooting for more military action, be prepared to serve in military — no exception for ultra-Orthodox Jews on religious grounds.”

rameshgupta,
@rameshgupta@mastodon.social avatar

⬆️ national security adviser and ’s crown prince meet to discuss ‘semi-final’ security deal

That included “a that meets the …of the people”

has long called for an independent Palestinian state to be created along ’s 1967 borders, with East as its capital. However, that likely may be untenable for Israeli PM , whose government hinges on support from hard-liners.

https://apnews.com/article/saudi-arabia-us-israel-security-deal-hamas-war-gaza-strip-5b09666aeb6de0573c01e99cabb7946e

rameshgupta,
@rameshgupta@mastodon.social avatar

⬆️ Water cannon used to disperse anti-government in .

The protesters were demanding the release of all hostages held in , calling for new elections and also calling for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin to resign.

Video ➡️
https://apnews.com/video/israel-hamas-war-protests-and-demonstrations-tel-aviv-israel-benjamin-netanyahu-14c6787047b940caa67d663c59c15702

hanse_mina, to Russia
@hanse_mina@mastodon.social avatar

In the past three months, #Russia has begun actively transferring military personnel and mercenaries to #Libya, according to Verstka’s findings. These forces are primarily concentrated in eastern Libya, a region under the control of Khalifa Haftar, the commander of the Libyan National Army and a Kremlin ally.

A source within a Libyan security agency reported that at least 1,800 Russian military personnel have arrived in the country in the last two weeks alone

https://meduza.io/en/feature/2024/05/16/a-big-mess-is-brewing

#Ukraine

rameshgupta,
@rameshgupta@mastodon.social avatar

⬆️ @hanse_mina
big mess is brewing
>>…transferring military…to

Russia’s been trying to cut a wide swath across from to and everything in between

In States , , & , & most recently , is on collision course with &

Niger recently suspended military cooperation with after moving away from France & EU last year

Almost all of from to are also in for Putin

rameshgupta,
@rameshgupta@mastodon.social avatar

⬆️ @Edizionilazio @hanse_mina

has been resurgent in and proxy ’s has been unusually active there too.

will be forgotten as new colonialists take over

rameshgupta, to Israel
@rameshgupta@mastodon.social avatar

-led House votes to force weapons shipments to , rebuking

They can pound sand. This is an executive decision.

US had restrictions on too for not using supplied weapons on territory. Where was the Republican outrage and defiance then?

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-house-votes-force-weapons-shipments-israel-rebuking-biden-2024-05-16/

kravietz, to China
@kravietz@agora.echelon.pl avatar

Outcome of visit to in terms of economic agreements signed:

  • ✅ Agreement on supplies of Russian topinambour and beef by-products, particularly beef cartilage and stomachs to China
  • ✅ Creation of a new nature reserve “Land of big cats”
  • ✅ Cooperation between TASS and Xinhua news agencies
  • ❌ Construction of Power of Siberia 2 gas pipeline was not agreed

To me, these indicate an extremely close and strategic partnership between China and Russia, especially the beef cartilages are going to change the course of the world 😂

Source: https://www.moscowtimes.ru/2024/05/16/putin-ugovoril-si-tszinpina-pokupat-rossiiskii-topinambur-i-govyazhie-hryaschi-a130877

rameshgupta,
@rameshgupta@mastodon.social avatar

⬆️ @kravietz

>> Outcome of visit to
>> To me, these indicate an extremely close and strategic partnership between China and Russia, especially the beef cartilages are going to change the course of the world 😂

Also, a delegation just returned from a trip to , hoping to change the course of the world

The 1-sentence dispatch did not provide details but it is believed to have discussed resuming passenger train service between the two sides

https://www.thestatesman.com/world/north-korean-delegation-returns-home-after-weeklong-russia-visit-1503301651.html

kravietz, to Russia
@kravietz@agora.echelon.pl avatar

Today and play best friends forever and had been traditionally placed in the same “communist” basked as China. Some fun facts that especially tankies are getting completely wrong today.^1

Since 1950’s China and USSR were actually conflicted over each other’s interpretations of and in 1960’s the conflict nearly escalated into a full-scale nuclear war between the two countries.

China criticised CPSU (Communist Party of Soviet Union) over Soviet invasion of (1968)^2 and “Brezhnev Doctrine” which denounced any Marxism version outside of the Soviet one as “reactionary” (Marxist newspeak for “heresy”). This included both Czechoslovak reforms and Mao’s Cultural Revolution in equal manner. At that time China actually developed complex relations with Eastern Bloc countries such as Romania and Czechoslovakia behind Kremlin’s back.

Essentially, everyone called each other “reactionary” and claimed their Marxism is the correct one. Any resemblance to past religious wars is entirely incidental. 😉 In 1968 Chinese diplomat Zhou Enlai speaking in Romanian embassy in Beijing called Soviets for “fascist politics, great power chauvinism, national egoism and social imperialism”.^3

Does that ring any bells? 😉

Soviets and China had a number of unresolved border issues in Manchuria. In 1968 China started escalating these, actually killing Soviet border guards. Moscow, knowing of China’s nuclear weapons and Mao’s confrontative attitude preferred to deescalate… which only encouraged Chinese.

Does that remind anything from contemporary history? 😉

At the peak of the conflict in 1969 USSR found itself in the position of a country with high-tech army challenged by a low-tech army which relied on millions of conscripts and human wave tactics.

Does this ring any bells? 😉

In 1969 Soviet army managed to push back overwhelming several Chinese offensives near the island of Zhenbao in spite of their overwhelming numbers with ratios up to 1:10 Soviet to Chinese. That was possible primarily due to the technical advantage, such as then-advanced T-62 tanks.

A ceasefire was signed in 1969 - on Chinese side by the very same Zhou Enlai who called Soviets “fascists” only a year before, but the actual peace agreement was only signed in 1991. The conflict was only completely resolved in 2008 (!) when Russia ceded 340 km² of the disputed lands to China.

As you can see, contrary to the mythology carefully constructed by modern “geopolitical realists”, there’s nothing constant in Russian or Soviet policies. Russia can not always win armed conflicts, it can cede territories and in general conflicts can be won in spite of imbalance of power. Oh, and calling others “fascists” was used by everyone and Russia was both an user and a recipient of this nomination.

rameshgupta,
@rameshgupta@mastodon.social avatar

⬆️ @tsturm @kravietz

>> what is doing with right now, my guess is that China wants a chunk of Siberia. will force China to go north

China is not an country: its coasts do not border with nor does it claim to have sovereignty on under-continental shelves or water in the Arctic. Yet, it defines itself as a ➡️ https://mastodon.social/@rameshgupta/111630911378365445

China’s is aligned with ’s ➡️ https://mastodon.social/@rameshgupta/111591513022426045

rameshgupta,
@rameshgupta@mastodon.social avatar

⬆️ @tsturm

>> This is not hard to figure out.

This is actually pretty hard to figure out.

I don’t have special insight into the heads of or . I connect dots in publicly available knowledge, and share them if they make sense and other tangential info seem to corroborate them.

Whenever I do this though, I always cite links to sources so others can either accept my ideas or reject them by evaluating the supplied source material.

Your stance here seems to be definitive 🙂

@kravietz

rameshgupta,
@rameshgupta@mastodon.social avatar

⬆️ @tsturm

I agree with you that is looking northward. That is why I linked my post about China claiming to be an arctic power despite have no arctic presence.

However, I believe and China are partners-in-crime, with Russia being the . They both need each other for their agenda. I don’t think China is looking to distract Russia and grab some territory while it is trapped in 🙂

@kravietz

rameshgupta,
@rameshgupta@mastodon.social avatar

⬆️ @tsturm @kravietz

’s foreign minister says and are supporting each other’s ‘’


’s
’s

China is not distracting Russia with . China is distracting the whole world with the conflict.

China-brokered between and was the precursor to attacks on

https://apnews.com/article/joseph-wu-taiwan-interview-russia-china-492fbd5e896ae3231de5f3fbf3c93012

taylorlorenz, to random
@taylorlorenz@mastodon.social avatar

“At some point — whatever the justification — you’re either advancing a policy that enables the mass starvation of children, or you’re not.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/13/us/army-officer-resigns-gaza-israel.html

rameshgupta,
@rameshgupta@mastodon.social avatar

⬆️ @taylorlorenz

>> “At some point — whatever the justification — you’re either advancing a policy that enables the mass starvation of children, or you’re not.”

There is no nuance in this statement.

The world is not binary. It’s not black and white.

The justification could be self-preservation — one’s own survival and the survival of one’s nation and entire race (including children of that race).

rameshgupta, to random
@rameshgupta@mastodon.social avatar

After 75 years of failure, one would imagine that a people would learn what works and what doesn’t, both from their own experience, as well as the experience of others.

https://apnews.com/video/gaza-strip-israel-israel-hamas-war-war-and-unrest-israel-government-c28d7cc667e94e94ac97a7a460a90985

⬇️

rameshgupta,
@rameshgupta@mastodon.social avatar

⬆️ #EcstasyAndAmnesia #GazaStrip

A global diplomatic edifice that keeps the #Palestinians in a permanent holding pattern of misery stemming from defeated #Arab war efforts, where the Palestinians themselves weren’t even always the central actors in the descent to war or the principal combatants who lost them, is unlike anything the international community has attempted in other conflicts.

#permanentStateOfWar #inTheirName

⬇️

rameshgupta,
@rameshgupta@mastodon.social avatar

⬆️ #EcstasyAndAmnesia #GazaStrip

The #Arab-#Israeli conflict isn’t a normal conflict, and the cause of Arab #Palestine still isn’t a normal cause of national liberation.

The fundamental fact of this conflict, that one side believes the other’s #existence is a metaphysical crime for which a just resolution can only be #elimination, means that standard diplomatic practice is much harder to apply at best, and gets scrambled, inverted, and abused at worst 🔥🔥🔥

⬇️

rameshgupta,
@rameshgupta@mastodon.social avatar

⬆️ #EcstasyAndAmnesia #GazaStrip

A #FourthCatastrophe?

In the last three years, there has been every sign that another catastrophe was coming.

Read the whole essay at the paywall-free link to the archive.

It also tells you where the notion of #IsraeliApartheid came from and why #TimingIsNoCoincidence.

The conclusion is a clincher, regardless of which side of the #Israeli-#Palestinian conflict you are on.

Thanks to @toooobeeee for sharing such a deeply researched and though-provoking essay!

rameshgupta,
@rameshgupta@mastodon.social avatar

⬆️ #EcstasyAndAmnesia #GazaStrip

>> In each of the 3 wars, #PalestinianCause was taken up in a larger global struggle 👀: first, #WorldWarII, then #ColdWar, then #jihadist war against free societies

#TimingIsNoCoincidence

The looming #FourthCatastrophe for #Palestinians is also squarely placed in a larger #globalStruggle, and it is timed for #Election2024.

This time it’s the rise of #oligarchs and #fascists in #US & other liberal countries, #Russian #revanchism, & #China’s global ambitions.

rameshgupta,
@rameshgupta@mastodon.social avatar

⬆️ to visit , who has backed ’s of .

Compare with , which has barred ’s FULL-SCALE invasion of .

Putin says Russia is prepared to negotiate over Ukraine, just like says it’s prepared to negotiate with Israel.

claims to be neutral but backs Russian position that it was provoked into attacking Ukraine by the West, despite Putin’s public avowals of his

https://apnews.com/article/china-russia-putin-beijing-xi-3212ef85d8318cf853f956173f3a682a

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