anderspuck

anderspuck, 3 months ago to random

It has now been more than two years since Russia's invasion of Ukraine. In this video I give an optimistic and a pessimistic scenario for what will happen in year three. They are very different, and that shows the spectrum of possible outcomes. Nothing is decided yet, and it really could go either way. https://youtu.be/bJK5NYxGNOQ

anderspuck, 3 months ago to random

If you defect from Russia with a stolen military helicopter, you should probably keep a low profile.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/maxim-kuzminov-dead-russia-ukraine-spain-b2498954.html

anderspuck, 3 months ago to Ukraine

Vlad Vexler says that he does not like reaction videos where the theme is something like “Vlad Vexler destroyes Peter Zeihan", because it's not productive. And then he goes on to absolutely ripping Peter Zeihan apart in this video about #Navalny.
It's worth watching if you want to understand the criticism of Navalny about nationalism, his position on #Ukraine, etc.
https://youtu.be/n02DhUQJo90?si=WC-WVGb0tIeXLwqm

anderspuck, 3 months ago to random

Has anyone seen Sokolov or heard anything about which position he will have now? It puzzles me that serious sources keep reporting on his firing without addressing the question of him being reported dead since September.

From: @hanse_mina
https://mastodon.social/

anderspuck, 4 months ago to random

If the U.S. will play a smaller role in European security going forward, we need to have a conversation about nuclear weapons. The current UK and French arsenals are not sufficient to deter Russia, but the big question is if the solution is to grow their stockpiles, or if more countries need to join the nuclear club.

(The fact that this is now a discussion just goes to show the shortsightedness of American isolationalism.)

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/feb/15/uk-europe-nuclear-shield-donald-trump-germany-nato-deterrent

anderspuck, 4 months ago to random

Russians got their hands on some Starlink terminals, so now both sides in the war use this technology. https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2024/02/russia-using-spacexs-starlink-satellite-devices-ukraine-sources-say/394080/

anderspuck, 4 months ago to random

Kan anbefale denne explainer om de mulige konsekvenser af den manglende amerikanske våbenstøtte til Ukraine, og hvad der er på spil. Jeg er med i den, så jeg er måske farvet. Men jeg synes at de på 8 minutter kommer rigtig godt rundt om emnet.
#dkforsvar
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZtQssZrDOKA

anderspuck, 4 months ago to random

Shocker. Nadezhdin won't be allowed to run in Russia's presidential election ritual.

https://genix.ink/

anderspuck, 4 months ago to random

I see a large number of people saying that Russian anti-war presidential candidate Boris Nadezhdin is a Kremlin asset to legitimate Putin’s reelection. That is not the case. They allowed him to collect signatures for that reason but his campaign has gained much more traction than they are comfortable with.

From: @meduza_en
https://masto.ai/

anderspuck, 4 months ago to random

Can a war between Russia and NATO really happen within the next few years? Recently there have been several warnings from politicians and high-level military leaders. In this video I discuss what on earth they are talking about, and what such a war might look like. And I think it's an important discussion, because the risk is bigger than many people assume.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZY7GPBSyONU

anderspuck, 4 months ago to random

What a brilliant idea. Why hasn’t anybody thought about that before?

From: @SocraticEthics
https://mastodon.online/@SocraticEthics/111817465837626680

anderspuck, 4 months ago to random

Interesting project: A Baltic Defense Line. I guess the lesson from the Maginot Line is not to let Belgium decide where to have a weak spot.
http://www.baltictimes.com/building_baltic_defense_line_is_right_step__but_the_project_will_not_be_cheap_-_military_expert/

anderspuck, 5 months ago to random Danish

Important video from Ryan McBeth: Why is the New York Times so often wrong about military issues?
My own observations are similar. It’s a problem in our news coverage that so few journalists understand #military questions. These are issues that make world headlines, yet many news organizations don't employ journalists with a deep enough understanding to ask the right questions.
https://youtu.be/4_1bFbk9MIQ?si=WI7aHEDRs2wn4bRv

anderspuck, 5 months ago to random

This story about the Danish F-16s to Ukraine being delayed is getting annoying. It’s a non-story. The prime minister said in August that she hoped the planes could be delivered before new year, but quickly thereafter it was clarified that spring was the realistic time. There is no new delay, just this original one.

From: @SocraticEthics
https://mastodon.online/@SocraticEthics/111711131922252578

anderspuck, 5 months ago to random

The YouTube channel Reporting from Ukraine is taking some time off for a New Year vacation, but fortunately there are other good sources of information. This video from Torsten Heinrich is packed with useful information and a great overview of the frontline situation.
https://youtu.be/OBIx-L7YE5c?si=CnhgNh2z4j7mY0F4

anderspuck, 5 months ago to random Danish

Jeg var i Krigens Døgn her til aften sammen med den altid veloplagte Claus Mathiesen og Erkan Özden.

From: @kimwulff
https://krigskunst.social/@kimwulff/111693133707485307

anderspuck, 5 months ago to random

It has been a really bad week for the Russian air force, that has lost five fighter jets. There is a lot of speculation that Ukraine is using the Patriot air defense system in an offensive role, but I just want to throw out there that this might also be what a surprise appearance by F-16 would look like…

From: @EuromaidanPress
https://mastodon.social/@EuromaidanPress@mastodon.social/111639925882736208

anderspuck, 5 months ago to random

With this news story making the rounds, it’s important that people keep the difference between a ceasefire and a peace deal in mind. I think it’s likely that Putin would like a ceasefire during the presidential election in Russia, but it’s not likely that he is ready to accept a peace deal at this point.

From: @thejapantimes
https://mastodon.social/@thejapantimes/111633570228210890

anderspuck, 5 months ago to random

Too bad. I think Duntsova’s bid for president was interesting. It’s an example of how opposition figures in Russia can appear out of nowhere, and Putin’s regime has to be constantly on guard.

From: @meduza_en
https://masto.ai/

anderspuck, 5 months ago (edited 5 months ago) to random

What alternatives are there to Substack for writers who want paid subscriptions?

anderspuck, 5 months ago to Russia

This week, both Blinken and Stoltenberg reiterated the notion that #Russia has already lost in #Ukraine because they failed to achieve their original goals.
This is the kind of dangerous narrative that I talk about in this video. We have to stop talking about the war in terms where it sounds like Ukraine has already won.
https://youtu.be/-8ZPbnVqHrY

anderspuck, 6 months ago to random

Now that Threads is available in Europe, I have created an account there. My first impression is positive. I think it has a lot more potential than Bluesky.
I am not leaving Mastodon, but I do think Threads is interesting. If you want to find me there, my handle is @anderspuck.

anderspuck, 6 months ago to random

Ukraine ramps up domestic defense production, now for 155 mm ammunition. It will take time before this works, but that is one of the reasons why we should expect Ukraine to mainly focus on defensive operations for the time being. https://euromaidanpress.com/2023/12/08/minister-ukraine-to-partner-with-us-firms-to-produce-155mm-shells-domestically/

anderspuck, 6 months ago to random

Phillips O’Brien is pretty fired up by the latest attempts from anonymous Pentagon officials to cover their behinds and blame Ukraine for the disappointing results of the summer offensive.

https://open.substack.com/pub/phillipspobrien/p/the-blame-ukraine-narrative-has-arrived?r=1yxg0c&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web

anderspuck, 6 months ago to Ukraine

I am on this episode of Silicon Curtain. It’s about an hour’s talk about the war in #Ukraine, the need for the West to understand #Russia’s war aims, and what it will take to break the deadlock.
https://youtu.be/A10Hl913qgg?si=yCBjf-PeDFSchHNA